SCP-2396 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2396
Expected annual
$21.3M
One-time setup
$76.8M
Annual recurring
$20.5M
Personnel
110
Initial one-time setup costs are substantial due to site hardening, a large contingency reserve, vehicle and monitoring procurement. Annual recurring costs (~$20.5M/year) are driven by staff wages, R&D/monitoring, screening programs, and logistics/response operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $76.8M
Contingency Reserve $55.0M
[#18] Capital reserve for worst-case wide-scale conversion or containment breach (air assets, mass incineration, evacuations).
Equipment $11.3M
[#3, #5, #7, #8, #20, #23] Monitoring infrastructure, Site-19 cell fit-out, initial CTF equipment, incendiary/incineration hardware purchase, vehicle fleet procurement, and one-time secure communications procurement.
Facilities $9.0M
[#1] Provisional site construction and hardening including exclusion-zone roads, checkpoints, fencing, guard towers, and land acquisition/lease costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.2M
[#12] Laboratory diagnostics & pathology initial setup costs for biochemical/forensic analysis.
Legal And Hr Setup $150K
[#24] One-time legal/process setup to implement female-identifying-only staffing policy and related HR infrastructure.
Amnestic Stockpile $100K
[#16] Initial Class-B amnestic stockpile procurement and secure storage.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $20.5M/yr
Staff Wages $7.3M/yr
[#2, #6, #7, #11, #28] Salaries for continuous perimeter security, on-site female-identifying staff, sustaining CTF Λ-6 salaries/ops, on-site medical staff and surveillance analysts.
Research And Monitoring $7.1M/yr
[#12, #13, #17] Ongoing lab running costs, civilian screening program costs, and multi-year R&D program to neutralize area effect and study anomalous sugar production.
Cover Story And Legal $1.5M/yr
[#24, #25, #26, #31] Ongoing legal counsel/HR operations, community mitigation/landowner compensation, cover story operations/records management, and public emergency coordination/liaison.
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#8, #21] Fuel/maintenance for incendiary equipment and vehicle/aircraft ops including pilots/drivers, fuel, parts, hangar/tie-down and insurance.
Facilities Maintenance $650K/yr
[#4] Monitoring hardware maintenance, drone ops maintenance, camera upkeep, bandwidth/telemetry and routine site systems maintenance.
Candy Collection Ops $625K/yr
[#9] Field teams to collect/search/secure and incinerate SCP-2396-A instances (personnel, kits, transport, on-site incineration).
Temporary Detention Operations $600K/yr
[#14] Lease/operation of secure temporary holding and processing facilities for screening/detention of civilians.
Training And Exercises $325K/yr
[#22] Regular CTF drills, incineration exercises, medical response training, and certifications.
Environmental Remediation $300K/yr
[#19] Ash/waste disposal, environmental monitoring, transport and landfill/incinerator fees and permits resulting from frequent incineration.
Termination Operations Per Incident $275K/yr
[#15] Expected annual cost of termination operations (per-incident cost averaged over expected incident frequency; $27,500 per incident × assumed ~10 incidents/year).
Amnestic Resupply $175K/yr
[#16] Annual resupply, administration and training costs for Class-B amnestics.
Secure It And Comms Maintenance $125K/yr
[#23] Ongoing costs for encrypted radios, satellite comms, secured networks, and data retention subscriptions/maintenance.
Psychological Services $125K/yr
[#27] Counseling and staff resilience programs for personnel exposed to traumatic operations.
Supplies And Consumables $102K/yr
[#10, #30] Consumable feeding supply for SCP-2396 and small-item/consumables (PPE, batteries, test strips, containers).
Record Retention $60K/yr
[#29] Secure archive, retention costs for logs, surveillance footage, amnestic records and audits.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $20.5M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, collection, screening, and no major containment breaches.
steady production of SCP-2396-A routine collections and screening no large-scale breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $21.7M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Localized spike in SCP-2396-A production leading to several SCP-2396-B conversions or attempted breaches requiring additional response, incineration, medical care, and public processing.
stress-induced production spike multiple detected SCP-2396-A clusters small coordinated CTF responses
🚨 Major Breach $50.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or rapid, widespread conversion event requiring mass incineration, air assets, large-scale evacuations, and activation of contingency reserves.
multiple simultaneous SCP-2396-B breaches rapid area-wide candy production failure of perimeter and monitoring systems
👥 Personnel 110 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 45 [#2] 24/7 manned checkpoints and roving patrols (analyst noted 30–60 personnel; median used).
Containment Task Force Lambda-6 (CTF operatives) 30 [#7] Female-only task force for patrol and termination operations; formation and sustainment costs budgeted.
Research Scientist 15 [#12, #17] R&D and lab staff for neutralization research and diagnostics.
Surveillance Analyst 7 [#28] Image/video review and drone/CCTV analytics staffing.
Medical Officer 3 [#11] On-site medics trained for hyper/hypoglycemia and hazardous exposure care.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#4, #21] Maintenance and technical staff for drones, cameras, vehicles and comms.
Administrative Staff 5 [#24, #29, #26] HR, legal, records management and cover-story administration.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#6] Oversight and executive coordination for Provisional Site-2396 operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item ranges are provided in the analyst notes so mid-point estimates were used, but key uncertainties remain (incident frequency, R&D duration/scope, local population density). Large one-time contingency and multi-year R&D introduce major variance.
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