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SCP-2573 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2573
Expected annual
$3.0M
One-time setup
$910K
Annual recurring
$2.9M
Personnel
9
Baseline (Conservative, 50 monitored publications) one-time startup ≈ $910,000 and annual recurring ≈ $2,908,750; main recurring drivers are agent rota wages, Class-E stipends, research/surveys, legal/PR, and overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $910K
Class E Recruitment Vetting $310K
[#2] Vetting/background checks and recruitment incentives for 50 recruited editorial-board contacts (~$6,200/person -> $310k).
Printer Hardening Setup $200K
[#11] Initial hardware/hardening for high-risk plants (midline estimate for multiple plants).
Initial Research Budget $150K
[#13] Modest initial intelligence/research on GOI 125-η (midline ~$100–250k).
Vehicle Purchases $110K
[#15] Purchase/outfit of 1–2 response vehicles (midline ~$110k total).
Antimeme Training Initial $100K
[#4] Initial antimeme/antimeme-resistance course at ~$2,000/person for 50 recruits -> $100k initial.
Secure Print Setup $20K
[#9] Secure short-run printing capacity setup, templates and proofs (midline example ~$20k).
Secure Comms Setup $20K
[#16] Initial secure communications & incident database setup (~$10–30k; midline $20k).
Facilities $0
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Equipment $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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Scaling Assumption Note $0
[#1] Estimates are per-publication and scale with number of monitored publications; worked examples provided for Conservative (50) and Broad (200).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.9M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#5] Dedicated point-of-contact agent rota (6 FTEs @ ~$120k + overhead -> ~$1.0M/yr).
Administrative Overhead $582K/yr
[#20] Administrative overhead (estimated at ~25% of direct recurring costs per analyst worked example).
Research And Monitoring $454K/yr
[#4, #10, #13, #14] Ongoing research/OSINT/HUMINT baseline ($300k/yr), survey analyst wages (~$100k/yr), survey materials (~$9k/yr), antimeme refresher training (~$25k/yr), forensic analyses (~$20k/yr).
Class E Stipends $300K/yr
[#3] Stipends/retention payments for 50 Class-E contacts at ~$500/mo -> ~$300k/yr.
Emergency Reserve $250K/yr
[#19] Contingency reserve for escalations / rapid deployments (midline reserve $250k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#12] Legal & PR retainer and per-incident legal/PR baseline (~$120–$400k/yr; midline $150k).
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Field retrieval operations (~$24k/yr), destruction costs (~$6k/yr) and storage/destruction overhead (~$12k/yr), replacement-copy procurement (~$18k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $55K/yr
[#7, #9, #11, #15] Secure storage rent (~$12k/yr), printer-monitoring retainer (~$20k/yr), secure-print maintenance (~$5k/yr), vehicle maintenance allocation (~$18k/yr).
Psychological Support And Medical $45K/yr
[#17] Counseling & medical monitoring for Class-E personnel (~$900/person/yr for 50 persons -> $45k/yr).
Secure Comms And It $10K/yr
[#16] Recurring hosting, encrypted comms, and database maintenance (~$5–20k/yr; midline $10k).
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#18] Evidence bags, PPE, tags, forms (~$1–3k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.9M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Conservative monitoring posture (50 publications), normal year with no major incidents.
normal_operations no_major_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $3.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Occasional larger retrieval or print-plant interdiction requiring additional MTF/field costs and legal/PR response.
major_print_plant_incident large_run_replacement
🚨 Major Breach $4.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Public dissemination / coordinated GOI action causing mass replacements, expanded legal battles, and accelerated research response.
public_exposure coordinated_goi_retaliation
🚨 Broad Scale Monitoring $6.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.3M vs baseline
Intelligence picture expands to 'Broad' scale (200 publications), requiring scaled stipends, surveys, and larger staff footprint.
intel_updates_expansion increased_incident_frequency
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] Dedicated 24/7 point-of-contact agent rota (6 FTEs).
Research Scientist / Investigator 2 [#13, #14] Research staff funded within the intelligence/research budget for GOI and mechanism study (portion of recurring research budget).
Intelligence Analyst / Survey Analyst 1 [#10, #13] Analyst handling periodic surveys, acquisition, processing and logging of periodicals (survey FTE included in recurring research_and_monitoring).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are midline and based on per-publication and per-incident assumptions provided by the analyst; significant uncertainty remains due to unknown true count of susceptible publications, incident frequency variability, and GOI escalation risk.
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