SCP-2556 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2556
Expected annual
$38.7M
One-time setup
$482.6M
Annual recurring
$38.5M
Personnel
60
One-time capital (vessel, aircraft, deep-mooring, ROV/robotics and contingency reserves) ~ $483M; main recurring drivers are vessel operations, fighter readiness and specialized staff resulting in ~ $38.5M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $482.6M
Fighter Acquisition $250.0M
[#2] Capital/leasing-equivalent cost for maintaining 4 quick-reaction fighters (one-time procurement or long-term lease buy-in).
Vessel Acquisition $200.0M
[#1] Capital/refit cost for dedicated surface support vessel (S.C.P.F. Favonius) to host crews, aviation detachment, supplies and command & control.
Decommissioning Reserve $20.0M
[#23] Contingent one-time fund reserved for long-term decommissioning, dismantling and final disposition planning.
Recovery Rov $6.0M
[#15] One-time purchase of deep-sea ROVs, winches and specialist salvage equipment rated for ~4,300 m recovery.
Deep Mooring Installation $2.5M
[#5] One-time deep-water mooring/dynamic station-keeping installation (specialized vessel/ROV and mooring hardware for ~4,300 m depth).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#16] Initial R&D and specialized instrumentation to study SCP radiation remotely (gamma/neutron imagers, remote dosimetry platforms).
Robotics $1.0M
[#17] One-time robotics/remote inspection equipment (long-reach manipulators, borescopes, shielding enclosures) and spares.
Secure Integration $600K
[#7] One-time secure system integration and software development for telemetry, Burning Arrow alerting and hardened comms.
Cover One Time $500K
[#12] One-time legal/diplomatic buy-ins, host-nation agreements and upfront cover-story establishment costs.
Buoy Spares $300K
[#6] Redundant/multiple buoy deployments and spares (additional hardware stocked).
Waste Setup $275K
[#20] One-time setup cost for licensed hazardous/radiological waste handling and clandestine disposal infrastructure.
Racon Buoy $200K
[#4] One-time procurement and installation of deep-ocean racon buoy with integrated Geiger counter, SATCOM uplink and hardened alert system.
Radiation Equipment $125K
[#8] Initial high-quality dosimeters, fixed monitors and calibration standards for ship and buoy installations.
Ppe Decon $60K
[#9] Initial PPE, decontamination gear, portable shielding and radiological laundry/decon setup.
Facilities $0
[]
Equipment $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $38.5M/yr
Vessel Operations $15.0M/yr
[#1, #25] Annual OPEX for S.C.P.F. Favonius: crew salaries, fuel, maintenance, drydock cycles, pier fees and shipboard logistics (ship fuel partly included here).
Aviation Fighters $10.0M/yr
[#2] Annual operating cost for quick-reaction fighters: maintenance, pilots, spares, fuel and readiness overhead to maintain continuous scramble capability.
Staff Wages $6.0M/yr
[#11] Salaries for on-shore scientific, technical, communications and project management staff (radiological engineers, ROV pilots, avionics techs, analysts).
Contingency Fund $3.0M/yr
[#14] Emergency response contingency fund reserved for per-event mobilization, additional sorties, heavy-lift recovery and crisis staffing.
Cover Story And Legal $1.5M/yr
[#12, #24] Ongoing legal, diplomatic, liaison and cover-story operations; public-facing disinformation and domestic risk mitigation.
Hh60 Operations $500K/yr
[#3] HH-60H monthly resupply flight program (aircrew, maintenance, fuel, ship flight-deck operations); assumes a dedicated detachment readiness component.
Fisheries Compensation $500K/yr
[#13] Annual economic compensation program for fisheries/shipping impacted by the exclusion zone.
Medical Surveillance And Hazard Pay $400K/yr
[#10] Annual whole-body dosimetry, imaging, specialist care, medevac planning and hazard pay/stipends for the two occupants.
