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SCP-2338 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2338
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$1.0M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
18.75
One-time startup capital is moderate (~$1.0M) driven by dorm conversion, vehicle and testing rig purchases and cover-story establishment; recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages, medical care and contingency, totaling ~$1.88M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.0M
Facilities $250K
[#1] Dorm conversion: child-safe containment refurb (padded walls, reinforced ceiling, aquatic enclosure, accessible bathrooms, permits).
R And D Escalation Reserve $250K
[#30] Capital reserve for unpredictable R&D escalation (large flight arena, aquatic habitat, etc.).
Equipment $220K
[#2, #3, #5, #16, #20, #22] CCTV/purchase ($25k), containment/incident gear ($10k), medical bay upgrades ($50k), specialized testing rigs ($75k), IT/tablets ($10k), secure transport vehicle purchase ($50k).
Cover Story Creation $150K
[#24] One-time cost to establish covers/records and administrative setup for 23 individuals.
Initial Medical Testing $85K
[#6] Baseline MRIs/CTs/X-rays, blood panels, genetic testing for 23 instances.
Staff Training Initial $20K
[#23] Initial background checks, clearances and specialized training setup.
Costume Conservation $15K
[#4] Initial conservator/artisan stabilization for fragile costumes.
Aac Devices $10K
[#13] One-time purchase of AAC tablets/devices for non-verbal communication.
Toys Initial $5K
[#19] Initial starter kit for toys, learning materials and arts supplies.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #12, #13, #14] Salaries + benefits: dorm supervisor ($80k), 6 direct-care FTEs ($240k), 2 nurses ($150k), 6 security guards ($300k), education teacher + aide ($95k), ASL instructor ($60k), behavioural therapist (~0.75 FTE @$100k => $75k).
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#15, #16, #30] Ongoing anomalous research budget ($200k/yr), testing/staffing costs for specialized rigs ($50k/yr), plus a modest recurring R&D escalation allowance ($50k/yr).
Incident Contingency Fund $150K/yr
[#27] Recommended contingency fund (~10% of operating budget) for emergencies, urgent contractor work and equipment replacement.
Administrative Overhead $112K/yr
[#28] Pro-rated Site-19 overhead: HR, payroll, insurance, command support (mid-range estimate).
Ongoing Medical Care $75K/yr
[#7] Ongoing pediatric follow-ups, medications (hormone regulation, vaccines), specialist consults (conservative mid-range estimate).
Supplies And Consumables $74K/yr
[#3, #5, #17, #18, #19, #20] Replenishment of containment consumables ($5k), medical consumables ($10k), food & nutrition ($30k), laundry/continence supplies ($17k), toys/arts replacement ($10k), IT licensing/updates ($2k).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#24] Ongoing legal/cover-story maintenance, records, liaison and admin (~$50k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#22] Vehicle maintenance, fuel and driver costs for dedicated secure transport (~$30k/yr).
Family Psychosocial Operations $25K/yr
[#25] Ongoing family identity investigation, controlled contact logistics and cultural/linguistic accommodations.
Facilities Maintenance $23K/yr
[#2, #21] CCTV/system maintenance ($5k/yr) and incremental utilities/occasional facility maintenance including pool heating/filtration ($18k/yr).
Audits And Compliance $18K/yr
[#29] Annual audits, ethical review and external compliance costs (mid-range).
Costume Repairs And Conservation $12K/yr
[#4] Annual conservator work, consumable art materials and repairs for bonded costumes.
Staff Training Renewals $5K/yr
[#23] Annual refresher training, clearance renewals and specialized certifications (~$5k/yr).
Waste Management $5K/yr
[#26] Biohazard and anomalous-material waste disposal services (~$5k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, scheduled medical care, research and no containment incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_medical_visits planned_research_activity
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized medical emergency, equipment failure or small containment incident requiring urgent replacement/contractor work and temporary staffing overtime.
medical_emergency equipment_failure small_containment_repair
🚨 Major Breach $2.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant security breach or mass-casualty incident requiring large-scale response, legal action, major repairs and potential relocation or replacement of infrastructure.
security_breach mass_casualty legal_exposure
👥 Personnel 18.75 total
Role Count Notes
Dorm Supervisor 1 [#8] One dedicated dorm supervisor (salary+benefits ~$80k/yr).
Direct Care / Childcare Workers 6 [#9] Six FTE childcare staff for 24/7 coverage (6 FTE @ ~$40k each = $240k/yr).
Nursing / Medical Personnel 2 [#10] Two rotating trained nurses to administer meds and handle incidents (2 FTE @ ~$75k = $150k/yr).
Security Officer / Guard 6 [#11] Six low-security guards for 24/7 rotations (~$50k each = $300k/yr).
Education Teacher 1 [#12] One special education teacher (~$60k/yr).
Education Aide 1 [#12] One classroom aide (~$35k/yr).
ASL Instructor / Communication Specialist 1 [#13] Full-time ASL/communication specialist (~$60k/yr).
Behavioral Therapist / Psychologist 0.75 [#14] ~0.75 FTE behavioural therapist/psychologist (~$100k FTE => ~$75k/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items for staffing, equipment and recurring needs, so numeric estimates are fairly well-grounded; however anomalous properties and security/legal exposure (and potential R&D escalation) introduce structural uncertainty that prevents a high-confidence rating.
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