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SCP-2674 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2674
Expected annual
$4.0M
One-time setup
$33.0M
Annual recurring
$3.7M
Personnel
27
Estimated initial capital outlay is approximately $33.04M driven primarily by contingency/reserve funds, land purchase/buyouts and specialized equipment; ongoing baseline recurring costs are about $3.66M/year driven by personnel, sensor/equipment maintenance and community mitigation.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $33.0M
Long Term Contingency Fund $15.6M
[#20] Reserved rapid-escalation fund for large unexpected expansions or national-level response.
Evacuation Contingency $7.5M
[#19] Contingent funding example for evacuation (illustrative one-month evacuation estimate for ~2,000 people).
Equipment $4.2M
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #6, #8, #12, #13, #23, #26] Perimeter sensor grid, underwater detection hardware, ROV/UAV fleet, submersible/dive equipment, boats/landing craft, armed engagement gear, sample aquaria systems, secure comms, backup generators and monitoring software procurement.
Site Purchase $1.6M
[#28] One-time site purchase / control-area land acquisition (purchase option chosen over lease in this estimate).
Facilities $1.5M
[#4, #14] Shore-side staging/wet lab build-out and physical site security setup (fencing, barriers, hardened posts).
Local Acquisition Contingency $1.3M
[#15] Initial tranche for local land acquisition/compensation and buyouts/leases for Trearddur Bay perimeter control.
Mtf Initial Training And Equipment $500K
[#7] One-time training program and specialized equipment issuance for MTF-Omega-09 (selection, maritime/CT kit issuance).
Economic Relief Fund One Time $312K
[#18] Immediate relief fund for economic impact mitigation (tourism/fisheries compensation immediate tranche).
Pr Crisis Package $126K
[#16] One-time crisis PR/disinformation package and initial media operations materials.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K
[#11] Pathology and aquatic biology wet-lab equipment specific to marine pathology and necropsy work.
Medical Amnestic Stockpile $125K
[#9] Initial stockpile of amnestic agents and distributable kits.
Legal Setup $62K
[#17] One-time legal/liaison setup costs to establish counsel and municipal retentions.
Decontamination Contract Setup $38K
[#22] One-time contract setup fees for decontamination, biohazard and corpse disposal agreements.
Sop Development $38K
[#25] One-time SOP/protocol development and tabletop exercise creation costs.
Containment Documentation Setup $31K
[#30] One-time classified archival and secure record-keeping system setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.7M/yr
[#7, #10, #14, #30] Recurring payroll for MTF-Omega-09 operators (~16 personnel), behavioral monitoring staff, contracted guard wages supplement, and containment/OPSEC administrative staffing.
Research And Monitoring $546K/yr
[#11, #21, #25, #26, #7] Pathology/aquatic biology staffing and consumables, environmental/hydrographic survey cruises, recurring exercises and training, monitoring & analyst software licences/cloud compute, and annual MTF refresher training.
Supplies And Consumables $426K/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #6, #8, #9, #12, #13, #22, #23] Maintenance, calibration and consumables for sensors/underwater detectors/ROVs/submersible/boats, ammunition and PPE replacement, medical/amnestic replenishment, sample aquaria utilities, cyber hosting upkeep, decon usage, and generator fuel/maintenance.
Economic Impact Compensation $408K/yr
[#18] Recurring economic impact mitigation reserve and business/fisheries compensation (annual budgeted reserve).
Cover Story And Legal $401K/yr
[#16, #17, #24, #29] PR/disinformation retainer, legal/liaison retainer, insurance/indemnification reserves, and small-claims/hush payment petty fund.
Facilities Maintenance $137K/yr
[#4, #15] Shore-side lab utilities and property taxes/management for acquired/leased control area.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#6, #27] Recurring retainers for boats/landing craft logistics and specialist contractor availability/retainers.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.7M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents: steady surveillance, routine maintenance, staffing and community mitigation.
no breaches routine maintenance standard MTF operations
🚨 Minor Incident $3.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized breach or limited encounter requiring overtime, additional surveys, targeted decontamination and small compensation payouts.
small perimeter breach limited engagement targeted decontamination
🚨 Major Breach $5.8M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.1M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or spread requiring partial evacuation, larger contractor mobilization, buyouts and extended operations.
perimeter expansion multi-day evacuation large-scale contractor mobilisation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $31.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$28.1M vs baseline
Major uncontrolled expansion requiring full evacuation, national-level response, drawing on long-term contingency and major buyouts.
rapid SCP expansion full-community evacuation national response and procurement
👥 Personnel 27 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Contract Guard 6 [#14] Contracted guard complement (supplementing MTF) represented in contracted guard wages.
MTF Agent (MTF-Omega-09 operators) 16 [#7] Standing maritime counterterror/maritime response team; 16-person team on-call.
Behavioral Analyst / Psychologist / Linguist 4 [#10] Monitoring staff for local behavioral changes and reporting.
Administrative / OPSEC / Records Staff 1 [#30] Containment documentation, classified archival and OPSEC staffing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst-provided ranges and itemized estimates allow a medium confidence level; many line items have wide ranges (land acquisition, contingency fund, evacuation scale) and scenario probabilities are qualitative judgments.
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