Satcom And Cyber Ops $350K/yr
[#7] Recurring SATCOM leasing, ground server ops, encryption and dedicated sysadmin/cybersecurity staffing.
Reserves And Audits $300K/yr
[#21] Insurance-like accounting reserve, internal audits and funds for clandestine contractor payments under false projects.
Recovery Vessel Hire $250K/yr
[#15] Annualized expected cost for hiring specialized salvage/recovery vessels for debris/recovery events (per-event hire amortized).
Training And Drills $200K/yr
[#22] Regular drills for fighter scrambles, helicopter launches, buoy replacement, decontamination and medevac exercises.
Research And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#16] Ongoing analysis, instrument upgrades and scientific monitoring of SCP radiation remotely.
Archive Ethics Psych Services $150K/yr
[#19] Ongoing Ethics Committee, archive maintenance and psychological services (counselling, interviews, recordkeeping).
Robotics Maintenance $60K/yr
[#17] Maintenance, spares and R&D upkeep for robotic inspection and telemanipulation systems.
Buoy Spares Maintenance $50K/yr
[#6] Annual spare-part replenishment, inspections and replacement for redundant buoys/ASVs.
Waste Handling $50K/yr
[#20] Annual disposal and hazardous waste handling for contaminated packaging, tools and consumables.
Buoy Comms $30K/yr
[#4] Annual SATCOM/leasing and data/maintenance costs for racon buoy telemetry and automatic alerts.
Supplies And Consumables $18K/yr
[#18] Consumables for two occupants (food, water, approved reading material) and Ethics Subcommittee administrative approvals.
Ppe Replacement $15K/yr
[#9] Recurring PPE replacement, decontamination consumables and disposal.
Radiation Calibration $12K/yr
[#8] Calibration cycles, consumables and technician training for radiation monitors and dosimetry.
Power And Energy $10K/yr
[#25] Incremental energy and battery replacement costs for buoy power and small instrument power budgets (ship fuel included in vessel OPEX).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $38.5M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; steady-state operations and planned maintenance only.
routine_maintenance monthly_resupply regular_monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $39.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized incident (radiation spike or minor equipment failure) requiring extra sorties, short recovery operations and repairs.
radiation_spike buoy_loss small_recovery
🚨 Major Breach $46.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Significant containment event requiring full mobilization, heavy salvage/ROV recovery, extended air operations and public mitigation.
object_movement debris_recovery prolonged_recovery_ops
🚨 Political Exposure $40.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Public/political exposure requiring intensive legal/diplomatic response, compensation payouts and extended disinformation/PR operations.
satellite_leak fishing_incident media_exposure
👥 Personnel 60 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 12 [#11, #16, #8] Radiological scientists and instrument analysts responsible for remote sensing, data analysis and research.
Engineer / Maintenance 12 [#1, #15, #17, #11] Shipboard and ROV/robotics engineers, avionics technicians, and maintenance personnel.
ROV Pilots / Remote Operators 6 [#15, #17] Deep-sea ROV pilots and tethered-vehicle operators for inspection and recovery tasks.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#2, #11] Security oversight for air/sea operations and rapid-reaction coordination.
Logistics Officer 6 [#1, #3, #18] Logistics and supply chain staff managing resupply, buoy spares and provisioning for occupants.
Communications Specialist 4 [#7, #4] SATCOM/secure comms operators and Burning Arrow alert maintenance personnel.
Cybersecurity / Sysadmin 4 [#7] Server ops, encryption, telemetry processing and sysadmin support.
Administrative Staff 4 [#12, #21] Administrative, accounting, cover-story logistics and contract administration.
Medical Officer 2 [#10] Medical surveillance, emergency medevac planning and specialist consultations for occupants.
Project Manager / Site Director 2 [#11] Executive oversight, coordination with Atlantic Command and interagency liaison.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items but ranges are wide (especially for capital acquisition and vessel/aircraft options). Estimates use mid-range assumptions; actual costs could vary substantially with contracting strategy (use of national militaries vs direct procurement).
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