SCP-2268 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2268
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$180K
Annual recurring
$2.2M
Personnel
10
One-time setup costs are modest (primarily webcrawler development, initial takedown, and lab setup ~ $180k). Recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages, quarantine/medical monitoring, vendor coordination, and incident contingency funds (~ $2.17M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $180K
Webcrawler Development $75K
[#4] One-time development and testing of evasive webcrawlers/scanners tuned to find clones/mirrors and fetch content.
Domain Sinkhole Takedown $30K
[#1] Registrar/legal action, sinkholing, covert payments as needed (one-time initial takedown estimate).
Forensic Initial Study $25K
[#16] Initial forensic/chemical/microbiological analysis project budget (one-time study).
Training And Sop Development $20K
[#22] Initial development of SOPs, training package, and compliance materials (one-time development cost).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15K
[#8] Secure air-gapped test workstations / lab buildout (2–6 stations + peripheral security hardware).
Facilities $10K
[#24] One-time UPS/HVAC and minor lab physical modifications/installations (estimated midpoint).
Equipment $5K
[#9] Initial purchase of disk drives and external drive attachments/spares (20–100 units).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.2M/yr
Staff Wages $720K/yr
[#6, #7, #19] Monitoring analysts (2–4), Level-3 researcher time (0.5–1.0 FTE), and physical security staff (4–8 guards) salaries/benefits.
Quarantine And Isolation $350K/yr
[#13] Secure quarantine costs for exposed subjects (per-week quarantines annualized based on moderate testing tempo).
Research And Monitoring $345K/yr
[#14, #16, #17, #18] Recurring research program funding, ongoing forensic assays, medical monitoring (EEG/MRI/clinical visits), and secure data storage/backups.
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#20, #21] Incident response/remediation retainer and cover-up / public relations / legal contingency budget (annual allocation).
Av Vendor Coordination $150K/yr
[#3] Antivirus signature creation/distribution and vendor coordination (retainers/payments/legal/technical coordination).
Webcrawler Hosting Ops $72K/yr
[#5] Hosting, bandwidth, storage, and operational costs for continuous crawler operation and content retrieval.
Dns And Cert Coordination $60K/yr
[#2] Ongoing DNS/ISP blacklisting, national CERT coordination, legal liaison and repeated takedown requests.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#12] D-class handling, transport, per-experiment security costs and logistics (annualized estimate).
International Takedown Fund $50K/yr
[#25] Per-incident budget for international domain reappearances / cross-border takedowns (annual allocation).
Amnestic And Memory Sanitation $25K/yr
[#15] Occasional amnestic use and post-week memory sanitation contingencies (per-use costs annualized).
Counseling And Aftercare $25K/yr
[#23] Counseling and psychological aftercare per exposed personnel (annualized incident-driven cost).
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#11] Bread for tests, safe disposal of contaminated food/hardware, and low-cost consumables for routine experiments.
Forensic Assays Recurring $10K/yr
[#16] Ongoing chemical/microbiological assays and lab consumables for analysis of 'downloafed' toast/hardware.
Training And Audits Recurring $10K/yr
[#22] Annual refreshers, tabletop exercises, and compliance audits.
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#24] Routine maintenance, minor repair, and electricity/HVAC operational costs (electricity estimated ~$2k–$5k/yr included).
Data Storage $5K/yr
[#18] Secure encrypted archives, backups, and storage for page images, logs, and surveillance video.
Hardware Replacement $3K/yr
[#10] Replacement of damaged drives and peripheral hardware due to 'bread insertion' damage (annualized estimate).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.2M/yr
82.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, experiments at moderate tempo (~50 tests/year), no large public leaks or major incidents.
routine_monitoring moderate_testing_tempo no_public_leak
🚨 Minor Incident $2.3M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$125K vs baseline
Limited reappearance or small-scale leak requiring extra takedown, limited legal/PR response, and additional quarantines.
new_clone_detected limited_information_leak small-scale exposure
🚨 Major Breach $3.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$975K vs baseline
Significant public discovery or large-scale internal leak causing mass quarantines, large legal actions, accelerated amnestic/decontamination and heavy PR response.
public_discovery mass_exposure litigation_and_media
🚨 Political Exposure $4.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
High-profile exposure involving cross-jurisdictional political fallout, major lawsuits, and large-scale cover-up expenses.
high_profile_leak government_scrutiny class_action_litigation
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (Level-3) 1 [#7] Senior researcher (0.5–1.0 FTE) responsible for L3 approvals and oversight.
Research Analyst (web/security) 3 [#6] Full-time analysts to review crawler hits, validate domains, approve actions and perform safety checks (2–4 analysts).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#19] Onsite physical security/guards for 24/7 coverage (4–8 guards included in staffing estimate).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items, allowing a coherent budget, but wide estimate ranges (legal/jurisdictional variability, testing tempo, and incident severity) produce moderate confidence; many recurring costs scale strongly with number of experiments and leak severity.
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