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SCP-2564 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2564
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$3.0M
Annual recurring
$2.0M
Personnel
22
Initial one-time containment and site remediation are estimated at roughly $2.96M, driven by property acquisition, demolition option and hazardous-material remediation; recurring annual costs are about $1.998M, driven primarily by staff wages (security and CCTV operators) and MTF readiness/contingency.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.0M
Demolition Option $1.1M
[#25] One-time future demolition and hazardous-material disposal option (optional, contingent).
Facilities $830K
[#1, #2, #11, #12, #13] Purchase/lease and legal, perimeter/site preparation and hardening, structural stabilization/roofing and weatherproofing, hazardous-material abatement, internal sealing/signage.
Equipment $577K
[#3, #4, #7, #9, #14, #16, #19, #22, #26] CCTV cameras/NVRs/installation, video storage hardware, patrol vehicles purchase, generators/UPS, anomalous/environmental sensors, forensic kits, cybersecurity hardware, initial medical/PPE stock, morgue/biostorage setup.
Initial Contingency Reserve $250K
[#24] Initial contingency/reserve fund for emergency incidents, cleanup, or escalation.
Mtf Cached Gear $125K
[#8] One-time cached gear and staging area for MTF rapid-response near the site.
Cover Story Legal Setup $30K
[#18] One-time legal/cover-company setup and municipal fees to establish cover identity.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#5, #6, #15] Salaries/benefits for CCTV operators (approx. 8 FTE), on-site security guards (approx. 10 FTE), and liaison/research staff (approx. 4 FTE).
Mtf Readiness $160K/yr
[#8] Recurring MTF on-call readiness costs (training, equipment refresh, travel/standby).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#17, #18, #27] Ongoing amnestic/cover operations budget, PR/legal overhead, community soft-cover expenditures.
Long Term Depreciation $100K/yr
[#29] Planned annual replacement/depreciation budget for cameras, generators, vehicles and capital assets (10–20% of capital).
Contingency Fund Setaside $100K/yr
[#24] Annual set-aside to top up contingency reserve for large incidents, cleanup, litigation or escalation.
Research And Monitoring $65K/yr
[#14, #15] Calibration/maintenance of anomalous/environmental sensors and modest operational research/travel expenses for Site 81 liaison team.
Forensic Incident Response $60K/yr
[#16] Recurring budgets for forensic/medical examiners, hazmat response contracts and short-term analyses.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#10] Utilities and basic site upkeep (electricity, water, minimal HVAC to prevent freeze/thaw).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#7, #28] Vehicle operating costs for patrols and routine transport of samples/personnel to/from Site 81.
Administrative Overhead $30K/yr
[#30] HR, payroll, scheduling and Site 81 administrative support time allocated to Provisional Site 467.
Training And Certifications $30K/yr
[#23] Regular training, drills and certifications for guards, MTF, researchers, and hazmat/amnestic procedures.
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#13, #21, #22] Seal replacements, janitorial/pest-control contracts and consumables, ongoing medical/PPE consumables.
Morgue And Biostorage $20K/yr
[#26] Recurring costs for refrigerated storage, handling and short-term containment of fatalities.
Security Equipment And Training $15K/yr
[#6] Uniforms, weapons training, and security equipment replacement/maintenance for guards.
Power And Emergency $10K/yr
[#9] Fuel, generator maintenance and UPS servicing.
Records Management And Archival $10K/yr
[#20] Records archival, indexing, and staff time to maintain secure incident logs/footage.
Cybersecurity And It $8K/yr
[#19] Ongoing cybersecurity, penetration testing, and secure-comm maintenance for CCTV/sensor networks.
Video Storage Maintenance $5K/yr
[#4] Ongoing storage/cloud/SAN maintenance, backup and replacement costs for video retention.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.0M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with regular operations and no major incidents.
routine_operations no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $2.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized anomalous event leading to a small response: medical treatment, forensic analysis, limited MTF dispatch and amnestic actions.
localized_anomalous_activity single_fatality_or_injury short_MTF_deployment
🚨 Major Breach $3.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant anomalous event with multiple casualties or structural damage requiring extensive MTF deployment, large cleanup, demolition/relocation planning and legal/cover operations.
multiple_fatalities structural_damage widespread_exposure demolition_or_relocation
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
CCTV Operator 8 Continuous 24/7 monitoring coverage across three shifts; headcount used in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 On-site armed guards for perimeter and rapid response; headcount used in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 4 Site 81 liaison researchers for monitoring and analysis; headcount used in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Cost ranges are informed by detailed analyst notes and a well-defined containment plan, but many line items (property acquisition, demolition scope, frequency/severity of anomalous activity) have wide ranges; staff salary and contingency needs introduce additional uncertainty.
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