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SCP-2675 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2675
Expected annual
$232.3M
One-time setup
$804.0M
Annual recurring
$212.2M
Personnel
200
Initial setup costs are dominated by hardened Arctic facilities, ordnance and equipment procurement, and large contingency reserves (one-time ~USD 804M); recurring annual operations (satellite tasking, patrols, personnel, legal/cover operations, reserves, overhead) are ~USD 212M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $804.0M
Escalation Reserve $200.0M
[#29] Tiered escalation reserve for multi-vessel / multi-region events (moderate-to-large).
Equipment $126.0M
[#2, #5, #7, #17, #20] Initial aircraft/airframe spares & armament, UAV/ROV procurement mods, ship/aircraft hardening, comms interception procurement, sensor upgrades.
Ordnance Stockpile $100.0M
[#3] Initial thermal/anti-ship ordnance stockpile to sustain repeated engagements.
Classified Reserve Seed $100.0M
[#27] Initial black-budget/contingency seed fund for clandestine ops and buyouts.
Platform Replacement Reserve $100.0M
[#19] One-time contingency reserve for replacing lost platforms (aircraft/ships) in early program phase.
Facilities $75.0M
[#1] Upgrades/lease/hardening for 2–3 Arctic forward-operating bases/hangars; selected 3-site build/upgrade estimate (~$25M/site).
Environmental Remediation Reserve $50.0M
[#14] One-time reserve for cleanup and initial large-event remediation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $35.0M
[#8, #15, #16] Hot-lab upgrades and forensic equipment, initial deep-sea analysis toolkit, seed R&D instrumentation.
Simulator Procurement $10.0M
[#18, #2] Initial procurement of Arctic/radiological/tactical simulators for crews.
Monitoring Center Setup $5.0M
[#10] Secure SOC / operations center initial setup and classified comms equipment installation.
Deployable Sensor Fleet $3.0M
[#6] Initial fleet of deployable buoys/sensor packages and deployment costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $212.2M/yr
Research And Monitoring $49.0M/yr
[#4, #5, #25, #15, #16, #28] Satellite tasking/leasing, maritime patrol sorties/UAV ops (per-region), epidemiological surveillance, ongoing forensic research staff and R&D programs, records/analysis.
Cover Story And Legal $29.0M/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #22, #23, #26, #21] Grade-IV media blackout readiness, amnestic program costs, diplomatic/legal contingency funds, PR cover-story reserves, liaison payments and public safety advisory costs, legal/ethical oversight staffing.
Program Management Overhead $27.7M/yr
[#30] Administrative overhead, contracting, procurement and program management (~15% of program budget).
Staff Wages $25.0M/yr
[#9, #2, #10] Salaries/benefits for aircrew, response crews, analysts, command staff and SOC staffing; includes standing force readiness.
Supplies And Consumables $22.5M/yr
[#3, #17, #20, #6] Munitions replenishment, PPE and ship/airframe consumables, comms ops, sensor buoy upkeep.
Insurance And Replacement Reserve $20.0M/yr
[#19] Annual reserve for lost platforms/crew compensation, replacement and insurance-like payouts.
Classified Reserve Topups $20.0M/yr
[#27] Ongoing black-budget top-ups for exceptional clandestine ops and emergency diplomacy.
Facilities Maintenance $6.0M/yr
[#1] Maintenance/upkeep for 3 hardened Arctic forward-operating bases (~$2M/site/yr).
Logistics And Transport $5.0M/yr
[#7, #24, #15] Routine salvage/deployment logistics, rapid recovery (helicopter/ship) readiness and transport support.
Environmental Remediation Topup $5.0M/yr
[#14] Annual contributions to remediation/liability reserve and readiness for cleanup contracts.
Training And Simulation $2.0M/yr
[#18] Annual Arctic/radiological/tactical training and wargames; simulator ops and refresher training.
Medical Monitoring And Decon $1.0M/yr
[#8] Ongoing decontamination readiness, radiological treatment capability upkeep and limited long-term monitoring for exposed staff/civilians.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $212.2M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with continuous monitoring, two active response regions, routine maintenance, and no major incidents.
continuous satellite/tactical operations routine training and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $225.2M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$13.0M vs baseline
Single-region engagement requiring response, a salvage/recovery mission, media blackout operations, limited environmental remediation and munitions replenishment.
single engagement detected local media exposure small-scale contamination
🚨 Major Breach $362.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Multi-asset engagement or region-scale incident requiring major salvage operations, international legal/diplomatic action, extended cleanup and significant ordnance/platform replacement.
multi-vessel engagement significant radiological contamination international diplomatic crisis
🚨 Catastrophic Contamination $1.2B/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline
Large-scale multi-country contamination or cascade of coordinated incidents requiring billion-dollar cleanup, long-term remediation, major legal settlements and program expansion.
widespread radiological dispersion multi-region simultaneous incidents prolonged international exposure and litigation
👥 Personnel 200 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 50 [#9, #23] Deployable security and liaison personnel for forward sites, liaison with navies/coast guards and on-scene enforcement.
Aircrew / Pilots 30 [#2] Crews for dedicated response aircraft squadrons and maritime patrol aircraft.
Research Scientist 20 [#15, #16, #28] Forensic, materials science and R&D staff for neutralization research and analysis of recovered components.
Ordnance Technician 20 [#2, #3, #19] Weapons, munitions handling, storage and replenishment technicians.
UAV Operators / Sensor Analysts 25 [#5, #6, #4] Long-range UAV operators, maritime patrol sensor crews and continuous satellite tasking analysts.
Engineer / Maintenance 20 [#17, #7] Platform hardening, maintenance of ships/aircraft/ROV/USV and sensor buoy upkeep.
Medical Officer 5 [#8, #12] Radiological treatment capability, decontamination teams and post-amnestic medical monitoring.
Administrative Staff 10 [#30, #10] Program management, contracting, procurement and SOC administrative support.
Translator / Intelligence Analyst 15 [#9, #28] Intercept translation (Russian/French/English), analysis and records/redaction teams.
Site Director / Executive Staff 5 [#9, #10] Senior command (General-level commanding officer) and executive oversight for operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide wide ranges and many discrete contingency items; baseline operational costs are moderately well-specified, but incident frequency, severity, and escalation dynamics (teleportation/radiation effects) are highly uncertain, producing medium confidence in estimates.
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