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SCP-2503 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2503
Expected annual
$2.4M
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
25
One-time startup costs are dominated by property acquisition and initial structural work (~$1.63M total one-time). Recurring yearly operations are driven by security staffing, research staff, incident reserves and logistics (~$2.394M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Facilities $1.2M
[#1, #3, #4, #10] Property purchase and transfer (purchase + title/legal captured in #1), initial structural stabilization/renovation and garage/secure-room build-out (#3, #10), and perimeter/fence installation (#4). Sum uses mid-range estimates: $1,020,000 (property incl. closing/title), $115,000 (stabilization median), $12,000 (fence install), $40,000 (secure holding build-out).
Equipment $221K
[#6, #7, #8, #14, #17, #18, #25] One-time purchases and installs: guard issue equipment (#6 $31,500), CCTV/monitoring install (#7 $50,000), generator + install (#8 $25,000), data/server hardware (#14 $30,000), initial PPE kit (#17 $2,000), two used vans (#18 $40,000), specialized containment/monitoring hardware at door/garage (#25 $42,500 median).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#13] Scientific instrumentation and lab setup for temporal-spatial study: acquisition/calibration of specialized sensors and secure compute. Estimate uses the $200,000 one-time figure.
Legal Shell Setup $20K
[#20] One-time shell identity/legal setup (Greenwood identity establishment and initial legal fees for cover).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#5, #11, #12] Security staffing (21 personnel including supervisors/float @ ~$65k fully loaded = $1,370,000) [#5]; contracted medical/paramedic coverage (~$125,000 median) [#11]; research staff (2 researchers + 1 lab tech, benefits -> ~$300,000) [#12].
Incident Response Reserve $175K/yr
[#19, #11] Contingency/reserve for breaches, medical emergencies, scene cleanup, retrieval efforts and major unplanned experiments. Midpoint of $100k–$250k suggested by analyst [#19]; also covers per-incident ER transports referenced in [#11].
Supplies And Consumables $118K/yr
[#10, #15, #17, #21, #24] Consumables for holding/interrogation (~$5,000/yr) [#10]; Class-B amnestics & administration (~$80,000/yr conservative midpoint including medical admin) [#15]; PPE consumables (~$3,500/yr midpoint) [#17]; mortuary/autopsy contingency (~$20,000/yr) [#21]; on-site consumables/housekeeping/food (~$10,000/yr) [#24].
D Class Overhead $100K/yr
[#22] Budgeted annual overhead to recruit/house/transport/secure D-class if required (contingent usage; analyst suggested ~$100,000/yr if used infrequently).
Cover Story And Legal $82K/yr
[#20, #26, #27, #28] Annual legal/PR/retainer and local liaison (~$30,000/yr) [#20]; archival suppression/records management (~$20,000/yr) [#26]; neighborhood goodwill/nuisance payments (~$10,000/yr) [#27]; annual external audit/compliance/insurance (~$22,500/yr midpoint) [#28].
Research And Monitoring $60K/yr
[#13, #14, #16] Ongoing maintenance/calibration for scientific instruments (~$20,000/yr) [#13]; secure hosting/backup and IT maintenance (~$5,000/yr) [#14]; psychological counselling & post-exposure monitoring (~$35,000/yr midpoint) [#16].
Facilities Maintenance $37K/yr
[#2, #4, #7, #8, #9, #25] Annual property taxes & insurance (~$11,000) [#2]; fence maintenance (~$1,000/yr) [#4]; CCTV/software licensing/maintenance (~$5,000/yr) [#7]; generator fuel & maintenance (~$8,000/yr) [#8]; utilities and minimal heating (~$9,000/yr) [#9]; specialized containment hardware maintenance (~$3,000/yr) [#25].
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#23] Regular drills, procedural audits, and training for security, medical and research teams (~$20,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#18] Fuel, maintenance and minor licensing for two site vehicles (~$6,000/yr) [#18].
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with expected operations and routine maintenance only.
no breach routine research standard staffing levels
🚨 Minor Incident $2.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small containment incident or medical event requiring local response, extra amnestics, legal work and modest repairs.
single-person medical emergency trespasser requiring amnestic and processing small local property damage
🚨 Major Incident $2.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or catastrophic experiment mishap triggering large-scale response, repairs, and external interactions.
multi-person casualty or disappearance major structural damage extensive law enforcement/media exposure
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#5] Core guard count (18 regular guards) derived from 2 guards per entry * 3 entries and shift coverage assumptions.
Security Supervisor / Float 3 [#5] Supervisors/float to cover shifts and oversight (included in analyst's ~21 security personnel).
Research Scientist 2 [#12] Level-2 researchers with access for experiments; analyst assumed 2 researchers in salary estimate.
Lab Technician 1 [#12] One lab technician to support experiments and instrumentation.
Medical Officer / Paramedic (contract/on-call) 1 [#11] Contracted medical/paramedic coverage approximated as 0.5–1.0 FTE; counted as 1 on-call medical resource for staffing totals.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are specified by analyst notes (security staffing, real-estate, equipment), providing reasonable confidence. Major uncertainties remain in real-estate price volatility, frequency/severity of incidents, and actual amnestic/unit costs; incident-level expenses can vary widely, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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