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SCP-2482 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2482
Expected annual
$2.3M
One-time setup
$1.3M
Annual recurring
$2.2M
Personnel
7
One-time capital costs are approximately $1,255,500 driven by research program, glovebox/scrubber installation, and containment upgrades; annual recurring costs are approximately $2,221,100 driven primarily by personnel, a contingency reserve, and medical/incident preparedness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $625K
[#14] Dedicated R&D program and laboratory setup (neutralization research, reagents, animal testing, compliance) budgeted as a one-time program cost.
Cover Story Initial $300K
[#13] Immediate amnestic administration, falsified records and initial legal/settlement payments for the initial exposure cluster.
Equipment $240K
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #8, #18, #19] Environmental sensors/logging, sealed negative-pressure glovebox/chamber, initial air-scrubber/condensers, watertight drums/secondary containment, initial PPE fleet (encapsulating suits), security/access upgrades, sealed transfer case.
Facilities $90K
[#1, #15] Structural sealing and vapor barrier for locker conversion and decontamination infrastructure (showers/decon line/autoclave access or contract).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.2M/yr
Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#20] Annualized contingency/reserve financing to cover potential breach/outbreak response, mass medical/amnestic operations and legal exposure (amortized reserve).
Staff Wages $500K/yr
[#9] Salaries, benefits and overtime for security guards, containment/hazmat tech, research scientist, lab technician, and on-call medic.
Acute Medical Response Reserve $250K/yr
[#11] Annualized reserve for emergency surgeries, ICU care, antibiotics and immediate acute-care for exposed individuals (contingency for case-by-case severe costs).
D Class Management $175K/yr
[#10] Incarceration, security escort, medical monitoring, food and behavioral control costs for D-class assigned to testing.
Research And Monitoring $101K/yr
[#3, #17] Recurring sensor calibration/monitoring and imaging/pathology case-series costs (includes MRI/autopsy budget for investigative cases).
Long Term Rehabilitation $50K/yr
[#12] Ongoing prosthetics, physiotherapy and psychiatric care budget for severely affected survivors (annualized support/reserves).
Cover Story And Legal $40K/yr
[#13] Ongoing amnestic provisioning, record maintenance, legal/PR costs for cover maintenance.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $28K/yr
[#7] Storage, transport and licensed disposal/incineration/neutralization costs for contaminated liquids and disposable PPE.
Training And Audits $25K/yr
[#21] Recurring SOP training, drills, audits and oversight committee costs.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#16] General laboratory consumables, single-use disposables, reagents, specialized glassware replacements.
Ppe Consumables $15K/yr
[#8] Consumable PPE (disposable suits, masks, decon kits) replacements and spare components.
Logistics And Transport $8K/yr
[#19] Per-transfer operational costs (vehicle, escort, personnel) amortized over expected transfers per year.
Air Scrubbing Filters Replacement $6K/yr
[#5] Recurring replacement of scrubber/activated carbon cartridges, condensers and waste-handling for testing chamber.
Security Monitoring $5K/yr
[#18] Site 17 locker monitoring costs, camera/BMS monitoring service fees.
Dehumidification Power And Maintenance $3K/yr
[#2] Electricity and periodic service for active dehumidifiers/HVAC modifications to maintain <1% RH.
Replacement Inventory $1K/yr
[#22] Replacement and depreciation budget for the 24 prototypes and minor inventory loss.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.2M/yr
93.9% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing, no major incidents; all recurring costs apply.
routine inspections scheduled testing no containment breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $2.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Small accidental exposure or lab incident causing a few severe cases and limited containment response.
single-room spill 1-3 severe medical cases limited public/cover actions
🚨 Major Breach $4.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Larger breach/outbreak with multiple external exposures requiring mass response and major legal/medical actions.
multi-person exposure hospital cluster detected mass amnestic & large-scale decontamination
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $12.2M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Major uncontrolled community outbreak / public health incident with widescale exposures and litigation.
community spread mass hospitalizations international exposure / litigation
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#9] Two to three security guards to staff the locker and transfers; conservatively budgeting three.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#9] Containment/hazmat technician for equipment maintenance and dehumidifier/HVAC oversight.
Research Scientist 1 [#9] Scientist to supervise testing and R&D activities.
Lab Technician 1 [#9] Lab technician to support experiments, sample handling and inventory.
Medical Officer 1 [#9] On-call medic for immediate response to exposures and medical oversight.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide specific line-item ranges for hardware, personnel and incident costs allowing a reasoned budget, but large tail-risk items (major outbreak, litigation, long-term care) are highly uncertain which lowers overall confidence.
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