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SCP-2484 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2484
Expected annual
$322K
One-time setup
$344K
Annual recurring
$318K
Personnel
2.4
Initial capital outlay is moderate (primarily containment buildout, refrigerated storage and specialist equipment) while recurring annual costs are driven by personnel, vivarium/ research support, and emergency/insurance reserves. Contingency reserves for a major containment failure are the largest single one-time expense.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $344K
Containment Failure Contingency $250K
[#22] One-time contingency reserve for large-scale containment failure / mass-exposure emergency response.
Equipment $59K
[#1, #3, #7, #15, #20, #18, #17, #19, #4, #10] Refrigerated perishables locker, access control/CCTV install, remote handling tools/glovebox, specialist microscopes/PCR/centrifuge/cold storage, redundant spare containment & sensors, transport container, spill kit, initial data-system integration, environmental monitor purchase; autoclave purchase assumed shared (purchase $0 included in notes).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $19K
[#13, #16] Vivarium initial approvals/site modifications and initial SOP development/training.
Facilities $16K
[#2] Small secure room buildout (badge access, HVAC tie-in, fire suppression changes, benching).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $318K/yr
Staff Wages $118K/yr
[#5, #6] Two full-time security personnel (salary+benefits) and fractional Level-3 researcher/custodian FTE.
Research And Monitoring $85K/yr
[#3, #4, #12, #13, #14, #16, #19, #24, #25] Monitoring/alarms service, environmental sensor calibration, occupational health screening, vivarium animal care, reagents/consumables for experiments, annual refresher training, data logging/incident reporting recurring costs, routine controlled-destruction events, and periodic audits.
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#21] Annual PR/legal retainer and cover-story contingency budget.
Facilities Maintenance $26K/yr
[#2] Space overhead / rent-equivalent for dedicated containment alcove.
Medical Emergency Reserve $25K/yr
[#11] Annual reserve contribution for emergency medical response / on-call medevac capability.
Insurance And Risk Reserve $20K/yr
[#23] Insurance premiums or internal risk-reserve contribution (worker compensation, liability, property).
Logistics And Transport $7K/yr
[#18, #10] Secure transport per-transfer costs (assumed two transfers/year) and autoclave access/maintenance fees.
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#8, #17] PPE (gloves, gowns, shields) and routine decontamination supplies; includes small spill-kit replenishment.
Biohazard Disposal $3K/yr
[#9] Regulated medical waste incineration / disposal contract (low-volume estimate).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $318K/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine handling, scheduled research, and no containment incidents.
routine access events scheduled small transfers regular maintenance and training
🚨 Minor Incident $343K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small containment event: jar damage or small spill requiring cleanup, single exposure requiring medical evaluation, extra disposal/ overtime.
jar breakage small spill requiring incineration/autoclave single-person exposure requiring hospitalization or overtime
🚨 Major Breach $818K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Large-scale containment failure or mass-exposure ( >804 g released or multiple exposures) with quarantine, mass screening, legal/PR response, and potential euthanasia of affected animals.
full-container forced entry into multiple vertebrates public exposure mass contamination of facility areas
👥 Personnel 2.4 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#5] Two security personnel (full-time equivalents) to escort during access/testing.
Research Scientist / Technician 0.4 [#6] Fractional Level-3 researcher/custodian responsible for inventory, access approvals, sample handling (0.15–0.6 FTE; budgeted as ~0.4 FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed categories and ranges, enabling mid-range estimates for budgeting, but many items (incident/contingency costs, equipment sharing vs purchase, vivarium scale) have wide ranges and significant event-driven uncertainty.
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