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SCP-2196 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2196
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$1.4M
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
5
Estimated first-year one-time costs are approximately $1.42M driven primarily by development of a blind imaging pipeline, robotic remote-handling systems, and facility/buildout work; recurring annual costs are approximately $1.24M driven by staffing, ongoing research/monitoring, incident readiness, and administrative overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.4M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $625K
[#9] Development of a blind imaging pipeline and automated analysis system (secure camera/imager, software development, validation, assurance).
Equipment $327K
[#1, #3, #7, #8, #10] Tamper-proof opaque containment case, initial electronic access control hardware, initial PPE purchase, robotic/remote manipulator hardware, and secure IT/HSM/air-gapped server hardware.
Facilities $212K
[#2, #14] Vault/locker reinforcement and dedicated test-room buildout (locker inner vault, vibration sensors, alarm panel, sterile test chamber/Faraday/isolation). Includes installation labor.
Disposal End Of Life Planning $100K
[#22] Planning and preparatory costs for conditional destruction/irreversible isolation (contingency; method-dependent).
Transport Vehicle Modification $75K
[#17] One-time modification of transport vehicle/crate for tamper detection and viewing prevention.
Amnestic Stockpile Initial $40K
[#11] Initial procurement and secure storage of Class B amnestic stockpile, administration kits and initial training.
Training And Sop Development $32K
[#6] Initial SOP creation, memetics/containment consultant contractor costs, and initial drills.
Background Checks Initial $10K
[#21] Initial deep background checks and clearances for authorized personnel (assumes 5–10 people, conservative initial spend).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
Research And Monitoring $340K/yr
[#9, #12, #13] Ongoing blind-imaging maintenance and compute costs, medical monitoring/hospital MOU and baseline neuroimaging/research program funding (EEG/fMRI study budgets amortized into annual spend).
Staff Wages $310K/yr
[#4, #5] Salaries and benefits: 1x Level-4 custodian/supervisor (~$150k) and dedicated security guards (4 total, ~$160k).
Administrative Overhead $286K/yr
[#23] Administrative overhead (30% assumed of direct recurring costs) covering senior management time, audits, cross-site coordination and site cost allocations.
Incident Response $125K/yr
[#16] Rapid-response team readiness, memetic specialist standby, drills, quarantine equipment and insurance for breaches (annual readiness cost; major responses are scenario-based).
It Operations $40K/yr
[#10] Operations and personnel time for air-gapped servers, secure backups, cryptographic key management and IT assurance.
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#18] Legal counsel, cover documentation maintenance, false inventory upkeep and external coordination costs.
Psychological Support And Replacement $30K/yr
[#15] Counseling services, temporary replacement staffing and personnel support for incidents or enforcement-related stress.
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#2, #14] Ongoing maintenance for reinforced locker, vault systems and sterile test chamber upkeep, sensor/battery replacements and HVAC/utility costs.
Classified Record Retention $12K/yr
[#19] Secure storage, chain-of-custody labor, secure destruction/incineration/redaction cycles for sensitive records.
Training And Sop Refreshers $12K/yr
[#6] Annual refresher training, SOP updates, and contractor memetics/containment consultant fees for drills.
Amnestic Restock $10K/yr
[#11] Amnestic pharmaceuticals expiry replacement, storage and periodic training refresh for administration.
Background Checks Renewal $10K/yr
[#21] Periodic reinvestigations and renewals for Level-4 and test-team personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $7K/yr
[#7, #20] PPE replacements, tamper-evident seals, replacement locks, batteries and small consumable parts for robotics and medical supplies.
Access Control Maintenance $6K/yr
[#3] Maintenance, licensing and secure backup procedures for electronic access control and auditing systems.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#17] Per-move costs and transport readiness amortized across years (security escorts, crate prep, per-trip expenses).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
95.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations, maintenance, and planned research activity.
routine operations scheduled research no exposures or breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $1.3M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Single accidental exposure or localized incident requiring medical treatment, amnestic administration, short investigations and personnel replacements.
accidental viewing/unauthorized magnification human error during handling
🚨 Major Breach $1.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or deliberate tampering requiring major incident response, large-scale medical imaging, possible legal/cover operations and potential disposal planning.
deliberate modification/destruction attempt multi-person exposure transport/transfer compromise
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Level-4 custodian / supervisor 1 [#4] Senior authorized custodian responsible for combination knowledge and supervised testing (~$150,000/yr total comp).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#5] Dedicated on-site guards to enforce no-viewing rules and provide relief/rotations (combined ~$160,000/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and realistic ranges, but many items have wide ranges (especially research, imaging, robotic and disposal costs) and choices above required midpoint assumptions; thus overall cost accuracy is moderate.
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