SCP-2537 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2537
Expected annual
$5.6M
One-time setup
$4.1M
Annual recurring
$5.5M
Personnel
11
Estimated one-time setup costs are roughly $4.09M (construction, surveillance network, boats, and contingency). Annual recurring costs are approximately $5.46M driven mainly by staffing (security + research), MTF operations, and ongoing monitoring/mitigation reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.1M
Facilities $1.6M
[#1, #2, #13, #17] Includes two containment chambers (2 × midpoint $225,000 → $450,000), site-level containment suite build-out (midpoint $1,000,000), evidence storage room build (~$60,000), and inter-anomaly separation/building modifications (~$137,500).
Scaling Contingency One Time $818K
[#25] 25% one-time uncertainty/scale-up premium applied to one-time subtotal (recommended contingency percent applied).
Insurance Reserve One Time $500K
[#24] Initial insurance/contingency reserve set-aside (one-time portion chosen within recommended range).
Bridge Planning Contract $300K
[#23] Planning and standing contract for engineering mitigation (one-time planning/contracting midpoint).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $193K
[#10, #22] Initial research/test budget and instrumentation (GC-MS/SEM/etc.) midpoint ~$150,000 plus initial servers/storage ~$42,500.
Patrol Boats Purchase $180K
[#8] Capital purchase of small patrol boats (2 × midpoint ~$90,000 each).
Perimeter And Riverbank Control $175K
[#9] Perimeter fencing, vehicle barriers, riverbank access control, and potential land-lease/rights costs (midpoint).
River Surveillance Network $150K
[#7] Regional river/stream sensor network one-time installation (midpoint estimate).
Equipment $86K
[#3, #6, #14] Camera/sensor packages for two cells (~$10,000 each → $20,000), field transport crates and rapid-response kits (~$23,000), handling equipment and protective gear (~$42,500).
Sop Development $42K
[#20] One-time SOP development and initial training materials creation (midpoint).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.5M/yr
Mtf Operations $1.8M/yr
[#5] MTF Beta-13 readiness and operations (salaries, training, boats/equipment, exercises) midpoint estimate for a small dedicated team.
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#4, #11] Security staffing (~$440,000/yr) plus research staff salaries (~$660,000/yr) for on-site containment and research team.
Scaling Contingency Recurring $1.1M/yr
[#25] 25% recurring uncertainty/scale-up premium applied to recurring subtotal (recommended contingency percent applied).
Cover Story And Legal $360K/yr
[#18, #19] Legal retainers/liaison (~$85,000/yr) plus PR/cover-story/compensation reserve (~$275,000/yr).
Insurance Reserve Recurring $250K/yr
[#24] Annual allocation toward insurance/contingency reserves for catastrophic outcomes.
Research And Monitoring $238K/yr
[#7, #10, #13, #17, #22] Ongoing river sensor/data analysis (~$30,000/yr), data storage/retention and forensic analysis (~$27,500/yr), evidence cataloguing/admin (~$50,000/yr), lab overhead (~$100,000/yr), and procedural audits (~$30,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $225K/yr
[#5, #6, #8] Patrol boat operations/crew & maintenance (~$200,000/yr) plus routine transport/deployment logistics (~$25,000/yr). (MTF operational deployments themselves are captured under mtf_operations.)
Damage Repair Budget $110K/yr
[#15] Annual budget for repair/replacement of damaged containment hardware and glazing (midpoint).
Medical And Forensic $100K/yr
[#12] On-call medical team, trauma care readiness and forensic autopsy budgeting (~$100,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $72K/yr
[#10, #14] Laboratory reagents/consumables for analyses (~$60,000/yr) and PPE replacement (~$12,500/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#9, #21] Ongoing perimeter and site upkeep, incremental energy & utilities for blackout HVAC and climate control (~$60,000/yr).
Bridge Mitigation Fund $50K/yr
[#23] Standing annual fund for rapid-response mitigation planning and small mobilizations.
Training And Sop $35K/yr
[#20] Recurring refresher training, drills, and SOP updates (~$35,000/yr).
Disposal Decommissioning $14K/yr
[#16] Average per-year expected disposal/decommissioning costs (assumes ~1 event/year at midpoint ~$13,500).
Camera Maintenance Storage $3K/yr
[#3] Ongoing camera/storage maintenance and small-yearly service contracts for per-cell sensor packages.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.5M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Routine year with containment and monitoring operating as planned; no major incidents or bridge formation.
no breaches no large-scale gatherings resulting in bridge attempts
🚨 Minor Incident $5.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or small exposure requiring limited MTF deployment, repairs, medical care and PR/legal response.
small escape or damage during handling single-site conversion attempt requiring MTF response
🚨 Major Bridge Emergency $10.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.5M vs baseline
Instances begin building or near-complete bridge; large-scale engineering mitigation, extended MTF surge, evacuations, and significant PR/legal/compensation costs required.
bridge formation underway large coordinated gathering at riverbanks
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer 6 [#4] Minimum continuous guard coverage (6 guards covering 3 shifts).
Research Scientist 2 [#11] Materials scientist and biologist/anomalous specialist included in research salaries.
Laboratory Technician 2 [#11] Lab techs to support analyses and sample handling.
Anomalous Specialist 1 [#11] Specialist for anomalous-behavior oversight and SOP development.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges allowing mid-point estimates, but high uncertainty remains in instance population, contagion force and bridge-scale effects; contingency premiums applied.
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