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SCP-2575 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2575
Expected annual
$43.5M
One-time setup
$2.1B
Annual recurring
$10.9M
Personnel
38
Estimated one-time program and mission spending is on the order of $2.1 billion, dominated by possible sample-return or deflection missions; recurring annual costs are roughly $11 million driven by staffing, long-term reserve funding, disinformation operations, and monitoring. Periodic mission years (probes, sample returns, or deflection attempts) produce multi-hundred-million to billion-dollar spikes.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.1B
Contingency Deflection Mission $1.0B
[#24] Contingency intercept/deflection mission (kinetic impactor/tug or equivalent).
Sample Return Mission $800.0M
[#8] Full sample-return / capture mission (rendezvous, grappling, return capsule) contingency cost.
Dedicated Recon Probe Design And Construction $150.0M
[#5] Design and construction of one dedicated space-based reconnaissance probe (bus, payload integration, station-keeping capability).
Launch Costs For Recon Probe $75.0M
[#6] Rocket launch(s) for reconnaissance probe(s) to Earth–Moon L2 transfer.
Facilities $27.5M
[#9] Lab build-out / secure containment laboratory construction (clean rooms, physical containment).
Equipment $23.8M
[#7, #9, #10] High-resolution/microscopy instruments (#7), initial analytical equipment for returned samples (#9), initial compute/storage cluster (#10).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20.0M
[#28] Specialized containment R&D / initial conceptual R&D funding (one-time tranche).
High Resolution Imaging Payloads $20.0M
[#7] Specialized high-resolution / microscopic imaging payloads (SEM-like instruments, proximity sensors).
Amnestic Stockpile And Training $1.0M
[#15] One-time purchase/production of initial amnestic stockpile and training/administration setup.
Insurance One Time Reserve $1.0M
[#25] One-time reserve for insurance / plausible-deniability expenses / bribery mitigation.
Decommissioning And Archive Termination $500K
[#30] One-time decommissioning and archive maintenance at program end.
Initial Disinformation Fabrication $200K
[#11] Initial fabrication/forgery of archival evidence to support the cover story.
Secure Communications Setup $200K
[#20] Initial secure communications and OPSEC infrastructure setup (encrypted systems, initial audits).
Digital Forensics And Archival Fabrication $150K
[#13] Digital forensics and creation of plausible archival artifacts/documentation (one-time effort).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.9M/yr
Staff Wages $3.8M/yr
[#1, #2, #14, #16, #17, #22] Program management/admin, scientific staff, social-media/influence personnel, field response team wages, legal personnel, security personnel (payroll and benefits).
Long Term Program Reserve $3.0M/yr
[#23] Multi-decade reserve / set-aside to ensure continuity of monitoring program and asset replacement over ~60 years.
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#11, #12, #18, #25] Recurring disinformation campaign operations, embedded grants/fellowships, emergency PR contingency maintenance, recurring legal/diplomatic/lobbying and insurance mitigation budgets.
Research And Monitoring $800K/yr
[#4, #10, #27] Persistent monitoring infrastructure (telescope time, radar), long-term data storage/processing recurring costs, contracted research & orbital/material modeling.
Mission Operations Contracts $800K/yr
[#3] Contractor support, telemetry/command services and non-payroll mission operations costs for probes/flybys.
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#19] Covert logistics and international travel for teams, secure transport, safehouses.
Amnestic Administration And Supplies $250K/yr
[#15] Per-administration recurring costs and replenishment of amnestic stockpile and medical/psychiatric aftercare on average.
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#21] Energy, HVAC, colocation, redundant power and basic facilities maintenance for mission/control centers.
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#29] Misc consumables, office supplies, vehicle fuel, PPE, spare parts.
Secure Communications Maintenance $100K/yr
[#20] Recurring maintenance, leased encrypted capacity, audits, and operational OPSEC costs.
Public Safety Monitoring $50K/yr
[#26] Liaison personnel, tabletop exercises and coordination with civil authorities for debris/public-safety monitoring.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.9M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year of monitoring, disinformation, routine research and maintenance with no major missions or public incidents.
routine_monitoring disinformation_maintenance regular_research_contracts
🚨 Probe Launch Year $255.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$245.0M vs baseline
Year with a dedicated reconnaissance probe design/launch and instrument deployment for high-resolution observation.
rendezvous_probe_launch high_res_imaging_campaign increased_mission_ops
🚨 Sample Return Mission $811.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$800.0M vs baseline
Decision to capture and return a physical sample to Earth for laboratory analysis or to attempt capture/containment in situ.
decision_to_retrieve_sample containment_priority_escalation public_visibility_or_new_risk
👥 Personnel 38 total
Role Count Notes
Program Manager / Administrative Staff 6 [#1] Senior program manager, project managers, finance and admin staff (5–10 FTEs).
Research Scientist (astronomers, materials scientists, orbital modelers) 12 [#2, #27] Scientific staff to model orbit, analyze imagery, and run contracted research (10–20 specialists).
Mission Operations / Flight Controllers 4 [#3] On-staff flight controllers and spacecraft operations personnel (contractor complement accounted separately).
Field Response Agents / MTF 6 [#16, #19] Ground teams trained to intercept observers; regional teams represented in headcount.
Security Officer / Guards 4 [#22] Security personnel for labs/archives and facilities.
Social Media / Influence Team 3 [#14, #11] Small SOC/influence team responsible for online monitoring and content seeding.
Legal / Diplomatic / Liaison Staff 2 [#17, #26] Legal counsel and liaisons for diplomatic/records management and civil-authority coordination.
Medical Officer / Amnestic Administration Staff 1 [#15] Medical personnel for amnestic administration and aftercare monitoring.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed cost ranges and many specific line items, so mid-range estimates are used; large uncertainties remain in mission cadence, choice of probe architecture, likelihood of sample-return/deflection decisions, and the long-term reserve strategy—these drive the medium confidence rating.
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