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SCP-2487 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-2487
Expected annual
$112.0M
One-time setup
$699.1M
Annual recurring
$103.5M
Personnel
200
Initial capital and setup are very large — approximately $699.1M one-time driven by heavy engineering (pitfall trenching, minefield emplacement), site construction, environmental remediation, and cover-story/legal buy‑in. Annual operating costs are roughly $103.55M/year, dominated by staffing, a nationwide epidemiology program, and ongoing monitoring/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $699.1M
Facilities $233.5M
[#1, #2, #9, #12] Site construction (Site-930 buildout), initial land-control/relocation legal costs, pitfall trenching earthworks, and Class-7 holding cell buildout; combines midpoints from notes #1, #2, #9, #12.
Minefield Emplacement $175.0M
[#8] Anti-personnel mine procurement and clandestine emplacement across the first 3 km of the zone (midpoint of $50M–$300M from note #8).
Environmental Remediation $125.0M
[#19] Post-containment remediation, mine/trap removal, trench reclamation, decontamination and reforestation (midpoint from note #19).
Legal Cover Setup $52.5M
[#20] Initial cover-story establishment, buy-in/payoffs, settlement reserves and legal setup for Fort Grenwall cover (midpoint from note #20).
Equipment $43.6M
[#5, #7, #10, #11, #21, #23] Weapons & ordinance procurement, armored vehicles/helicopters, sensor network hardware, UAV fleets, intelligence/systems hardware, and secure communications equipment (combined midpoints from notes #5, #7, #10, #11, #21, #23).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $36.0M
[#14, #15, #25] BSL-3/4 laboratory buildout, epidemiology program integration/setup, and initial R&D seed funding (midpoint estimates from notes #14, #15, #25).
Emergency Mobilization Per Event $27.5M
[#18] Per-major-mobilization event cost (artillery/air assets, large mobilization, evacuation/denial options); midpoint of per-event $5M–$50M from note #18 captured as a one-time per-event estimate.
Esoteric Warfare Setup $6.0M
[#17] One-time training, secure storage and specialized containment setup for Esoteric Warfare teams and hazardous-agent stocks (midpoint from note #17).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $103.5M/yr
Research And Monitoring $42.6M/yr
[#10, #14, #15, #21, #25] Ongoing sensor/data analysis, lab operations and consumables for BSL-3/4 research, nationwide epidemiology monitoring, intelligence/data-analysis staff costs, and recurring R&D (combined midpoints from notes #10, #14, #15, #21, #25).
Staff Wages $17.0M/yr
[#3] Salaries and benefits for STF Omega-15 and support personnel (approx. 50 operators @ $120k + ~150 support @ $70k = ~200 personnel total; midpoint payroll estimate from note #3).
Facilities Maintenance $11.1M/yr
[#1, #2, #9, #12] Ongoing land-control operations, site infrastructure maintenance, pitfall stabilization, and Class-7 cell utilities/maintenance (midpoint recurring costs from notes #1, #2, #9, #12).
Logistics And Transport $6.3M/yr
[#7, #11, #24] Vehicle/helicopter operations & maintenance, UAV ops/spares/loss replacement, and incident disposal logistics (carcass recovery/transport/incineration baseline) (midpoints from notes #7, #11, #24).
Cover Story And Legal $5.5M/yr
[#20] Ongoing PR, legal defense, settlements, payoffs, and cover maintenance for Fort Grenwall (midpoint recurring from note #20).
Unexpected Liabilities Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#26] Annual reserve for whistleblower mitigation, settlements and unexpected publicity/liability payouts (conservative recurring reserve chosen from note #26 range).
Supplies And Consumables $3.0M/yr
[#6] Weapons and ordinance sustainment including replenishment of heavy ordnance, small-arms ammo, demolition charges (midpoint from note #6).
Contingency Reserve $3.0M/yr
[#18] Annual earmarked contingency to enable rapid large-scale mobilization ('Big Game') if needed (midpoint recurring reserve from note #18).
Mail Decontamination $2.8M/yr
[#16] Mail quarantine, decontamination/destruction processes, and logistics to reroute postal operations to avoid public detection (midpoint from note #16).
Training And Readiness $2.5M/yr
[#4] Regular live-fire, anti-armor, animal handling, hazardous-agent response, simulated breach drills and psychological training (midpoint from note #4).
Esoteric Warfare Readiness $1.8M/yr
[#17] Recurring readiness, renewal of hazardous-agent stocks, safe disposal and specialized equipment refresh for Esoteric Warfare teams (midpoint from note #17).
Personnel Medical And Psych $1.8M/yr
[#22] Medical care, psychological support, death benefits, evacuation insurance, and casualty handling for staff (midpoint from note #22).
Veterinary And Husbandry $600K/yr
[#13] Veterinary care, feed, enrichment, sedation drugs, and pathology for captured dire wolves (midpoint from note #13).
It And Comms Maintenance $600K/yr
[#23] Maintenance and service for secure communications, IT security, backup power, and counter-surveillance (recurring midpoint from note #23).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $103.5M/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major breach or large-scale mobilization; regular operations, maintenance, monitoring, and staff payroll only.
no breach routine monitoring normal staffing levels
🚨 Minor Incident $108.5M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized breach or capture requiring limited mobilization, use of expendable ordnance, extra veterinary/forensic work and targeted epidemiology response.
single SCP-2487-02 escape limited ordnance expenditure targeted forensic/mail tracing
🚨 Major Breach $203.6M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach requiring full 'Big Game' mobilization, heavy ordnance, wide-area evacuations, and large external asset usage.
perimeter breach multiple SCP-2487-02 instances escape large-scale mobilization
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $403.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic failure with sustained public exposure, nationwide epidemiological cascade (SCP-2487-03 chain), heavy litigation, remediation and potential prolonged military operations.
public exposure nationwide USPS chain transmission extended multi-site engagements
👥 Personnel 200 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 50 [#3] Core STF Omega-15 operator roster (50 operators as specified in note #3).
Research Scientist 20 [#3] Research staff working on BSL research, genomics and anomaly study (part of support staff in note #3).
Lab Technician 40 [#3] BSL lab techs and sample handling staff (support personnel referenced in note #3).
Medical Officer 10 [#3] On-site medics and emergency medical staff (support personnel from note #3).
Engineer / Maintenance 20 [#3] Facilities, vehicle and pit/trench maintenance crews (support staff from note #3).
Administrative Staff 10 [#3] Administrative, logistics and clerical personnel supporting Site-930 (support staff from note #3).
Intelligence Analyst / Data Scientist 10 [#21, #3] Intelligence and data analysis personnel (note #21) counted within support staff (note #3).
Logistics / Transport Crew (drivers, pilots) 15 [#7, #11, #24] Vehicle and aviation crews for transports, UAV ops and carcass-recovery missions (notes #7, #11, #24).
Veterinary Staff 5 [#13] Veterinary and animal husbandry personnel (note #13).
Esoteric Warfare Specialists 10 [#17] Personnel for Esoteric Warfare teams and hazardous-agent handling (note #17).
Contractors / Relief Staff 10 [#3] Relief and contract staff to support rotations and surge capacity (included in support staff estimate from note #3).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of very wide ranges and must account for illegal/clandestine containment options that dramatically change costs. The SCP's anomalous behavior, legal/ethical constraints, and large uncertainty in incident frequency reduce confidence.
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