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SCP-2220 Safe ? low confidence
SCP-2220
Expected annual
$17.9M
One-time setup
$861.0M
Annual recurring
$17.2M
Personnel
90
Estimated one-time capital costs are very large (~$861M) driven by marine salvage, transport, reinforced containment, ordnance neutralization, and potential reassembly; recurring annual costs are substantial (~$17.2M/yr) driven by staff wages, long-term monitoring, conservation, and security/intelligence operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $861.0M
Facilities $182.8M
[#4, #5, #12, #13] Reinforced containment buildings/dry bays/gantries (#4), secure ordnance magazines (#5), power/HVAC/utilities upgrades initial component (#12), and dedicated blast/ballistics testing range (#13).
Marine Salvage And Recovery $160.0M
[#1] Marine salvage and recovery operations: heavy-lift vessels, ROVs, dive teams, barges, cranes, tugs, mobilization, port fees.
Reassembly Restore For Study $160.0M
[#17] Optional reassembly/restore-for-study budget (rebuilding hulls/sections for testing and research).
Contingency Fund $112.3M
[#23] Contingency/reserve (15% of program baseline pre-contingency) for accidents, collapse, escalation, emergency demolition, litigation and unforeseen costs.
Heavy Transport Logistics $105.0M
[#3] Heavy transport logistics to Site-76: multi-axle trailers, rail spurs/flatbeds, barges for coastal transfer, escorts, route prep/permits.
Shipbreak Contracting $80.0M
[#2] Heavy structural disassembly and shipbreaking contracting, shipfitters, cutting, scaffolding, temporary drydock modules.
Eod Munitions Neutralization $16.0M
[#6] Initial EOD/munitions neutralization program, robots, X-ray/CT imaging, disposal range construction and initial program setup.
Environmental Cleanup And Remediation $13.0M
[#7] Environmental cleanup and hazardous-materials remediation (fuel, PCBs, asbestos, lead paint, bilge sludge, contaminated soil/tank cleaning).
Equipment $12.1M
[#11, #14] Technical security systems initial hardware (#11) and heavy fabrication/analytical equipment (machine shops, NDT, CT/X-ray) (#14).
Legal And Coverup Initial $10.5M
[#19] Legal/cover-up initial costs: shell companies, false manifests, compensations, PR to hide maritime anomaly and salvage presence.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.6M
[#8, #22] Conservation and corrosion-control initial equipment/systems (#8) and initial data management/archival/classified network setup (#22).
Initial Consumables $2.8M
[#15] Transportation fuel and consumables for initial operations (marine diesel, welding gases, cutting consumables, PPE).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $17.2M/yr
Staff Wages $6.6M/yr
[#9, #10, #18] On-site specialist staff wages (naval engineers, materials scientists, ordnance experts, historians), security staffing and physical protection wages, medical support and training.
Research And Monitoring $3.3M/yr
[#8, #21, #22, #24] Ongoing conservation and corrosion-control consumables and staff (#8), continuous environmental monitoring/seabed surveys (#21), data management/cybersecurity recurring costs (#22), long-term monitoring/maintenance of anomalous components (#24).
Facilities Maintenance $2.4M/yr
[#11, #12, #16] Technical security system maintenance (#11), power/HVAC/utilities maintenance (#12), long-term storage land cost and site maintenance (road/snow/pest) (#16).
Intelligence And Counter Leak $1.8M/yr
[#20] Intelligence, counter-leak monitoring, covert personnel, suppressing inquiries and FOIA/legal activity monitoring.
Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal/cover-up and procurement obfuscation costs (shell maintenance, false manifests, PR, payments).
Administrative Overhead $1.1M/yr
[#25] Miscellaneous procurement, travel, administrative overhead, permit-like cover paperwork and small equipment.
Eod Disposal Operations $625K/yr
[#6] Recurring EOD/munitions disposal/testing costs (consumables, controlled detonations, range operation).
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#15] Ongoing transportation fuel and consumables (marine/truck diesel, welding gases, cutting consumables, PPE).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $17.2M/yr
95.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with steady-state operations and routine monitoring/maintenance.
steady_operations routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $22.2M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Minor containment incident or localized ordnance event requiring emergency disposal/cleanup and increased legal/PR activity.
small_munition_detonation localized_spill minor_public_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $67.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Major containment breach, large-scale ordnance detonation, environmental catastrophe or high-profile exposure requiring large emergency response, remediation, and legal settlements.
large_munition_event massive_environmental_release political_exposure
👥 Personnel 90 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 50 [#10] 24/7 armed guards, quick reaction teams, perimeter security (40–80 personnel range).
Research Scientist 20 [#9] Naval engineers, materials scientists, ordnance experts, historians for analysis and testing (10–25 person core team).
EOD Specialist 6 [#6] Specialized EOD teams and robotics/operators for ordnance neutralization and testing.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#14] Heavy fabrication, machine shop, and site maintenance staff.
Conservation Technician 4 [#8] Conservators and technicians for corrosion control, dehumidification, and artifact stabilization.
Data Management / IT 2 [#22] Secure database, imaging/archival, and cybersecurity staff.
Medical Officer 2 [#18] On-site medics, emergency response, hyperbaric capability support if needed.
Administrative Staff 2 [#19, #25] Administrative, procurement, and cover-story coordination support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items have wide published ranges, heavy dependence on unknowns (extent of intact hulls, number of recovered components, environmental/legal factors), and optional program choices (reassembly). Estimates use midpoints and conservative assumptions; therefore confidence is low.
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