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SCP-2305 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2305
Expected annual
$327K
One-time setup
$5.5M
Annual recurring
$291K
Personnel
1.85
One-time setup and reserves are dominated by contingency and catastrophic reserves, while recurring costs are driven by cybersecurity, discretionary testing reserves, and legal/cover-up readiness. Baseline containment is modest; the primary cost drivers are large low-probability contingency funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.5M
Insurance Reserve Catastrophic $5.0M
[#19] Catastrophic-loss reserve for large-scale failures tied to executing a 2305-A method (order-of-magnitude contingency).
Incident Response Initial Reserve $500K
[#10] Initial contingency/reserve fund for incident response and forensic investigations (standing reserve).
Equipment $19K
[#2, #4, #18] CCTV/tamper sensors and logging one-time install; secure archival server hardware and initial secure config; data-redaction/physical destruction equipment one-time purchase.
Facilities $6K
[#1] Reinforced high-value locker fabrication/installation (materials, labor, humidity controller).
Sop Creation Initial $4K
[#8] SOP creation and initial staff training one-time costs.
Background Checks Initial $2K
[#6] Initial background checks / clearance maintenance (two personnel initial vetting estimated).
Document Preservation Supplies Initial $650
[#7] Initial purchase of acid-free sleeves, archival folders, gloves, archival pens and conservation checks start-up supplies.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $291K/yr
Discretionary Testing Fund $100K/yr
[#17] Recommended annual discretionary fund for small sanctioned tests if policy allows (conservative default).
Cover Story And Legal $62K/yr
[#11] Annual legal/PR/OPSEC contingency fund for low-probability public-exposure events.
Incident Response Replenish $50K/yr
[#10] Annual expected replenishment budget for incident-response reserve (replenish as episodically used).
Access Security Marginal $25K/yr
[#13] Marginal security staffing/patrol adjustments attributable to 2305 (if not fully absorbed by site baseline).
Controlled Testing Audit $15K/yr
[#15] Audits/compliance review to enforce testing moratorium and review experimental proposals.
Cybersecurity Audit $10K/yr
[#9] Regular penetration testing, audits, and red-team exercises for archival systems.
O5 Approval Overhead $8K/yr
[#12] Administrative cost/opportunity cost for convening O5/Executive reviewers (~1–2 convenings/yr).
Psychological Support $5K/yr
[#16] Counseling and psychological support for staff exposed to 2305-A materials.
Staff Wages $5K/yr
[#3] Weekly researcher archival/photography time (78 hrs/yr @ $60/hr).
Secure Server Annual $4K/yr
[#4] Annual storage expansion, sysadmin support, and secure off-site encrypted backup operations for archival server.
Sop Refresher Annual $2K/yr
[#8] Annual refresher training, SOP updates, and training materials.
Chain Of Custody Admin $2K/yr
[#5] Administrative time and consumables for chain-of-custody logs, seals, audits, and file integrity checks.
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#14] Budgeted annual average for secure transport/insurance per-move (expected low-frequency moves averaged into annual figure).
Supplies And Consumables $850/yr
[#7, #20] Document preservation replacement consumables and miscellaneous consumables (staples, toner, batteries, bags).
Background Check Renewals $800/yr
[#6] Annual re-screening/psych checks for authorized personnel (approx. $200–$500/yr per person; 2 people).
Data Redaction Annual $600/yr
[#18] Annual costs for scheduled secure destruction, certification, and secure deletion operations.
Cctv Maintenance $500/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance, sensor replacement, and local log storage for locker CCTV and tamper sensors.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $291K/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine archival, audits, training, and maintenance only.
routine_operations scheduled_training regular_audits
🚨 Minor Incident $491K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized unauthorized access attempt or small data exfiltration requiring incident response and limited legal/forensic action.
unauthorized_access_attempt small_data_exfiltration failed_neutralization_attempt (contained)
🚨 Sanctioned Test Event $541K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
A sanctioned small-scale test or sanctioned 'sanity check' against a 2305-A method that requires the discretionary testing fund and elevated incident response readiness.
sanctioned_small_test experimental_variation_attempt required O5 oversight
🚨 Major Breach $5.3M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
A personnel action based on SCP-2305-A advice or large-scale failed neutralization attempt causing multi-million damages and major forensic/cover operations.
unauthorized_execution_of_2305-A_method large-scale_failed_neutralization widespread_secrecy_breach
👥 Personnel 1.85 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1.0 [#3] One researcher responsible for weekly archival/photography (Level 2–3 clearance).
Administrative Staff (part-time) 0.25 [#5] Part-time administrative support for chain-of-custody logs and audits (fractional FTE reflected in recurring admin cost).
Security Officer / MTF Agent (marginal coverage) 0.5 [#13] Marginal dedicated security staffing attributable to 2305 (absorbed as partial FTE/marginal shifts).
IT / Sysadmin (fractional) 0.1 [#4, #9] Fractional sysadmin/IT time for secure archival server maintenance and cybersecurity audits.
📋 Confidence Notes
Baseline operational costs (locker, archival, weekly handling, server, routine audits) are well-specified; however contingency reserves and catastrophic-loss estimates have very wide ranges and depend on policy decisions and rare events, reducing overall confidence.
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