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SCP-2379 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2379
Expected annual
$42.0M
One-time setup
$146.5M
Annual recurring
$37.3M
Personnel
54
Initial capital expenditures are dominated by infrastructure, equipment procurement, and large contingency reserves (one-time ≈ $146.5M). Annual recurring operations are driven by cover/legal operations, staffing (MTF and embedded agents), logistics, remediation and R&D, totaling ≈ $37.3M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $146.5M
Catastrophic Response Reserve $100.0M
[#29] Large-scale catastrophic response reserve for urban mass-incineration / evacuation contingencies.
Contingency Reserve $20.0M
[#22] Containment / political contingency reserve (one-time fund set aside).
Equipment $16.4M
[#8, #9, #14, #25, #5] Heavy dismantling fleet, aerial procurement (aircraft/helicopter modification), drone/sensor fleet & initial R&D, secure comms capital, and social-media/monitoring development.
Facilities $6.5M
[#1, #21] Site upgrades and sealed fungi suites at Site-19/Site-77 plus regional hub setup (3 hubs).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.1M
[#15, #16] Research startup and lab setup for mycology/aerosol characterization plus initial neutralizer development/stockpile.
Legal And Covert Access Setup $1.1M
[#6] One-time costs for search-engine partnerships, clandestine access setup, initial legal/lobbying/clandestine access buy-ins.
Initial Training And Certification $375K
[#7] Initial specialized training and certifications for MTF-Psi-7 operators.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $37.3M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $16.2M/yr
[#10, #6, #17, #19, #20, #18] Legal retainers/cover operations, ongoing covert/search-engine maintenance, amnestic production/rehab cover programs, intelligence liaisons/bribery, PR/misinformation, and civilian relocation/compensation costs.
Staff Wages $6.5M/yr
[#4, #7, #30] Embedded meteorological agents, MTF-Psi-7 operator salaries (36 operators), and program administrative salaries.
Logistics And Transport $4.2M/yr
[#3, #8, #9, #23] Sample transport & secure courier operations, heavy-equipment maintenance/fuel, aerial operation contracting costs, and long-range staging transport for major events.
Research And Monitoring $3.3M/yr
[#15, #16, #13, #14, #24, #5] Ongoing mycology/aerosol R&D, neutralizer replenishment, medical monitoring, drone/sensor operations, ecological monitoring, and social-media/OSINT analyst costs.
Environmental Remediation $2.8M/yr
[#11] Site remediation, ash disposal, contaminated soil removal and associated long-term cleanup per burned site.
International Operations Overhead $1.2M/yr
[#28] Mexico/El Salvador-specific legal cover, local hires, liaison, and overhead.
Incident Command And Dispatch $900K/yr
[#21] Staffing and operations for regional rapid-response logistics hubs and 24/7 dispatch.
Facilities Maintenance $750K/yr
[#1, #2] Site operations (power, HVAC/HEPA maintenance, negative-pressure maintenance) and incremental facility operating costs.
Replacement And Unexpected Losses $600K/yr
[#27] Annual replacement budget for lost/damaged vehicles, drones, PPE, and equipment attrition.
Training And Exercises $300K/yr
[#26] Annual large-scale drills and seasonal readiness exercises.
Communications And It $275K/yr
[#25] Ongoing secure comms, encrypted data center/cloud costs, and counter-surveillance operations.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#12] PPE, HAZMAT suits, respirators, decontamination supplies replacement for field personnel.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $37.3M/yr
63.0% probability / year
Normal year with seasonal monitoring, routine operations, and no major containment failures.
seasonal storms/hurricane monitoring no large urban infestation routine research and operations
🚨 Minor Incident $42.3M/yr
35.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Moderate outbreak(s) requiring multiple regional incinerations, increased remediation and temporary relocation assistance.
localized caravan reaches population center multiple small burn-and-remediate operations increased aerial/ground operations
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $187.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Large uncontrolled infestation requiring urban-scale response, mass evacuation, and extensive remediation.
major containment failure urban-wide infestation military-level intervention / mass incineration
👥 Personnel 54 total
Role Count Notes
MTF Operator / Security (MTF-Psi-7) 36 [#7] Three regional teams of ~12 operators each; fully-loaded operator cost used in staff wage totals.
Embedded Agent (Meteorological liaisons) 8 [#4] Embedded agents in U.S., Mexico, El Salvador (estimated 6–12; midpoint used).
Administrative Staff / Program Management 10 [#30] Program directors, finance, procurement and oversight included in staff wage totals.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many line-item ranges and operational descriptions, enabling a mid-confidence estimate for budgets; significant uncertainty remains in frequencies of incidents, choice between renting vs. procuring aircraft, and political/legal costs—hence not high confidence.
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