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SCP-2195 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2195
Expected annual
$2.3M
One-time setup
$5.0M
Annual recurring
$2.3M
Personnel
12
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $4.76M driven by vault retrofits, analytical suite setup, transport/recovery and an emergency reserve. Annual recurring costs are approximately $2.28M/yr driven by staff wages (security, ordnance, research), legal/cover operations, hazardous disposal and ongoing maintenance/calibration.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.0M
Facilities $1.7M
[#1, #3, #4, #21] Vault retrofit, integrated suppression and HVAC/zoning work, and generator purchase/installation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $930K
[#17, #18] Analytical instruments (GC‑MS/LC‑MS, sequencer, HPLC, μCT, histology equipment) and specialized inert‑atmosphere workstations/gloveboxes.
Equipment $735K
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #12, #13, #20] Hardened IT/servers, LIMS software/hardware, cold-storage freezers and LN2 infrastructure, vacuum containers/pumps, EOD suits, sensors, and initial transport equipment.
Emergency Response Reserve Initial $500K
[#27] One‑time reserve fund for catastrophic accidental detonation/release response.
Clearance Initial $300K
[#25] Initial deep background checks / vetting for ~50 staff.
Transport Initial Recovery $285K
[#20] Secure heavy equipment and armored/escorted movement of 19 containers for initial recovery.
Digitization Project $222K
[#5] High-volume scanning, OCR, QA and project management for ~500k–1M pages.
Decommissioning $200K
[#30] End‑of‑program disposal, vault tear‑down or environmental remediation (when incurred).
Certification And Design $60K
[#2] Design documentation and third‑party certification costs (initial).
Training Program Initial $40K
[#26] Initial development of SOPs, EOD/biohazard training program and drills.
Ethics Setup Initial $30K
[#23] Initial Ethics Committee setup, processes, and consultant engagement.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#14, #15, #16] Security guards (24/7 coverage), dedicated ordnance/EOD specialists, and laboratory research staff wages.
Contingency And Overhead $297K/yr
[#31] Administrative overhead, project management, permits and contingency (15% of recurring subtotal).
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#24] Legal counsel, cover identities/shell orgs, and ongoing covert operations budget to maintain secrecy.
Facilities Maintenance $148K/yr
[#3, #4, #6, #22] Annual maintenance of suppression systems, climate control/HVAC for archives, archival storage facility costs, and routine maintenance/calibration for facility systems.
Research And Monitoring $124K/yr
[#8, #13, #17, #18, #29] LIMS licensing/support, sensor calibrations, instrument maintenance, inert-workstation upkeep and specialized analytical testing programs.
Supplies And Consumables $106K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #12, #19] LN2 refills & power, vacuum pump maintenance, chemical preservation consumables and disposal, recurring PPE and contractor hazardous disposal expenses.
Clearance Reinvestigation $62K/yr
[#25] Periodic reinvestigations, polygraphs and psychological screening for cleared staff.
Energy And Power $50K/yr
[#21] Incremental electricity for freezers, HVAC, sensors and generator fuel/UPS upkeep.
Emergency Reserve Replenishment $50K/yr
[#27] Annual replenishment allowance for the emergency response fund as used.
It Operations $35K/yr
[#7] Ongoing IT operations, SOC oversight and secure backups/monitoring.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#20] Recurring secure transfers, armored escorts and specialized transport for samples/containers.
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#26] Annual refresher training, EOD drills and SOP updates.
Certification Inspections $12K/yr
[#2] Periodic explosives-magazine inspections, third‑party inspections and certification renewals.
Ethics Oversight Recurring $12K/yr
[#23] Ongoing Ethics Committee consultant fees and protocol reviews.
Re Preservation $5K/yr
[#28] Periodic re‑fixation, re‑freezing and lifecycle management monitoring costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.3M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine research, maintenance, disposals and scheduled transfers.
normal operations scheduled disposals routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small accidental detonation, localized damage or contamination requiring repair, medical response, investigation and temporary service increases.
small accidental detonation localized contamination equipment failure
🚨 Catastrophic Detonation $4.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Major accidental detonation or catastrophic breach causing large‑scale damage, casualties, extended remediation, legal exposure and replacement of vaults/equipment.
major accidental detonation multi-container ignition failed containment during handling
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#14] 24/7 cleared armed security staffing to cover vaults and escorts (approx. 4–8 FTE; 6 chosen as mid).
Ordnance/EOD Specialist 3 [#15] Dedicated ordnance technicians for handling and neutralization (2–4 recommended; 3 chosen).
Research Scientist 3 [#16] Biochemists/geneticists/pathologists performing approved analyses (2–6 FTE; 3 chosen for moderate program).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and reasonable ranges for almost every cost, but many line items have wide ranges (explosive disposal, vault specs, staffing levels) and several contingencies are judgment calls; hence medium confidence.
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