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SCP-2585 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2585
Expected annual
$9.3M
One-time setup
$30.0M
Annual recurring
$8.9M
Personnel
18
Initial capital expenditures ~ $30.0M driven largely by optional smallsat/ground-station purchase and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs ~ $8.9M driven by staffing, logistics (helicopter, expedition), and cover-up/legal costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $30.0M
Equipment $21.6M
[#2, #5, #13, #16] SmallSat/ground-station purchase & launch contingency (~$20,000,000), UAV fleet + sensors (~$1,125,000), specialized pressure suits capital (~$337,500), secure comms hardware (~$175,000).
Contingency Fund $6.0M
[#25] Long-term contingency / escalation fund for international incidents or scale-up (~$2M–$10M; midpoint used).
Facilities $1.6M
[#3, #7] High-altitude automated observation station hardware + installation (~$900k) and secure field/base compound build-out (~$750k).
Coverup Pr Reserve $375K
[#18] Initial legal/PR reserve to seed cover-up operations and retain counsel (~$250k–$500k; midpoint used).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#14] On-site autopsy/forensic cold storage and BSL-capable containment lab build-out (~$300k).
Training Initial $75K
[#24] Initial high-altitude rescue / hazmat / cultural training setup (~$50k–$100k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.9M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $2.0M/yr
[#17, #18, #19] Local engagement/permits/front-agency maintenance (~$650k), ongoing cover-up/PR/legal costs (~$1.0M), and local compensation/victim management (~$400k).
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#6, #9, #12, #23] UAV ops & attrition (~$300k), helicopter retainer (~$450k), field expedition mission cadence (~$1.0M budget for 1–2 missions/yr), and insurance/med-evac contracts (~$250k).
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#10, #11] Monitoring/research team salaries and benefits (~$800k–$1.2M -> $1.0M midpoint) plus field/mountaineering response team salaries (~$500k–$1.0M -> $750k midpoint). Sum used.
Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#1, #15, #20] Dedicated satellite imagery lease/tasking (~$750k), forensics/bioassay recurring testing (~$112.5k), and intelligence/forum monitoring (~$150k).
Facilities Maintenance $888K/yr
[#4, #8, #16, #22] Annual maintenance for high-altitude stations (~$300k), base compound operations (~$300k), recurring comms/cloud/storage (~$175k), and power/fuel logistics (~$112.5k).
Smallsat Operations $750K/yr
[#2] If Foundation purchases smallsats, annual ops/ground-station costs (~$500k–$1.0M; midpoint used). This is an alternate/parallel recurring cost to the imagery lease.
Supplies And Consumables $462K/yr
[#13, #21, #24] Suits spare parts/consumables (~$50k), equipment replacement/attrition allowance (~$300k), and recurring training/certifications (~$112.5k).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.9M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with continuous monitoring, routine maintenance, scheduled missions and no major incidents.
continuous monitoring scheduled maintenance 1–2 planned expeditions
🚨 Minor Incident $10.4M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized incident requiring an extra emergency expedition, increased PR/legal activity, and additional helicopter/flight-hours.
recovery of personnel/remains spike in media attention additional emergency flight-hours
🚨 Major Breach $16.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Significant escalation—multiple recoveries, international exposure, large-scale cover-up and emergency operations consuming contingency funds.
international media/political exposure multiple simultaneous incidents activation of contingency/reserve funds
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Monitoring Staff 8 [#10] Includes analysts, climatologists, data scientists and UAV pilots (midpoint of 6–10).
Field Team / Mountaineering Response 10 [#11] Includes high-altitude mountaineers, medics, guides and rotation contracts (midpoint of 8–12).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for nearly every cost; midpoints were used where ranges existed. Major uncertainties include policy choices (lease vs. owning smallsats), actual mission cadence, and the rare-but-high-impact nature of containment/cover-up events.
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