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SCP-2214 Safe ? low confidence
SCP-2214
Expected annual
$12.9M
One-time setup
$103.4M
Annual recurring
$12.7M
Personnel
23
Initial capital purchases (facility buyout, specialized equipment, and large contingency reserves) dominate one-time costs; recurring costs are driven by staffing, contingency reserve replenishment, and ongoing monitoring/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $103.4M
Extreme Tail Risk Reserve $100.0M
[#27] Large one-time reserve for catastrophic regional/global economic stabilization interventions (upper-bound planning).
Contingency Seed Fund $2.0M
[#23] Seed fund for immediate covert economic/operational response (initial reserve).
Equipment $767K
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #20, #21, #25] One-time acquisition of MTF equipment, external monitoring hardware, sacrificial interior devices, remote manipulators, communications equipment, vehicle fleet, and permanent microclimate system (if accepted).
Facilities $365K
[#2, #3] Purchase of building or units (alternative) and professional physical reinforcement/secure entry installation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $175K
[#11, #13, #19] Initial forensic/biosecurity setup, research/computational infrastructure purchase, and archive digitization/scan setup.
Legal Cover Setup $55K
[#14] Initial legal/cover infrastructure setup (shell companies, paperwork, local counsel retainer setup).
Background Check And Training Initial $40K
[#18] Initial deep vetting and training costs for cover staff (one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.7M/yr
Contingency Reserve Replenishment $10.0M/yr
[#23] Annual budget to replenish/maintain a contingency reserve for covert economic interventions and market stabilization (operational reserve replenishment).
Staff Wages $2.1M/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #12] Salaries and benefits for on-site cover agents, onsite supervisory allocation, MTF readiness personnel sustain/salaries, and research staff salaries (annual).
Cover Story And Legal $170K/yr
[#14, #24] Ongoing legal/administrative costs, retainers, and PR/response retainers to manage exposure risk.
Property Leases $120K/yr
[#1] Lease of adjacent/above/below apartments to house cover agents (monthly lease sum annualized).
Research And Monitoring $88K/yr
[#8, #11, #13, #19, #20] External monitoring data hosting/ops, ongoing bioforensic testing/monitoring, recurring compute/subscriptions/backups, archive maintenance/indexing, and communications operational fees.
Policy Review Overhead $85K/yr
[#26] Internal review boards, ethics/policy panels, and administrative overhead for Level 3/4 interactions and approvals.
Logistics And Transport $45K/yr
[#21] Vehicle fuel, maintenance, parking/garaging and routine transport costs.
Supplies And Consumables $36K/yr
[#16] Food, laundry, household goods, consumables for cover agents and resident support.
Temporary Visit Ops $30K/yr
[#9] Costs for rapid-deployment temporary inspections/robotics and retrieval logistics (recurring per-deployment operations).
Manipulator Maintenance $30K/yr
[#10] Annual maintenance and sustainment of remote manipulators and specialized interaction hardware.
Community Relations $20K/yr
[#22] Payments to building manager, minor repairs, neighbor goodwill/discretionary budget to maintain cover.
Background Check Refreshers $15K/yr
[#18] Periodic refresher vetting and training costs for cover staff.
Waste Disposal $11K/yr
[#17] Secure removal and hazardous material disposal contracts to avoid accidental transfers.
Environmental Control Ops $4K/yr
[#15, #25] Utilities, heating, climate control power and basic maintenance for preservation and microclimate systems.
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#4] Periodic inspection and replacement of locks/bars/seals and other physical maintenance.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.7M/yr
93.9% probability / year
Normal year with steady operations, leases in place, routine monitoring, and no major incidents.
no breaches no major market-impacting interactions routine staff turnover and ops
🚨 Minor Incident $13.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized containment event requiring MTF response, short PR/legal engagement, and limited economic mitigation.
small breach or unauthorized access local media attention limited market perturbation
🚨 Major Breach $23.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$11.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or deliberate manipulation that affects regional markets, requiring sustained covert interventions and larger PR/legal operations.
object moved intentionally/accidentally regional economic anomalies linked to SCP activity prolonged media/legal scrutiny
🚨 Catastrophic Economic Event $112.7M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Extremely rare event where SCP-driven manipulation or coincident effects cause large-scale economic collapse requiring major covert stabilization (use of extreme reserve).
large-scale market collapse currency/commodity crisis linked to SCP changes international attention requiring large covert financial interventions
👥 Personnel 23 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Cover Agent 8 [#1, #5] Agents living in adjacent apartments as cover, continuous presence.
MTF Agent / Rapid Response Team 10 [#7] Dedicated rapid-response team (on-call/standby) for containment incidents.
Research Scientist 4 [#12] Economists/data scientists/historians/translators analyzing object movements and economic correlations.
Site Supervisor / Onsite Security Supervisor 1 [#6] Level-3 onsite supervisor responsible for approvals and oversight.
📋 Confidence Notes
High uncertainty due to policy choices (lease vs purchase, active research posture), geopolitical/bribery costs, and large tail-risk contingencies; many costs are order-of-magnitude estimates rather than firm line items.
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