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SCP-2295 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2295
Expected annual
$578K
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$560K
Personnel
4.1
Initial setup costs are approximately $1,197,000 (mostly due to an optional scale-up contingency and one-time research setup); annual operating costs are about $560,200 driven primarily by staff wages (scientific, medical, security), site overhead, and ongoing research/diagnostics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Scale Up Contingency $1.0M
[#21] Optional/strategic one-time contingency for regulatory approval, clinical trial startup, manufacturing scale-up (speculative).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $140K
[#5, #6, #10, #14] Initial fabric & stuffing stockpile (#5), autoclave / sterile processing setup (#6), initial diagnostic/analytic investigation budget (outsourced imaging/histology/proteomics) (#10), initial ethics/IRB/setup costs (#14).
Legal Crisis Plan $25K
[#13] One-time crisis plan / PR contingency and related initial legal contingency for potential exposure or liability.
Clearance Processing $15K
[#18] Initial background checks and training/clearance processing for ~5 staff (one-time component).
Equipment $14K
[#3, #4, #11, #16] CCTV hardware (#3), environmental control / pest hardware (#4 one-time), secure specimen freezer (#11), certified transport crate (#16).
Facilities $4K
[#1] Containment locker purchase, installation and labeling (lockable, fireproof storage sized for small object).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $560K/yr
Staff Wages $305K/yr
[#8, #9, #15] On-call medical staff allocation (0.05–0.2 FTE) (#8), scientific staff & research team (PI + techs) (#9), incremental security/guard coverage and clearance-related staffing (#15).
Research And Monitoring $79K/yr
[#10, #14, #17] Ongoing diagnostic/analytic testing follow-ups (imaging, proteomics, histology) (#10 recurring), ongoing ethics review/monitoring and protocol audits (#14 recurring), data management and secure recordkeeping (#17).
Facilities Maintenance $62K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #22] Pro-rata site overhead allocation (security, utilities, insurance, amortization) (#2), CCTV monitoring/storage (#3 recurring), pest prevention and environmental checks (#4 recurring), insurance/liability premiums (#22).
Forensic Reserve $50K/yr
[#12] Forensic tracking and investigative contingency for external legal/ME/police involvement (#12 recurring).
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#13] Annual legal retainer and compliance/public affairs contingency for liability management and permits (#13 recurring).
Misc Contingency $12K/yr
[#23] Small miscellaneous and rapid-response petty contingency fund (#23 recurring).
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #20] Fabric/stuffing replenishment (#5), sterilization maintenance and per-use fees (#6), medical supplies & PPE per-test consumables (#7), testing chamber sanitation and consumables (#20).
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#16] Per-deployment secure transport costs (vehicle, escorts) averaged annualized given rare use (#16 recurring).
Training And Clearance Refresh $3K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher training and periodic clearance maintenance for authorized staff (#18 recurring).
Biohazard Disposal $3K/yr
[#11] Biohazard handling, disposal, BSL consumables, incineration fees and sharps/disposal (#11 recurring).
Textile Conservation $2K/yr
[#19] Periodic textile conservation and specialist repair for SCP fabric instances (#19 recurring/as-needed).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $560K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, periodic testing, and no major incidents or scale-up efforts.
routine_testing no_public_exposure no_scale_up
🚨 Minor Incident $610K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
A limited public or legal incident (missing organ reported, police/ME inquiry or small leak) requiring extra forensic, legal and emergency contracting.
unauthorized_organ_disappearance_discovered external_medical_exam_involvement limited_media_leak
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Successful translational research or external pressure leads to deliberate scale-up toward clinical trials / manufacturing, triggering large regulatory and operational spending.
translational_research_success push_for_clinical_trials regulatory_scaling
👥 Personnel 4.1 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (PI) 1 [#9] Principal investigator responsible for studies and oversight (covered in scientific staff wages).
Research Technician 2 [#9] Laboratory technicians/research assistants to perform tests and documentation (covered in scientific staff wages).
Medical Officer / On-call Clinician (FTE equivalent) 0.1 [#8] On-call clinical oversight (0.05–0.2 FTE equivalent reflected in staff wage allocation).
Security Officer / Dedicated Guard 1 [#15] Incremental guard coverage during tests and clearance-related staffing (covered in security staffing wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates map directly to analyst line items and midpoints of provided ranges; staffing and routine operating costs are well grounded but several items (per-use test frequency, legal/forensic needs, optional scale-up) are uncertain, producing medium confidence.
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