SCP-2574 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-2574
Expected annual
$4.3B
One-time setup
$3.2B
Annual recurring
$3.5B
Personnel
200
One-time establishment and strategic reserves drive costs into the low billions (≈ $3.19B), while annual operations, mass-relief/compensation, and long-term recovery dominate recurring spending (≈ $3.48B/yr). Major cost drivers are memetic R&D/deployment, amnestic manufacture/stockpiling, evacuation/compensation, and catastrophic reserve funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.2B
Catastrophic Reserve Fund $1.2B
[#26] ONE-TIME insurance-style catastrophic reserve fund for mass casualties, multi-city evacuations and covert payouts.
Contingency Military Reserve $1.1B
[#22] ONE-TIME reserve for contingency military-cost mitigation / reimbursements to partner states.
Last Falconer Rd $375.0M
[#3] ONE-TIME LAST FALCONER memetic program development, secure trials and red-teaming.
Amnestic Plant Setup $125.0M
[#5] One-time pharmaceutical R&D and manufacturing plant setup for mass amnestic production and clandestine packaging.
Public Shelter Stockpile $85.0M
[#28] One-time build of public shelter stockpiles (cots, MREs, water, medical consumables).
Memetic Deployment Infrastructure $70.0M
[#4] Procurement of secure uplinks, satellite capacity and terrestrial broadcast/CDN override hardware.
Containment Cleanup Reserve $55.0M
[#30] One-time equipment/reserve for containment R&D failed-approach cleanup (heavy equipment, demolitions).
Mobile Forward Bases $30.0M
[#2] Purchase/procurement of 10 modular rapid-response forward bases (armored shelters, gensets, comms).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $26.0M
[#1, #20] Lab buildout and specialized temporal/forensic lab setup costs (portion of facility build and temporal-anomaly lab setup).
Facilities $18.0M
[#1] Portion of secure anomalous research facility build-out (structural/Faraday/MEM-safe suites).
Secure It Setup $15.0M
[#24] One-time setup of encrypted backbone, hardened servers and offline distribution systems.
Surveillance Deployments $12.5M
[#11] One-time sensor deployments (radar/seismic/long-range cameras) and initial sensor procurement.
Field Hospital Setup $10.0M
[#9] One-time deployable field hospital procurement/equipment.
Uav Fleet Purchase $10.0M
[#12] UAV/drone fleet purchase for ISR and bird-tracking.
Hazmat Equipment $4.0M
[#10] Initial specialized hazmat detection/response equipment and decontamination gear.
Wildlife Netting Equipment $125K
[#13] Specialized netting/capture equipment for wildlife mitigation (one-time deployments/equipment purchases).
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5B/yr
Compensation And Relief $1.1B/yr
[#7] Annual compensation, unemployment relief and reconstruction subsidies to reduce unrest.
Long Term Recovery $800.0M/yr
[#27] Annualized multi-year funding for social/economic stabilization and stimulus programs.
Cover Story And Legal $330.0M/yr
[#18, #19] Legal/diplomatic/covert liaison budgets and media management / disinformation buys and takedown/legal fees.
Physical Reconstruction $300.0M/yr
[#8] Annual budget for physical repairs and reconstruction following SCP-induced damage (scales with urban exposure).
Amnestic Manufacturing And Distribution $175.0M/yr
[#5] Annual production and clandestine distribution of amnestic doses (baseline assumes ~1M doses/year at median per-dose cost).
Intelligence Ops $150.0M/yr
[#17] SIGINT/HUMINT budgets, liaison and covert intelligence operations to anticipate escalations.
Mass Psychology Programs $110.0M/yr
[#16] Public information campaigns, hotlines and paid media to blunt panic and cult formation.
Evacuation Logistics Annual $100.0M/yr
[#6] Standing annual budget for evacuation logistics readiness and intermittent evacuation operations.
Military Deconfliction Operations $100.0M/yr
[#22] Ongoing liaison and de-escalation funding to prevent kinetic strikes and state-level conflict.
Riot Control And Policing $80.0M/yr
[#15] Riot-control equipment, training and augmented policing support to manage civil unrest.
Surveillance Tasking And Imagery $36.0M/yr
[#11] Monthly commercial satellite tasking and imagery purchases; ongoing sensor tasking/analysis.
Medical Response Operations $35.0M/yr
[#9] Staffing, consumables and regional medical response costs (field hospitals, specialists, long-term PTSD care).
Stockpile Restocking $30.0M/yr
[#28] Annual restocking and rotation of public shelter stockpiles (MREs, medical consumables, water).
Staff Wages $22.0M/yr
[#14] Salaries for ~200 specialist security/response staff (example calculation: 200staff × median salary ≈ $22M/yr).
Memetic Activation Leasing $17.5M/yr
[#4] Per-activation leased satellite/terrestrial bandwidth and CDN capacity (annual readiness/occasional activation leasing).
Hazmat Mitigation $17.5M/yr
[#10] Recurring chlorine-cloud detection, decontamination and environmental remediation.
Training Simulations $15.0M/yr
[#25] Annual drills, red-team testing and evacuation simulations with partner agencies.
Fuel And Power $11.0M/yr
[#23] Fuel, generator logistics and site power costs for field sites and broadcast centers.
Containment Ops Reserve $10.0M/yr
[#30] Recurring budget for containment R&D follow-up operations and failed-approach cleanup.
Research And Monitoring $9.0M/yr
[#20] Recurring operations for forensic/temporal-anomaly lab testing and associated monitoring research (does not include large one-time R&D programs).
Secure It Ops $6.0M/yr
[#24] Bandwidth, cyber-defence and IT operations for secure communications and distribution systems.
Ethical Oversight $6.0M/yr
[#29] Oversight committees, audits and compliance work to monitor memetic/amnestic programs.
Facilities Maintenance $5.5M/yr
[#1] Ongoing operating costs for secure anomalous research facility (utilities, security engineering, basic upkeep).
Morgue Disposal $3.0M/yr
[#21] Secure morguing, biohazard disposal and monitoring of anomalous remains.
Wildlife Mitigation $2.8M/yr
[#13] Ornithologists, capture teams, GPS tagging and mitigation programs to influence SCP-2574-1.
Uav Operations $2.5M/yr
[#12] Pilots, maintenance and fuel for UAV/drone fleet operations.
Mobile Bases Operations $2.0M/yr
[#2] Maintenance and operations for forward base network.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5B/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major new evacuations, no large-scale escalation; ongoing programs and readiness maintained.
no_large_evacuations no_regional_political_collapse standard_memetic_maintenance
🚨 Major Evacuations $5.0B/yr
30.0% probability / year +$1.5B vs baseline
One or more full-city evacuations / large regional evacuations occur, triggering large increases in logistics, compensation, reconstruction and medical surge costs.
full-city_evacuations mass_casualties widespread_infrastructure_damage
🚨 Catastrophic Regional Collapse $11.6B/yr
5.0% probability / year +$8.1B vs baseline
State-level collapse, interstate conflict or prolonged regional breakdown requiring large-scale reconstruction, peacekeeping, and sustained relief.
state_collapse interstate_conflict mass_refugee_flows
👥 Personnel 200 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 200 [#14] Core specialist security staff estimated in staff wages (example: 200specialists at median salary accounting for the staff_wages recurring line).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low confidence due to very wide ranges in analyst notes, high dependence on population exposure, unknown frequency/severity of evacuations, and large political/coalition variables (cost-sharing with governments/GOC). Many line items are intentionally order-of-magnitude placeholders rather than firm bids.
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