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SCP-2558 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2558
Expected annual
$9.6M
One-time setup
$61.6M
Annual recurring
$9.3M
Personnel
6
Total one-time capital costs are approximately $61.62M driven by landfall site construction, a large crisis reserve, and procurement of manned submersible assets; long-run annual operations in a full steady-state (including weekly rescue ops and site operations) are roughly $9.285M/yr, driven by weekly rescue operations, insurance/reserve lines, and landfall-site staffing.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $61.6M
Crisis Reserve $25.0M
[#20] Large one-time crisis reserve recommended to cover evacuation, major public containment, indemnities, and large-scale escalation.
Facilities $23.9M
[#12, #11, #23, #19, #17, #25] Includes landfall site acquisition & construction (~$20,000,000), hyperbaric medical & life-support center setup (~$1,000,000), initial onsite generator (~$200,000), environmental mitigation (~$1,000,000), secure cell fit-out for resurrected persons (~$500,000), and decommissioning / archival fund (~$1,250,000).
Equipment $11.4M
[#1, #3, #9, #7, #14] Includes two deep-rated AUV/ROV units and spares (~$1,100,000), optional research/support vessel purchase (~$2,000,000), manned DSRV procurement (~$8,000,000), initial sonar/monitoring buoys (~$50,000), and a single heavy-lift/salvage mobilization budget (~$300,000).
Cover Contingency $1.0M
[#18] One-time cover-story / local contingency payment expected near landfall (additional to recurring legal/PR budget).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $220K
[#16, #6] Lab commissioning and initial research hardware including archival hardware (~$200,000 + $20,000 = $220,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.3M/yr
Weekly Rescue Ops $4.0M/yr
[#10] Full resumed weekly rescue operations starting in 2043: vessel time, DSRV ops, medics, hyperbaric standby and high operational tempo (~$3–6M/yr; midpoint $4,000,000/yr used).
Facilities Maintenance $1.6M/yr
[#13, #23] Annual operating and maintenance for a secure landfall site (~$1,500,000/yr) plus onsite generator fuel/maintenance (~$75,000/yr).
Insurance Compensation $1.0M/yr
[#21] Annual reserve for accidents, equipment losses, compensation and quiet settlements to avoid public investigations.
Resurrected Persons Care $700K/yr
[#17] Recurring costs to house, feed, medically treat and research up to 37 recovered/resurrected persons if the Foundation opts to retain custody (~$700,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $450K/yr
[#2, #6, #7, #16] AUV/ROV maintenance & spares (~$120,000/yr), data-archive/storage & maintenance (~$15,000/yr), sonar maintenance (~$15,000/yr), and research program operations (~$300,000/yr).
Staff Wages $400K/yr
[#5] Ongoing salaries, benefits, and training reserve for rotating containment team, analysts, AUV pilots, technicians, small MTF contingent and admin support (4–6 FTE equivalent).
Cover Story And Legal $350K/yr
[#18, #22] Ongoing legal/cover-story, local liaison and PR management (~$250,000/yr) plus secure communications/records-management (~$100,000/yr).
Contingency Rapid Response Fund $200K/yr
[#8] Annual reserved readiness fund to mobilize rapid-response assets (airlift, charters, overtime, emergency procurement).
Hyperbaric Staffing $200K/yr
[#11] Ongoing hyperbaric medical staffing, consumables and readiness for rescued individuals (~$200,000/yr).
Training Program $200K/yr
[#15] Annual specialized training, simulations and exercises for DSRV pilots, AUV crews, medics and MTF rotations.
Logistics And Transport $175K/yr
[#3, #4] Vessel charter access (~$100,000/yr) plus per-mission deployment costs (owned vessel mission baseline ~$25,000/yr; charter-mission premium ~$50,000/yr) aggregated as logistics budget lines.
Supplies And Consumables $35K/yr
[#24] Small tools, PPE, diving consumables, replacement batteries and routine consumables (~$25–50k/yr; midpoint used).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.3M/yr
95.0% probability / year
Full steady-state annual operations (no major incidents) including resumed weekly rescue ops and an operating landfall site.
normal ops weekly rescues active site operates within expected parameters
🚨 Minor Incident $10.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or limited divergence requiring emergency salvage and asset replacement.
AUV/ROV loss or major failure small-scale salvage mobilization temporary mission escalation
🚨 Major Breach $24.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Divergence toward populated area, accelerated landfall, or major containment emergency requiring heavy salvage, public containment and large cover-up operations.
unexpected course deviation imminent landfall public exposure requiring mass response
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#5] Senior analyst/scientist responsible for anomaly study, data review and experiment planning (costed within staff wages).
AUV Pilot / Technician 2 [#5] Operators and technicians for unmanned submersibles and remote systems (included in staff wages estimate).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#5] Small rotating MTF/security contingent for deployments and site security (included in staff wages estimate).
Administrative Staff 1 [#5] Administrative and logistics coordinator supporting operations (included in staff wages estimate).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on explicit analyst line items with provided ranges; large uncertainties remain regarding future policy choices (whether weekly rescues resume, whether resurrected persons are retained), actual water depth and local land costs, and the chosen procurement approach (purchase vs charter), so confidence is medium.
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