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SCP-2582 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2582
Expected annual
$1.1M
One-time setup
$347K
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
11
Initial setup is modest (~$347k one-time) dominated by retrofits and equipment; annual operating costs are dominated by 24/7 armed security and lease/operations (~$1.13M/yr). Major cost drivers are security wages, lease payments, research/medical monitoring, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $347K
Facilities $150K
[#5, #6, #11, #23] Structural retrofits/partitioning, optional acoustic mitigation, one-time HVAC modifications, and decommissioning remediation budget. Range aggregated from individual items.
Equipment $82K
[#2, #7, #9, #14, #19] Initial guard issue (weapons/PPE), CCTV & PoE installation, secure IT/server hardware one-time setup, rapid-response vehicle purchase (included here), and secure cabinet.
Major Claim Reserve One Time $50K
[#20] One-time contingency for large settlement or buyout per incident (set-aside reserve for potential single large claim).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#13] Purchase of EEG/behavioral testing equipment and initial research instrumentation (portable rigs) for on-site studies.
Security Training Initial $20K
[#3] Initial certification/training for ~10 guards (year 1 training costs aggregated).
Legal And Setup One Time $15K
[#15] One-time legal fees, permits, and cover-story setup costs (initial counsel, contract & permit fees).
Property Purchase $0
[#4] Purchase option for the property (one-time $300k–$750k); NOT selected in baseline (leasing chosen instead).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $705K/yr
[#1, #10] Ten armed guards (FTE+benefits) plus one on-site supervisor/manager. Dominant recurring payroll cost.
Contingency Reserve $147K/yr
[#21] Program contingency reserve (15% of baseline operating subtotal) for unplanned overtime, failures, and small incidents.
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#8, #12, #13, #9] Ongoing behavioral/EEG research program, outsourced neuroimaging project reserves, medical screening/follow-ups, and video retention/monitoring contract baseline.
Lease Payments $60K/yr
[#4] Lease/compensation to property owner to maintain cover business (baseline chosen: leasing rather than purchase). Range $36k–$96k/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $46K/yr
[#15, #20] Ongoing legal retainer, PR/cover-story costs, and small compensation/goodwill fund for patron mitigation.
Long Term Liability Reserve $20K/yr
[#22] Actuarial reserve for potential long-term healthcare/workers' comp liabilities from chronic psychological injury.
Supplies And Consumables $13K/yr
[#2, #18] Annual consumables for guards (training ammo, OC, disposables), PPE replacement amortization, and janitorial/maintenance consumables.
Utilities $10K/yr
[#17] Electricity, water/sewer, internet/phone for 24/7 monitoring, servers, HVAC.
Security Training $10K/yr
[#3] Annual recurrent firearms/containment/medical recertifications and scenario training for guards.
Insurance And Liability $6K/yr
[#16] Property, liability, and special riders for anomalous conditions (baseline premium estimate).
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#14] Vehicle operating costs, fuel, and maintenance for rapid-response team.
It And Cybersecurity $3K/yr
[#9] Annual licenses, cloud backup costs, and occasional cybersecurity audits/maintenance.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#11] Ongoing HVAC and minor facilities maintenance related to containment-modified restroom.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with leasing, current staffing, routine research, and no major incidents.
standard operations no notable incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Small on-site incident (patron complaint, minor injury/exposure) requiring overtime, additional medical care, PR/legal response.
customer complaint minor medical/psychological treatment localized repairs / overtime
🚨 Major Breach $1.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Significant containment failure or public exposure requiring emergency remediation, large settlements, possible emergency purchase of property and extended research/medical interventions.
significant public exposure major psychiatric injury claims large legal settlement / emergency remediation
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#1, #2, #3] Ten armed, licensed guards (FTE coverage for 24/7 with backfill; includes training and equipment).
Site Supervisor / Manager 1 [#10] One on-site supervisor to manage logistics, liaison with researchers, and cover operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and typical commercial/Raleigh market rates; key uncertainties include staffing premium for anomalous duty, whether leasing or purchase is used, and potential scale of medical/legal liabilities.
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