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SCP-2260 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2260
Expected annual
$1.3M
One-time setup
$255K
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
6
One-time containment and equipment setup is modest (~$255k) while recurring annual operations (medical staff, research, long-term care, contingencies) dominate at approximately $1.25M/yr; largest recurring drivers are long-term coma care, contingency for high usage, and personnel.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $255K
Equipment $120K
[#3, #4, #14, #21] Initial video/audio hardware, medical monitoring equipment, secure records system development (one-time customization), and stock of safes/transport cases/emergency kits.
Facilities $65K
[#1, #2] Locker upgrade (biometric/tamper-proof cabinet, installation, certification) and construction of a dedicated monitoring alcove (bench/bed, electrical/HVAC adjustment).
Legal And Ethics Setup $30K
[#13] One-time legal/ethics/compliance setup (paperwork templates, initial IRB/ethics board establishment, legal vetting).
Cover Story And Pr Planning $25K
[#19] One-time cover-story / public-relations contingency planning and playbooks.
Training And Protocol Development $15K
[#15] Initial staff training and protocol development (simulation exercises, HR/legal alignment).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
High Usage Contingency $300K/yr
[#24] Contingency tranche for program scale-up/high-usage scenarios (extra staff, inpatient care, litigation).
Staff Wages $255K/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #18] Security staffing (two guards covered by ~$75k/yr), medical/nursing monitoring (~$50k/yr), research staff allocation (neuroscientist + RA ~$80k/yr), intelligence analyst (0.5 FTE ~ $50k/yr).
Long Term Care $150K/yr
[#11] Budget for at least one secure long-term comatose patient (high-acuity care).
Research And Monitoring $136K/yr
[#9, #17, #23] Neuroimaging and lab testing budget (~$100,000/yr), data storage/archival (~$6,000/yr), and research-grade miscellaneous/archives (~$30,000/yr).
Insurance And Overhead $100K/yr
[#22] Internal overhead/reserve, benefits, HR/payroll/apportioned administrative overhead (~20% midpoint of personnel/capital).
Psychological Aftercare $70K/yr
[#10] Ongoing psychological aftercare and rehabilitation for affected subjects (estimated midpoint if ~10 people/year require follow-up).
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#13, #19] Ongoing legal retainer and counsel (~$30,000/yr) plus recurring cover-story/PR contingency (~$30,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#20] Vehicle amortization and staff (~$10,000/yr) plus per-transfer logistics for baseline operations (~$40,000/yr).
Medical Retainer And Transfers $50K/yr
[#5] On-call medical capability / ICU standby retainer and related transfer contracts (midpoint estimate).
Incident Response And Quarantine $40K/yr
[#12] Annual contingency fund for incident response, forensic analysis, emergency cleanup and overtime.
Equipment Maintenance And Hosting $18K/yr
[#3, #4, #14] Annual maintenance for cameras/recording (~$3,500), medical equipment maintenance/consumables (~$5,000), and secure records hosting/maintenance (~$10,000).
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#4, #16] Medical consumables/maintenance (~$5,000/yr) plus general consumables (paper, batteries, cleaning ~$6,500/yr).
Training Refreshers $5K/yr
[#15] Annual refresher training and exercises.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal year with baseline session frequency and no major incidents; recurring program costs only.
regular scheduled sessions no major medical or security incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.3M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Isolated medical complication or small security incident requiring emergency transfer and elevated legal/forensic work.
emergency hospital transfer localized breach or behavioral incident
🚨 Major Incident $1.7M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$450K vs baseline
Serious adverse outcome (additional permanent comatose patient, litigation, major PR/legal response) requiring significant additional care and payouts.
permanent coma requiring extra long-term care major litigation or public exposure
🚨 High Usage Scale Up $1.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Program shifts to high-frequency exploitation (weekly/multiple users), requiring expanded staffing, inpatient care capacity, and higher contingencies.
weekly or higher usage program exploitation for intelligence
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 Two guards on duty for sessions; wages budgeted as two full-time equivalents (~$75k total).
Medical Officer / Nurse 1 One RN/clinical tech (may be on-call or part-time for sessions) budgeted at ~$50k/yr.
Research Scientist 1 Neuroscientist (0.5 FTE expectancy); counted as one position with part-time FTE; included in research staff budget.
Research Assistant 1 Research assistant (approx. 0.25 FTE); counted as one position (part-time) included in research staff budget.
Intelligence Analyst 1 Analyst (0.5 FTE) to vet future/past information; budgeted in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed line-item ranges and clear operational requirements, allowing mid-range estimates; uncertainty remains in usage frequency, probability of severe adverse events, and legal/PR outcomes, so confidence is medium.
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