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SCP-2180 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-2180
Expected annual
$2.4M
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$2.3M
Personnel
20
Initial one-time setup is approximately $1.84M, driven by land acquisition, entrance sealing, outpost construction, vehicles/equipment and a large legal/contingency reserve. Recurring annual costs are about $2.33M, dominated by permanent security staffing, rapid-response retainer, and ongoing research/monitoring and legal/cover-story expenditures.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Legal Contingency Fund One Time $500K
[#23] One-time contingency fund for lawsuits, emergency remediation, and worst-case recovery.
Equipment $330K
[#6, #9, #11, #10] Vehicle purchases, fixed monitoring cameras, initial storage array, and environmental sensors (one-time hardware purchases and installations).
Facilities $282K
[#1, #2, #7] Land acquisition/easement, steel hatches/sealing of known entrances, and small on-site outpost construction costs combined.
Escalation Contingency One Time $200K
[#25] Baseline decommissioning/escalation contingency for modest escalations (one-time staging fund).
Power Infrastructure $80K
[#8] One-time grid hookup / off-grid generator + solar + battery bank / UPS capital cost (chosen off-grid median).
Site Stabilization One Time $75K
[#22] Potential one-time cave stabilization / structural mitigation baseline cost (smaller stabilization project estimate).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $65K
[#14] Conservation & non-invasive sampling capability: initial purchase of specialty conservation equipment and training.
Cover Story Setup $62K
[#18] Initial cover-story/legal setup, negotiations and setup costs for plausible cover (one-time component).
Transport Heavy Lift $60K
[#20] Helicopter/crane heavy-lift missions and logistics for placing hatches and large equipment.
Cave Exploration And Mapping $55K
[#3] Professional cave survey, speleologists and geotech mapping to locate additional entrances.
Local Compensation Initial $55K
[#19] Initial local compensation / hush payments / buyouts to nearby landowners and stakeholders.
Secure Archive Setup $50K
[#24] Secure archival server and initial secure data infrastructure setup (one-time).
Personnel Training One Time $25K
[#21] Initial cohort training and clearance costs for security and scientific staff (one-time cohort costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#4, #12, #13, #17] Permanent perimeter security staffing (guards + supervisors), monitoring analysts, research staff salaries, and medical support retainer/salary.
Logistics And Transport $225K/yr
[#5] Rapid-response / tactical team retainer, training, equipment readiness and deployment budget (annual retainer/shared-team prorated costs).
Cover Story And Legal $220K/yr
[#18, #19, #23] Ongoing cover-story/public affairs, local compensation, payments to local agencies, and recurring legal risk/reserve.
Research And Monitoring $113K/yr
[#10, #14, #15, #24] Environmental sensor calibration/maintenance, conservation visits/supplies, routine laboratory analyses, and long-term data curation costs.
Annual Operating Overhead $60K/yr
[#26] Utilities, administrative, HR, accounting, small office supplies and travel for site personnel.
Escalation Reserve Annual $50K/yr
[#25] Annual escalation reserve to cover incremental containment scale-up if behavior changes.
Training And Certifications $40K/yr
[#21] Recurring recertifications, cave safety refreshers, and anomalous-protocol training for staff.
Amnestic Administration Costs $30K/yr
[#16] Class-A amnestic drugs, medical administration, monitoring and disposal costs based on expected civilian encounters.
Vehicle Fuel And Maintenance $22K/yr
[#6] Fuel, routine maintenance and replacement-cycle consumables for on-site 4x4 vehicles and patrol transport.
Power Infrastructure Fuel And Maintenance $18K/yr
[#8] Diesel fuel and maintenance for generators / battery maintenance and associated recurring power upkeep.
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#22] General site maintenance, hatch upkeep, and periodic inspection budgets.
Data Storage And Bandwidth $15K/yr
[#11] Ongoing cloud replication, bandwidth and off-site archival costs for continuous video and sensor logs.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.3M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Uneventful year with routine monitoring, maintenance, and no significant incidents or breaches.
no civilian discoveries normal operations routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
A localized civilian discovery or small-scale intrusion requiring amnestics, overtime security, and limited emergency response.
civilian sighting small breach / intrusion amnestic administrations
🚨 Major Breach $3.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or discovery requiring sustained rapid-response, heavy-lift logistics, expanded legal response and large contingency drawdown.
multiple civilian exposures infrastructure failure large-scale recovery operations
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $7.3M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Escalation requiring excavation, large-scale containment or relocation efforts and extensive remediation (mission-scale response).
rapid expansion of anomalous behavior widespread public exposure requirement for excavation/relocation
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 Permanent perimeter guards covering three 8-hour shifts; wages included in staff_wages [#4].
Security Supervisor 2 Shift supervisors / team leads for perimeter security; wages included in staff_wages [#4].
Research Scientist 3 PI + postdocs/technicians for ongoing study of the painting; salaries included in staff_wages [#13].
Monitoring Analyst 2 Daily footage and sensor review staff to flag anomalies and compile reports; salaries included in staff_wages [#12].
Medical Officer 1 On-call medic for amnestic administration and injuries; salary/retainer included in staff_wages [#17].
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and canonical containment procedures but many inputs are uncertain (unknown cave complexity, number of entrances, frequency of civilian discovery). Staffing and legal contingencies are reasonably well-bounded; escalation and heavy-lift needs remain the largest uncertainty.
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