SCP-2189 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2189
Expected annual
$843K
One-time setup
$656K
Annual recurring
$837K
Personnel
5
Initial setup is estimated at $655,500 (one-time) with recurring annual operations around $837,250 driven mainly by staff wages, research/monitoring, energy/HVAC, and incident/cover/legal costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $656K
Facilities $262K
[#1, #11, #18, #30, #20] Conversion/retrofit of greenhouse space, door hardening/access control, secure storage installation, decommissioning/remediation budget and initial contingency reserve.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $177K
[#4, #9, #15, #22, #13] Initial soil/substrate/fertilizer purchases, project startup research budget, autopsy/pathology equipment, initial laboratory analysis setup, and initial harvest/handling protocol development & training.
Equipment $169K
[#2, #3, #5, #6, #7, #17, #23] Environmental controls (HVAC/etc.), supplemental LED lighting, irrigation/water-treatment installation, monitoring cameras/sensors, backup power/UPS/generator, on-site metallurgical furnace and initial IT/server hardware.
Transportation Vehicles $45K
[#21] Purchase of secure vans/vehicles and specialized containers for transfer of fruit/metal to recyclers.
Ppe And Safety Initial $3K
[#12] Initial purchase of PPE and site safety supplies (gloves, respirators, cut-resistant sleeves, cleaning supplies).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $837K/yr
Staff Wages $375K/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Salaries and benefits for horticulturist(s), technical staff, research staff, and incremental security staffing (1–3 guards equivalent).
Research And Monitoring $158K/yr
[#14, #16, #15, #22, #29, #13, #19] Medical oversight/occupational health, controlled animal/D-class testing operational costs, autopsy/pathology operations, ongoing laboratory analyses, long-term monitoring/archival research budget, refresher training, and hazardous waste handling/disposal.
Cover Story And Legal $124K/yr
[#24, #25] Cover administration, legal counsel, public affairs containment, and regulatory permit fees under the cover story.
Administrative Overhead $75K/yr
[#31] Program management, recordkeeping, audits, and overhead (budgeted as a percentage of direct operational costs).
Facilities Maintenance $29K/yr
[#2, #5, #7, #6, #23, #28, #18] Ongoing HVAC/environmental system servicing, irrigation maintenance, backup generator fuel/maintenance, monitoring/data-storage costs, IT/cybersecurity maintenance, routine servicing and spare parts, and inventory maintenance for secure storage.
Incident Response Reserve $25K/yr
[#20] Annual reserve contribution for incident response, emergency cleanup, and contingency events.
Energy Costs $22K/yr
[#27] Electrical costs for continuous lighting, HVAC/humidification, and (if used on-site) small furnaces/induction processing.
Metallurgical Recycling Contract $12K/yr
[#17] Option to outsource recycling/processing of harvested metal (annual contract cost if used instead of on-site processing).
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#3, #4, #12, #26] Annual replacement bulbs/LED components, soil and substrate replacements, PPE replacement, and lab consumables/reagents.
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#21] Operating costs for secure vehicle(s), chain-of-custody personnel, and specialized container use during transfers.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $837K/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents.
routine_harvest_and_processing no_injuries_or_contamination regular_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $912K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Localized jam/contamination during harvest requiring cleanup, limited medical follow-up, and legal/cover remediation.
mechanism_jamming_during_harvest limited_staff_injury/exposure small-scale contamination
🚨 Major Incident $1.2M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Serious contamination/medical event or multiple fatalities requiring extended response, decontamination, and possible temporary shutdown and remediation.
fatal_testing_outcome widespread contamination significant legal/cover exposure
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#9] Lead research scientist / metallurgist time (part- or full-time depending on project).
Horticulturist 1 [#8] Full-time horticulturist for daily plant care and environmental tuning.
Technician / Lab Technician 1 [#8] Full-time technician for maintenance, monitoring, and harvest operations.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#10] Dedicated security coverage (1–3 guard equivalents; modeled as 2).
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed analyst line items provide good granularity on major cost drivers (facilities, staff, energy, metallurgy and incident reserves), but ranges are wide for many items (incident severity, recycling approach, research scope) so precise totals have moderate uncertainty.
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