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SCP-2397 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2397
Expected annual
$3.0M
One-time setup
$7.5M
Annual recurring
$2.9M
Personnel
17
First-year startup is estimated at approximately $7.49M driven primarily by site construction, fencing, temporary site build-out and a significant incident-response reserve; ongoing annual operations are ~$2.93M driven by staffing, transport (charters), fuel and maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.5M
Facilities $3.6M
[#1, #3, #5, #15] Includes perimeter fencing, provisional Site-193 build-out, access improvements (road/helipad) and shaft remediation/stabilization.
Incident Response Reserve $1.5M
[#27] Reserved fund for large-scale cover-ups, emergency evacuations or mass amnestic campaigns.
Equipment $975K
[#2, #4, #6, #7, #19, #20] Camera/tower/sensor arrays, diesel gensets/tanks, vehicles/ATVs/snowmobiles, communications/IT hardware and professionally produced signage initial purchase.
Decommissioning $550K
[#30] Estimated cost to deconstruct site and remediate environment at end-of-program.
Land Acquisition $500K
[#16] Purchase of ~1.69 km^2 (conservative median purchase estimate; lease alternative recorded in recurring costs).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#13] Field research kits, basic lab instruments (microscopes, field drills) and initial sample-handling gear.
Ppe $88K
[#22] Initial cold-weather PPE and specialty winter equipment for staff (15–20 staff assumed).
Evidence Handling $55K
[#14] Forensic testing, curation and initial investigation/curation costs.
Cover Story Setup $40K
[#17] Initial local-liaison/cover-story payments, signage and community-relation setup.
Amnestics Stockpile $35K
[#11] Initial controlled-substance procurement and secure storage setup.
Training Setup $35K
[#23] One-time program setup for amnestic training, winter-field skills and emergency response drills.
Cold Storage $32K
[#21] Ultra-low freezers and alarm/redundant power for biological sample archive.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.9M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#9, #10, #12] Security staffing (10–14 personnel), medical technician(s) on-call, and scientific research team salaries (2–4 scientists + 1 lab tech).
Facilities Maintenance $436K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #2] Temporary site operations (heating, cleaning), generator fuel/maintenance, seasonal snow-clearing, surveillance maintenance and minor signage replacement.
Logistics And Transport $405K/yr
[#7, #8] Vehicle fuel/maintenance for ground patrols and helicopter/charter flight budget for staff rotation, medevac and resupply.
Cover Story And Legal $125K/yr
[#17, #18] Local government liaison/community relations ongoing payments and legal/compliance retainer for covert permit management.
Seasonal Field Campaigns $125K/yr
[#28] Periodic summer surges: charter flights, temporary staff and extended analyses during intensive campaigns.
Research And Monitoring $85K/yr
[#13] Ongoing sample analyses: sequencing, isotope work, microscopy and sample shipping/cold-chain analyses.
Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr
[#25] Food, office supplies, cleaning, lab disposables and routine provisioning for on-site staff.
Training $60K/yr
[#23] Recurring training, staff rotation travel costs and refresher courses.
Psychological Program $45K/yr
[#24] Ongoing mental-health screenings, counseling and sick-leave contingencies for exposed staff.
Communications $22K/yr
[#19] Satellite uplink, encrypted radios bandwidth/licensing and ongoing comms service fees.
Waste Management $20K/yr
[#26] Hazardous-material transport and certified disposal (fuel/oil, biohazards, used amnestic supplies).
Long Term Archival $20K/yr
[#29] Personnel clearances, secure archival and records-retention costs.
Data Storage $18K/yr
[#20] Server maintenance, cloud backups and IT security subscriptions/licenses.
Ppe $15K/yr
[#22] Annual replacement/repair of cold-weather PPE.
Cold Storage $10K/yr
[#21] Power and maintenance for ultra-low freezers and alarms.
Amnestics Stockpile $10K/yr
[#11] Annual replacement and handling costs for amnestics stockpile.
Amnestic Administration $10K/yr
[#10] Per-administration consumables and drug cost estimate (~$500 × ~20 administrations/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.9M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful operational year with routine maintenance, research and staffing levels.
routine_operations scheduled_research_campaigns
🚨 Minor Incident $3.1M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized breach or medical evacuation requiring limited emergency response, repairs and targeted amnestic administration.
localized_breach medical_evacuations small_scale_cover-up
🚨 Major Breach $5.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or public exposure requiring mass amnestics, contractor remediation, large-scale cover-up and potential litigation.
widespread_exposure mass_amnestic_campaign litigation_and_remediation
🚨 Research Scale Up $3.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Major research finding triggers scale-up of scientific effort, additional temporary staff, equipment purchases and intensified sampling campaigns.
promising_research_finding expanded_field_campaigns
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#9] 24/7 coverage for perimeter/intercepts; count derived from 10–14 full-time personnel estimate.
Research Scientist 3 [#12] Field ecology/geology/psychology researchers (2–4 estimated).
Lab Technician 1 [#12] Single lab tech to support sample processing and analyses.
Medical Officer 1 [#10] On-call med tech for amnestic administration and medical monitoring.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and operational assumptions, but many remote-location premiums, incident probabilities and reserve sizing are approximate; estimates are mid-range selections from provided ranges.
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