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SCP-2472 Safe1 ~ medium confidence
SCP-2472
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$670K
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
12
Initial setup is dominated by retrofitting, specialized equipment and a sizeable contingency; ongoing annual costs (~$1.86M/yr) are driven primarily by staffed analog security, an on-site research team, facility lease/operations, and cross-site coordination/legal work.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $670K
Contingency Buffer One Time $150K
[#24] One-time contingency buffer for unforeseen technical/legal/operational first-year costs.
Facilities $125K
[#2] Retrofit of auxiliary facility to remove/segregate automated detection and install analog isolation rooms.
Equipment $125K
[#3, #4, #5, #14] Faraday-lined transport/storage cases, purchase of armored/low-electronics transport vehicle, custom mechanical safe/containment cabinet, fireproof/offline cabinets for archives.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $112K
[#8, #13, #23] One-time data-collection/setup for ML/forensics, initial stock of paper/analog consumables, research-grade isolated instrumentation and lab buildout.
Contingency Fund One Time $100K
[#11] Dedicated contingency/reserve fund for immediate incident mobilization readiness.
Cover Story Setup $20K
[#10] One-time set-up costs for front company / cover story (leases, incorporation, initial PR/legal prep).
Decommissioning Disposal $20K
[#21] Contingency for secure transfer/disposal/decommissioning if required in future.
Initial Training $18K
[#19] Initial intensive staff training on analog SOPs and cross-site routing procedures.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $920K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Salaries/benefits for on-site security (guards + supervisor), site director and administrative staff, and research personnel (ML/anomaly scientists).
Opportunity Cost Uplift $223K/yr
[#22] Estimated 15% uplift on recurring budget to capture inefficiencies/duplicated operations from segregated containment.
Contingency Buffer Recurring $148K/yr
[#24] Recurring contingency buffer (~10% of recurring baseline) for unforeseen annual costs.
Facilities Maintenance $138K/yr
[#1, #15] Auxiliary facility lease, property taxes, basic building maintenance, janitorial, and utilities/HVAC.
Cover Story And Legal $80K/yr
[#10, #20] Ongoing legal support, public affairs/cover-story maintenance and diplomatic liaison costs.
External Partnerships $75K/yr
[#9] Payments/reimbursements to partner organizations, testing agreements, NDAs and MTA-related costs for collaborative double-blind testing.
Research And Monitoring $60K/yr
[#8] Cloud/GPU compute, experiment costs, dataset curation and other recurring research expenses (personnel wages accounted separately).
Software Remediation $60K/yr
[#18] Developer time, testing and deployment to modify anomaly-detection software at other sites to suppress false positives from SCP-2472.
Readiness And Contingency Replenishment $40K/yr
[#11] Annual drills, replenishment of rapid-response funds, and strike-team readiness budgeting.
Logistics And Transport $35K/yr
[#4, #17] Vehicle operating/maintenance costs, per-mission transport costs, secure shipping and packaging for external tests.
Diplomatic Liaison $30K/yr
[#20] Classified briefings, liaisons and reimbursements to treaty partners to prevent external false-positive reactions.
Auditing And Compliance $25K/yr
[#12] Regular manual audits, red-team testing and compliance inspections.
Insurance And Bonding $25K/yr
[#16] Property and liability insurance premiums, bonding for personnel handling a classified object that may trigger external responses.
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#13, #23, #14] Ongoing analog consumables (paper, seals, film), maintenance/consumables for isolated research instrumentation, archive maintenance.
Research Instrumentation Maintenance $15K/yr
[#23] Maintenance and consumables for isolated research-grade instrumentation.
Training Program $6K/yr
[#19] Annual refresher training and recurrent drills for analog procedures and cross-site protocols.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
84.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, research, and cross-site coordination continue as planned.
no incidents routine research and audits
🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$105K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring rapid-response mobilization, travel, overtime, and partial use of contingency funds (no facility breach).
external alarm triggered accidental exposure to partner site detectors
🚨 Software Coordination Event $2.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$205K vs baseline
Large-scale remediation/coordination event requiring extensive software updates and cross-site deployments to suppress false positives across many sites.
cross-site false-positive wave major software push/deployment
🚨 Major Breach $2.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$705K vs baseline
Serious containment incident (e.g., personnel disappearance or cascade of alarms across multiple sites) requiring strike-team deployment, investigation, legal/PR response and possible temporary relocation.
personnel incident cascading cross-site alarms
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 24/7 analog guards (2 per shift, 3 shifts) as specified in notes [#6].
On-call Supervisor (Security Supervisor) 1 Rotating on-call supervisor for security coverage [#6].
Research Scientist / Anomaly Research 1 Lead anomaly researcher (part of research team) [#8].
ML Engineer 2 ML/forensics engineers to investigate detection-failure modes [#8].
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Single site director managing containment and liaison duties [#7].
Administrative Staff 1 0.5–1 FTE admin/clerk for analogue logs, procurement and visitor vetting; counted as 1 FTE here [#7].
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and reasonable ranges, allowing mid-range point estimates; uncertainty remains around incident frequencies, contingency sizing and choice between leasing vs purchasing vehicles, so confidence is medium.
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