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SCP-2333 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2333
Expected annual
$1.8M
One-time setup
$1.0M
Annual recurring
$1.8M
Personnel
15
Initial capital/setup ≈ $1.01M driven by facility upgrades, containment outfitting, and core laboratory equipment; recurring annual operations ≈ $1.79M driven mainly by staff wages, specialized assays, waste disposal, and surveillance/legal upkeep.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.0M
Facilities $420K
[#1, #7] Renovation/build-out to BSL-2 plus HVAC/filtration installation and validation (item #1 estimate $150k–$500k; HVAC install/validation portion of #7 $40k–$200k).
Equipment $288K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #12, #17] Humanoid cell outfitting and furnishings/alarms (#2), Class II biosafety cabinet (#3), large autoclave & chemical decon setup (#4), -80°C freezer capacity (#5), monitoring equipment purchase (EEG/vitals) (#12 one-time portion), stereotaxic/neurosurgical equipment purchase (#17).
Legal Pr Initial $200K
[#22] Initial legal/PR/cover-up and evidence-removal costs (one-time portion of #22).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $70K
[#19, #20] Initial training/certification and respirator fit-testing startup costs (#19 initial portion) and data management / secure IT / LIMS initial purchase/setup (#20 one-time portion).
Backup Power Purchase $32K
[#6] Generator + UPS purchase for freezers and critical monitoring (one-time purchase portion of #6).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #21] 24/7 security (6 FTEs) (#8 ≈ $270k/yr), on-site researchers (3 FTEs used for estimate from #9), containment technicians/animal care (3 FTEs from #10), medical personnel (0.5 physician + 0.5 nurse combined) (#11), and external surveillance agents (2 agents included from #21). Salaries incl. benefits as noted.
Research And Monitoring $240K/yr
[#12, #13, #15, #16, #17, #27] Monitoring equipment maintenance (#12 recurring), imaging & diagnostic outsourcing and per-test costs (#13), specialized prion assays & reagents (#15), animal model costs (#16), stereotaxic supplies recurring (#17 recurring), and inventory management/chain-of-custody auditing (#27).
Contingency Reserve $150K/yr
[#30] Contingency/reserve fund (recommended 10–20% of annual operations; chosen midpoint here).
Waste Disposal Incineration $75K/yr
[#18] Waste disposal & incineration for prion-contaminated material (recurring fees, #18).
Supplies And Consumables $55K/yr
[#14, #28] PPE, disposable consumables & sharps management (#14) and small equipment/disposables & maintenance (#28).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#22] Ongoing legal, PR, evidence-removal upkeep and cover-story maintenance (recurring portion of #22).
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#7] HVAC filtration monitoring, environmental monitoring and periodic re-validation (recurring portion of #7).
Psychological Support $20K/yr
[#25] Psychological support and employee assistance program for exposed staff (#25).
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#29] Secure transport, specimen shipping and courier under secure conditions (#29).
Training And Certification $10K/yr
[#19] Annual refresher training, certification and respirator fit-testing (recurring portion of #19).
Backup Power Maintenance $4K/yr
[#6] Annual maintenance for generator + UPS (recurring maintenance portion of #6, est. $3k–$6k/yr).
Incident Response Per Incident $0/yr
[#23] Per-incident surge costs for screening, emergency quarantines and staffing; costed per-scenario rather than as a fixed annual line item (see scenarios).
Isolation Bed Daily Rate $0/yr
[#24] Daily per-bed isolation/quarantine cost when used (per-use cost; held as per-event figure, not a standing annual cost).
Autopsy Disposal Per Case $0/yr
[#26] Morgue/autopsy and secure disposal per deceased infected subject (per-event cost; not budgeted as recurring fixed line).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr
92.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine research, containment, surveillance, and legal upkeep only.
no_breach steady_research_throughput routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$80K vs baseline
Limited exposure event requiring targeted screening and short-term surge staffing (e.g., ~100 people screened).
limited_exposure targeted_screening emergency_staff_overtime
🚨 Major Breach $2.3M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant containment failure or widespread exposure requiring mass screening, quarantine beds, legal response and large-scale logistics.
widespread_exposure mass_quarantine large-scale_legal_response
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Unexpected research breakthrough or deliberate scale-up requiring expanded assays, animal cohorts, and temporary staff/equipment hires.
positive_research_outcome scale_up_study temporary_hires
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#8] 24/7 site-level security: 2guards per shift × 3 shifts = 6 FTEs (costs included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist 3 [#9] Level-3 clearance on-site researchers: 2–4 FTEs recommended; 3 FTEs used for budgeting.
Containment Technician / Animal Care Staff 3 [#10] 2–3 FTEs recommended for containment tasks and animal care; 3 FTEs assumed.
Medical Officer / Nursing 1 [#11] ~0.5 FTE physician + 0.5 FTE nurse combined into 1.0 FTE equivalent for budgeting and on-call coverage.
Covert Surveillance Agent 2 [#21] External site surveillance of original hospice: 2agents included in recurring staffing budget.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of provided ranges and explicit FTE assumptions from analyst notes. Many items (incident costs, staffing mixes, contingency sizing) are scenario-dependent and were approximated; therefore confidence is medium rather than high.
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