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SCP-2658 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2658
Expected annual
$614K
One-time setup
$623K
Annual recurring
$575K
Personnel
3
One-time containment, initial research and contingency acquisitions total approximately $623,300; recurring baseline operations (staff, monitoring, medical, legal, and incident-response provisioning) are about $570,400/year. Primary cost drivers are specialist staff wages, ongoing monitoring/intelligence, and incident-driven amnestic/buyback/legal expenses with contingency for large-scale dissemination.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $623K
Contingency Reserve $250K
[#20] One-time contingency/worst-case reserve for rapid large-scale amnestic deployments, buybacks, and public messaging.
Acquisition Of Authentic Reference Items $200K
[#15] Optional procurement of authentic high-value reference items (e.g., Alpha Mox Ruby) including insurance/secure transport.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#12] Controlled research program setup: ethics, imaging/recording gear, subject compensation, protocol development.
Specialist Recruitment And Initial Consults $25K
[#13] Initial outside consultant fees and specialist recruitment/one-off hires.
Data Modeling Initial $20K
[#19] Initial market-impact modeling and econometric analysis setup.
Amnestic Stockpile And Initial Acquisition $15K
[#8] Initial Foundation-grade amnestic stockpile purchase and secure storage setup.
Evidence Imaging And Documentation Gear $6K
[#14] High-resolution imaging gear, secure imaging archive initial purchase and chain-of-custody tools.
Equipment $3K
[#3] Access-control one-time setup (keycard/biometric integration hardware, initial IT integration).
Initial Training And Sop $2K
[#5] Initial SOP production and staff training materials + 2–4 hrs staff time.
Administrative Policy And Screening Setup $2K
[#4] One-time background-classification policy implementation and HR workflow changes to flag collectors.
Facilities $800
[#1] Archival sleeve/toploader, tamper-evident locker insert and minor locker hardware/upgrades.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $575K/yr
Staff Wages $240K/yr
[#8, #12, #13, #17] Salaries/benefits for core staff: monitoring analyst, research scientist(s), and certified medical/admin staff required to administer amnestics and run research.
Specialist Retainer $100K/yr
[#13] Ongoing retainers/contracted specialists (memetics, economists, cyber investigators) if retained.
Long Term Intelligence $75K/yr
[#21] Ongoing investigations, travel, surveillance and undercover ops to locate originators or similar objects.
Research And Monitoring $31K/yr
[#6, #12] Ongoing medical/psychological monitoring of exposed staff and recurring research replication/monitoring costs.
On Call Incident Response $25K/yr
[#7] Standby stipends, emergency supplies, and readiness training for incident response team.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#18] Vehicles, travel and field ops for in-person retrievals, buybacks, and covert retrieval teams.
Recovery Buyback Budget $20K/yr
[#11] Routine buyback/retrieval budget to recover gifted collectibles in modest incident years.
Civilian Amnestics And Buybacks $10K/yr
[#10] Baseline annual budget for small civilian amnestic administrations and reimbursements/buybacks.
Data Modeling Update $10K/yr
[#19] Recurring model updates and analyst time to refresh market-impact modeling.
Cover Story And Legal $5K/yr
[#16] Legal/diplomatic/cover-up expenditures per-year baseline for takedowns, settlements, and cooperation with hosts.
Administrative Hr Overhead $5K/yr
[#4] HR/admin overhead to maintain roster, screening updates, and reassignments.
Amnestic Resupply $5K/yr
[#8] Recurring resupply and certification training for amnestic stocks.
Online Incident Response $5K/yr
[#9] Digital forensics, forum takedowns, legal contact and cooperation baseline per modest incident activity.
Legal Diplomatic Cover $5K/yr
[#16] Ongoing small-scale legal/cover coordination budget.
Continuous Monitoring Tools $5K/yr
[#17] Tool subscriptions and analyst tooling for forum/marketplace monitoring (separate from analyst salary).
Administrative Overhead And Documentation $5K/yr
[#22] Recordkeeping, secure databases, FOIA/legal-hold handling, and archiving redacted incident reports.
Morale Mitigation $2K/yr
[#23] Staff morale programs or hobby stipends for reassigned personnel to retain talent.
Training And Refreshers $2K/yr
[#5] Annual refreshers, onboarding training, and lost staff-hours payroll cost.
Amnestic Administration Budget $2K/yr
[#8] Baseline per-administration operations budget estimate (medical staff, dose, monitoring) expected annually.
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#2] Site storage overhead allocation: pro-rated storage/cataloging/evidence-cabinet metering paperwork.
Evidence Imaging Storage $1K/yr
[#14] Digital storage costs and maintenance for secure imaging archives.
Access Control And Audit $650/yr
[#3] Recurring auditing and minor IT maintenance for access-control and audit logging.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $575K/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, training, small resupplies, and no significant public exposure incidents.
no major leaks only routine monitoring events small localized incidents handled internally
🚨 Minor Incident $615K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Localized small public exposure or forum post requiring modest forensics, a few amnestic administrations, and limited buybacks/legal work.
single forum thread exposure one local game-store gifting event small number of civilian exposures (1–5 people)
🚨 Major Incident $1.1M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$495K vs baseline
Significant leak or multi-region exposure requiring extensive amnestic deployment, large buybacks/reimbursements, legal action, and contingency drawdown.
widespread online leak multiple communities/stores exposed coordinated gifting events across regions
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Major uncontrolled dissemination (forum leak with images widely shared or creator continues distribution) causing market disruption and requiring mass response, reimbursement, and long-term public messaging.
major social-media/forum viral spread creator continues distribution multi-site simultaneous exposures
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Continuous Monitoring Analyst 1 [#17] Full-time analyst responsible for forum/marketplace monitoring; salary included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist / Memetics Specialist 1 [#12, #19] Leads controlled studies and modeling; salary included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer / Certified Admin 1 [#8] Certified medical staff to administer amnestics and monitor post-treatment; salary included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges and clear drivers; however incident-driven costs (amnestic administrations, buybacks, legal settlements, and optional high-value acquisitions) are highly variable, producing moderate uncertainty in annual estimates.
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