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SCP-2471 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2471
Expected annual
$67K
One-time setup
$40K
Annual recurring
$64K
Personnel
2
Initial one-time setup is moderate (~$40k) driven by a purpose-built refrigerated containment and research instrumentation; annual operating costs are modest-to-moderate (~$63.9k/year) driven primarily by staff wages, periodic lab testing, and contingency/security allocations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $40K
Facilities $16K
[#1] Dedicated refrigerated containment unit (purchase + installation).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $12K
[#9, #10, #25] Fiber-optic / micro-imaging hardware, initial analytical testing panel, and one-time archival migration to long-term format.
Equipment $7K
[#2, #4, #5, #24] Environmental monitoring/camera/video-storage hardware, low-temperature surveillance camera, local video/NAS hardware, and sample/backup containers (hardware components).
Human Subject Protocol Setup $4K
[#12] One-time setup for human subject testing protocol, consent forms, initial IRB/ethics-style paperwork and internal risk review.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $64K/yr
Staff Wages $25K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Daily surveillance checks (technician time) plus pro-rated lead researcher oversight and technician/lab support FTEs.
Human Subject Testing $10K/yr
[#12] Per-subject costs, compensation, and medical monitoring budget for limited test campaigns.
Security And Overhead $8K/yr
[#17] Incremental security/site overhead allocation (proportional share of guard costs, utilities, admin).
Research And Monitoring $6K/yr
[#5, #10, #19, #22] Ongoing video storage/retention footprint, periodic follow-up analytical testing, occasional external third-party lab verification, and documentation/cybersecurity upkeep.
Incident Response Contingency $5K/yr
[#18] Annual contingency reserve for unexpected events (emergency transport, rapid testing, alternate storage).
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#9, #11, #13, #14, #15, #25] Fiber-optic replacement/sterilization consumables, control sample procurement, chain-of-custody materials, PPE, waste disposal, and recurring record retention costs.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#3, #16, #23] Electricity to run refrigeration (power), annual service/calibration/maintenance of refrigeration/camera/sensors, and pest control/food-grade sanitation.
Cover Story And Legal $2K/yr
[#20] Minimal cover maintenance, provenance documentation, potential vendor contact, and low-level PR/legal budget.
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#21] Secure sample transfers / certified courier costs (assumes 1–4 transfers/year).
Monitoring Calibration $200/yr
[#2] Recurring sensor calibration/maintenance specifically called out for environmental monitoring equipment.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $64K/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with standard monitoring, periodic testing, and no major incidents or exposures.
routine_monitoring scheduled_testing
🚨 Minor Incident $74K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$10K vs baseline
Localized containment equipment failure or contamination requiring emergency response and limited replacement/outsourced testing.
refrigeration_failure short_term_contamination emergency_transport
🚨 Public Exposure $184K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$120K vs baseline
Public exposure or significant breach requiring legal/PR action, large-scale external testing, and prolonged containment remediation.
public_disclosure major_breach litigation_or_recall
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#7] Lead researcher (Dr. Califano) fractional FTE covered by staff_wages; counted as 1 researcher on the project.
Research Technician / Lab Technician 1 [#6, #8] Technician performing daily surveillance checks, sampling, and lab support (part-time FTE but counted as one assigned technician).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes and article provide detailed line items and ranges for almost all costs, but many estimates are given as ranges and several discretionary assumptions (midpoint selections, staffing FTEs, and scenario costs) were required; therefore medium confidence.
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