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SCP-2188 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2188
Expected annual
$4.6M
One-time setup
$32.1M
Annual recurring
$4.3M
Personnel
12
One-time setup costs are dominated by facility buildout, imaging/equipment purchases, and optional implant R&D/scale-up; recurring annual costs are driven by specialized staff wages, ongoing R&D/monitoring, secure IT/cybersecurity, and legal/cover operations. Baseline annual recurring cost ~ $4.27M; one-time setup (including optional scale-up/contingency) ~ $32.13M.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $32.1M
Scale Up One Time $20.0M
[#30] One-time scale-up capital placeholder if Long-Term Amnesthesiologic Destruction is approved (facility expansion, manufacturing capacity); represents a conservative mid-point of $10M–$200M+ range to reflect enterprise buildout risk.
Implant Rd Prototyping $6.0M
[#14] One-time phase/initial capitalization for implant R&D and prototyping (biocompatible neural implants, microfabrication, cleanroom setup); large, multi-million placeholder reflecting 3M–25M+ range.
Clinical Trials Startup $2.0M
[#16] One-time startup overhead related to human-trial infrastructure for Long-Term Amnesthesiologic Destruction (IRB-equivalent committee setup, initial recruitment/compensation budgets) — lower-bound initial phase estimate.
Equipment $1.3M
[#2, #3] High-fidelity brain-monitoring/imaging purchase (MRI access/purchase and EEG rigs) plus initial neurostimulation/multisensory stimulus hardware build; combines MRI purchase, EEG rigs, and tamper-proof VR/hardware initial build estimates.
Facilities $800K
[#1] Dedicated Bernheim/surgical-grade procedure suite with Faraday shielding, negative-pressure HVAC, isolation anteroom and structural work; chosen mid-range of $250k–$1.2M to meet clinical and info-hazard standards.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $650K
[#4, #28] Initial secure content library creation and curation R&D plus one-time archival/ingestion costs for research datasets and concept libraries.
Amnestics Production Startup $500K
[#13] Startup costs for specialized amnestic compound research/initial GMP-like production, QC and storage (one-time capital and process setup).
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#29] One-time contingency/reserve fund for unexpected side-effects, emergency mobilization, or replenishment.
Simulation Mannequins $200K
[#6] High-fidelity medical simulation mannequins and neural-feedback training aids (1–3 units); mid-range estimate.
Data It Hardware One Time $120K
[#20, #28] One-time purchase of air-gapped servers, encrypted backup hardware, and secure storage ingestion infrastructure (initial hardware/setup).
Generator Ups Installation $60K
[#22] One-time generator/UPS and electrical redundancy installation for imaging/HVAC reliability.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Salaries and benefits for Advanced Amnesthesiologists (3 specialists), supporting clinical staff (nurses, neurotechs, psychologist; aggregate), and administrative/committee overhead; combined annual payroll estimate.
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#4, #15, #17, #28] Ongoing content-library development/curation, preclinical/vivarium trial running costs while R&D ongoing, long-term follow-up/annual monitoring of treated subjects, and archival/data retention operations.
Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr
[#18, #25] Recurring legal counsel, cover-story/PR contingency budgets, Ethics Committee liaison operations and external review fees.
Cybersecurity And Insider Threat $300K/yr
[#21] Active cybersecurity, monitoring for unauthorized duplication, and insider-threat mitigation programs given high information-hazard risk.
Data It Operations $200K/yr
[#20, #28] Secure IT operations for air-gapped servers, encrypted backups, disaster recovery, logging, and regular data ingestion/retention costs.
Amnestics Production $150K/yr
[#13] Ongoing production/QA/QC costs for Foundation-produced or custom amnestic compounds (GMP-scale recurring costs).
Equipment Maintenance $150K/yr
[#23] Calibration, maintenance contracts, sterilization unit maintenance and replacement cycles for imaging/VR/EEG and other high-end capital equipment.
Supplies And Consumables $130K/yr
[#12, #27] Pharmaceuticals, disposables, sterile supplies per-procedure (scaled to moderate throughput) plus biohazardous waste disposal and controlled-substance disposal costs.
Security Personnel $120K/yr
[#10] Dedicated security detail and clearance officers for procedure sessions (2–4 guards equivalent); recurring wage/clearance costs.
Icu Readiness $100K/yr
[#11] Reserved ICU bed capacity, on-call resuscitation team call-pay and pathology support for emergency readiness.
Amnestic Administration $100K/yr
[#19] Budget for non-procedural amnestic administrations to witnesses/staff/follow-up (per-dose costs aggregated).
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#24] Secure subject/material transport, sedation transport teams and associated logistics for routine transfers.
Psychological Care $50K/yr
[#26] Staff psychological care, counseling, and retention programs for high-stress amnesthesiology personnel.
Utilities And Energy $40K/yr
[#22] Ongoing power, HVAC, and redundancy energy costs for imaging and climate-controlled suites.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.3M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine procedures, maintenance, and ongoing R&D at current scale.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $4.5M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Limited procedure complication or equipment failure requiring emergency response, extra amnestics, short-term legal/PR, and repair.
procedure_complication equipment_failure limited_information_leak
🚨 Major Breach $9.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment/OPSEC breach or high-profile legal exposure requiring large amnestic operation, settlements, extended PR, and major security mobilization.
major_information_leak public_exposure large_scale_amnestic_sweeps
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $16.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$12.0M vs baseline
Ethics approval and operational decision to pursue Long-Term Amnesthesiologic Destruction at scale, triggering rapid capital expansion and elevated R&D/trial costs.
ethics_approval scale_up_decision large_capital_investment
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Advanced Amnesthesiologist 3 [#7] Senior specialists required for procedures, supervision, and on-call coverage; aligns with salary budget in staff_wages.
Supporting Clinical Staff 6 [#8] Aggregate headcount for anesthetic nurse(s), critical-care nurses, neurotech(s), and psychologist/behavioral scientist supporting procedures; corresponds to supporting-staff portion of staff_wages.
Administrative / Committee Staff 3 [#9] Amnesthesiological Medical Committee liaisons, certification administrators, and admin support included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed with ranges for nearly every line item, allowing mid-range aggregation; however wide ranges for implant R&D, clinical trials, and legal/cover-up costs create substantial uncertainty, so confidence is medium.
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