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SCP-2446 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-2446
Expected annual
$9.2M
One-time setup
$16.7M
Annual recurring
$9.0M
Personnel
20
One-time capital expenditures are dominated by a recommended catastrophic-response seed fund and Site-76 containment/upgrade work (~$16.7M total one-time). Recurring annual costs are driven by staff wages, covert legal/PR operations, and an active research/monitoring program (~$9.0M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $16.7M
Contingency Catastrophic Seed $11.0M
[#27] Recommended one-time catastrophic-response reserve seed fund (midpoint of $2M–$20M).
Facilities $3.8M
[#1] Site-76 secure storage wing upgrade (walk-in refrigeration/freezer vaults, BSL-3 necropsy rooms, decon anterooms, negative-pressure HVAC/HEPA, secure evidence lockers) estimated midpoint of $1.5M–$6M.
Equipment $1.7M
[#2, #3, #5, #11, #13, #14, #17, #18, #19, #29] Freezers (-80°C) and monitoring kit, incinerator/autoclave purchase & install, mobile retrieval vans, initial scene containment kits, GPR equipment, monitoring software setup, mobile morgue trailer(s), secure communications procurement, specialized extraction tools, and evidence IT setup aggregated (midpoint estimates).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K
[#9] Amnestic procurement facility and approvals (one-time procurement/setup costs for controlled production/storage of Class-B agents).
Front Company Setup $112K
[#24] One-time setup costs to create front companies / black-budget shell entities (setup midpoint $25k–$200k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.0M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $2.3M/yr
[#8, #10, #24, #25] Covert PR/legal/records-scrubbing operations, off-books liaison/hush payments to local law enforcement, ongoing front-company operational budgets, and incident deception/staging capacity (annual midpoints).
Staff Wages $1.9M/yr
[#4, #5, #14] Salaries for professional pathology/forensics (pathologists, histologists, molecular biologists), drivers/operators for mobile retrieval teams, and 24/7 monitoring analysts (aggregated midpoint salaries).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#12, #13, #26] Forensic/genomic testing per specimen (assumed baseline sample throughput), environmental survey program (GPR/inspections), and ongoing scientific research grants (midpoint annual research program).
Personnel Reserve Fund $1.1M/yr
[#15] Recurring reserve balance to cover legal settlements and large liabilities as an annual budgeted buffer (midpoint of recommended range; treated as recurring reserve allocation).
Logistics And Transport $942K/yr
[#6, #7, #17, #20, #21] Heavy-equipment rentals for embedded retrievals, annual contingency for structural repairs/contractor cover, mobile morgue trailer upkeep, wastewater/hazard remediation contingency, and transportation fuel/vehicle ops (aggregated midpoints).
Facilities Maintenance $288K/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #18, #28] Recurring maintenance/filter/HVAC costs for containment upgrades, freezer electricity & maintenance, incinerator fuel & upkeep, communications service, and increased Site-76 energy load.
Insurance And Liability $175K/yr
[#15] Annual insurance premiums and liability coverage (midpoint $50k–$300k).
Psychological Services $175K/yr
[#23] Ongoing psychological evaluation and counseling program for staff (midpoint).
Audits And Counterintelligence $175K/yr
[#30] Routine audits, background checks, polygraphs and internal counterintelligence to prevent leaks (midpoint).
Training And Separation $150K/yr
[#16] Administrative overhead and training/separation protocol costs to keep Lambda-5 unaware (midpoint).
Temporary Housing $110K/yr
[#22] Temporary housing/safehouse budgets for witnesses or quarantined staff (annual midpoint).
Amnestic Procurement And Administration $82K/yr
[#9] Recurring per-administration costs for Class-B amnestics (assumes ~30 administrations/yr midpoint).
Evidence Management $62K/yr
[#29] Annual staffing/licensing and operations for evidence cataloging, chain-of-custody, and secure archiving (midpoint).
Supplies And Consumables $57K/yr
[#11, #19] Replenishment of PPE/scene consumables and consumables/tool replacement for specialized extraction equipment (annual midpoints).
Contingency Replenish $0/yr
[#27] Contingency replenishment of catastrophic fund is event-driven; no fixed baseline annual allocation assumed here.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.0M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Routine year with typical monitoring, containment, research, and occasional specimen processing at baseline throughput; no major multi-site incidents.
normal monitoring activity sporadic single-instance retrievals no simultaneous mass manifestations
🚨 Minor Incident $9.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
One or a few high-visibility retrievals requiring increased rentals, structural repairs, extra legal/PR actions, and surge forensic testing.
high-visibility civilian discovery embedded manifestation in infrastructure local media attention requiring deception/legal response
🚨 Major Incident $14.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Simultaneous or mass manifestations requiring emergency fleet expansion, major structural remediation, large settlements, and rapid research scaling.
multiple simultaneous manifestations mass public exposure or litigation need to deploy contingency seed funds
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Forensic Pathologist / Research Scientist 2 [#4] Senior forensic/pathology staff included in staff wages.
Lab Technician / Histologist 4 [#4] Technical lab support for autopsies, histology, sequencing included in staff wages.
Driver / Mobile Retrieval Operator 6 [#5] Drivers/operators for mobile retrieval vans; personnel salaries accounted in staff wages.
Monitoring Analyst 6 [#14] 24/7 triage/monitoring analysts to process social/police feeds; salaries included in staff wages.
Administrative Staff 2 [#16, #29] Administrative and evidence-management staff functions to cover training, scheduling and evidence licensing (salary remainder allocated to staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of wide ranges and depend heavily on unknown manifestation frequency and severity; Keter-class behavior and many per-incident, variable costs produce substantial uncertainty.
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