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SCP-2299 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2299
Expected annual
$53.3M
One-time setup
$550.3M
Annual recurring
$50.6M
Personnel
116
Initial capital (one-time) dominated by site acquisition, retrofitting, labs, imaging and a large emergency reserve; annual operating costs are driven by personnel (MTF/security/medical), food/utility provisioning, research, and a political/stealth premium.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $550.3M
Emergency Mass Outbreak Fund $500.0M
[#34] Dedicated emergency contingent fund for mass outbreak scaling (hundreds of millions to multiple billions). Conservative baseline one-time reserve assigned here.
Facilities $27.1M
[#1, #2, #3] Purchase/seizure of Site-116 and structural retrofit/perimeter construction for a small town (2,500 residents). Combined estimate uses midpoints: land/compensation ($20M), retrofit ($6M), perimeter construction ($1.25M).
Equipment $11.8M
[#4, #5, #8, #12, #18, #21, #22, #32] Electronic surveillance, generators/switchgear, MTF weapons/gear, MRI/CT purchase and shielding, industrial incinerator, secure servers, logistics fleet (armored vans baseline), and cryogenic freezers. Individual midpoints summed (surveillance $1.0M, generators $1.25M, MTF gear $1.44M, MRI/CT $4.5M, incinerator $1.25M, IT/server room $0.5M, vans $1.0M, freezers $0.5M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.0M
[#13, #15] Clinical/neuropathology lab buildout and initial research equipment/setup (BSL-2/3 spaces, histology, animal models, fMRI prep).
Contingency Stockpile $3.0M
[#30] Modular shelters, extra PPE, stockpiled amnestics and reserve modular infrastructure for surge capacity (one-time stockup).
Legal Retainer $1.2M
[#27] One-time legal retainer and setup of immediate legal infrastructure/indemnity fund.
Info Ops Platform $500K
[#20] One-time development of bespoke crawling/NLP tools and data pipelines for detection of anomalous text/communication patterns.
Training Program Development $375K
[#29] Initial one-time development of training curriculum, contractor fees and program materials.
Ppe Stockpile $350K
[#19] Initial full-body hazmat suits, decon station hardware and PPE stockpile.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $50.6M/yr
Staff Wages $12.2M/yr
[#7, #10, #11] Salaries/benefits/training for dedicated MTF teams (~36 operators ≈ $5.4M), on-site security workforce (~50 guards ≈ $3.5M), and medical staff coverage (doctors/nurses/EMT/support ≈ $3.25M).
Political Risk Premium $10.0M/yr
[#33] Opportunity cost / covert operation and stealth overhead (10–30% premium); conservative midpoint ($10M/yr) added to recurring budget for political/stealth expenses.
Research And Monitoring $8.8M/yr
[#15, #31] Ongoing long-term research program and epidemiological tracking/external investigations; includes PI/PhD salaries, animal housing, field ops (research ~$7.5M/yr + tracking ~$1.25M/yr).
Staff Welfare $5.0M/yr
[#24] Housing, per-diem, mental health support and rotation premiums for containment personnel (~$3–8M/yr midpoint used).
Cover Story And Legal $4.5M/yr
[#26, #27] Recurring misinformation/PR/legal budget (cover operations, ongoing legal costs and settlements) combined ($3.0M + $1.5M midpoints).
Food Water $3.5M/yr
[#23] Feeding, potable water, sanitation and waste removal for ~2,500 residents (midpoint ~$3.5M/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $1.0M/yr
[#14] Laboratory reagents, histology consumables, imaging agents and disposables (baseline midpoint ~$1.0M/yr).
Fuel And Energy $850K/yr
[#5, #6] Diesel/generator fuel and site energy for 2,500 residents plus servers/HVAC (generators ~$300k/yr + baseline site energy ~$550k/yr).
Information Operations $750K/yr
[#20] Ongoing server/storage costs and 4–8 analysts for continuous social-media monitoring and digital forensics (~$500–1M/yr).
It Operations $550K/yr
[#4, #21] Storage/monitoring system operations for surveillance plus secure comms/cyber-defense (~$200–300k + $200–500k components combined).
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#22] Fleet maintenance, vehicle fuel and routine logistics for armored vans and transport vehicles (midpoint ~$500k/yr).
Medical Imaging Maintenance $500K/yr
[#12] Service contracts and maintenance for MRI/CT (~8–12%/yr of purchase; midpoint used).
Training And Drills $500K/yr
[#29] Annual refresher training and mass-casualty drills (~$200–800k/yr).
Psychological Care $400K/yr
[#28] Counseling and behavioral programs for staff and contained residents (~$200–600k/yr).
Mtf Maintenance And Consumables $350K/yr
[#9] Ammunition, small arms maintenance, vehicle fuel for tactical units and training consumables (~$200–500k/yr).
Civil Administration $350K/yr
[#25] Midwifery/obstetrics, recordkeeping, morgue management and administrative overhead (~$200–500k/yr).
Contingency Maintenance $350K/yr
[#30] Rotation and maintenance of reserve stockpiles, spare shelters and supply rotation (~$200–500k/yr).
Data Archiving Maintenance $200K/yr
[#32] Power/maintenance/cataloging for cryogenic freezers and secure archives (~$100–300k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $125K/yr
[#3] Annual maintenance, repair and replacement for perimeter fencing, checkpoints, lighting (midpoint $125k/yr).
Ppe Replacement $125K/yr
[#19] Recurring PPE consumables and replacement (~$50–200k/yr).
Amnestic Program $50K/yr
[#16] Procurement and administration of Class-A amnestics and IV supplies; baseline estimate for ~25 treatments/yr at ~$2k each.
Restraint Termination $50K/yr
[#17] Restraint equipment, humane termination operations and processing (small baseline cadence).
Incineration Operation $50K/yr
[#18] Routine fuel/operation costs for dedicated incineration and hazardous waste processing (tens of bodies/yr baseline).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $50.6M/yr
86.9% probability / year
Normal operating year with no major incidents; regular containment and research operations only.
steady containment planned research activities routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $52.6M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized outbreak or small containment breach requiring emergency response, overtime and limited legal/PR action.
small breach localized mass-affliction (<1% of population) major equipment failure
🚨 Major Breach $75.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant breach or multi-day uncontrolled outbreak requiring large-scale mobilization, casualty processing and major repairs.
extended containment failure large coordinated violence infrastructure damage
🚨 Political Exposure $70.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Legal/political exposure event with major litigation, public investigations and required covert payouts and expanded cover operations.
leak or whistleblower high-profile litigation media exposure
🚨 Mass Outbreak $1.5B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$1.5B vs baseline
Catastrophic scenario where SCP-2299 affects very large populations requiring national-scale quarantine, food/housing for tens-to-hundreds of thousands, mass cremation and multi-site containment.
outbreak >10,000 infected multiple-site simultaneous spread national emergency mobilization
👥 Personnel 116 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 36 [#7, #8] Three rotating MTF teams (36 operators total) required for perpetual high alert; wage estimate derived from fully-loaded per-operator cost used in staff_wages.
Security Guard (On-site) 50 [#3, #10] Perimeter and gate staff, routine internal security (50 guards used for baseline staffing and matched to security wage totals).
Medical Officer / Nurses / EMT 30 [#11, #12] Combined doctors, nurses and EMT/support staff providing continuous coverage for treatments, imaging and emergency response; headcount calibrated to the medical salary pool.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide extensive line-item ranges allowing mid-point estimates for a small-site baseline, but large uncertainty remains around outbreak scale, legal settlements, and political premium; catastrophic scenarios are highly uncertain.
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