SCP-2680 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2680
Expected annual
$30.2M
One-time setup
$82.4M
Annual recurring
$29.0M
Personnel
60
Initial containment and research buildout requires large one-time capital (primarily vaccine R&D and contingency reserve), while annual operations are driven by staff wages, ongoing R&D, enforcement of the 5 km exclusion, and MTF/response costs. Total initial outlay is tens of millions with baseline annual running costs near $29M.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $82.4M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50.5M
[#14, #15, #16] Initial multi-year vaccine R&D program buildout and early program funding ($50M) (#14), diagnostic instrument purchase (#15), negative-pressure autopsy/biosafety pathology suite (#16).
Contingency Reserve $20.0M
[#22] One-time emergency reserve fund for large-scale breach response.
Facilities $6.0M
[#1, #2, #11] Containment cell structural upgrades (#1), human-habitation-modified storage cell for SCP-2680-1 (#2), initial HVAC maintenance/upgrade (#11).
Glass Removal Program $3.0M
[#24] One-time rollout costs for glass-removal/packaging-conversion program and supplier compensation.
Equipment $2.7M
[#3, #5, #9, #10, #12, #17, #27, #28, #29] Rations transference device (#3), initial PPE purchase (10 suits) (#5), mobile incinerators (#9), biohazard equipment/autoclave procurement (#10), redundant power hardware/generators (#12), secure transport fleet purchase (#17), explosion-resistant biosafety cabinets (#27), secure communications initial hardware (#28), staff compliance equipment (#29).
Exclusion Zone Install $250K
[#8] One-time signage/sensor installs for 5 km exclusion enforcement and covert sensors.
Training Setup $75K
[#20] One-time setup for training/drill program (program materials, simulation setup).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $29.0M/yr
Research And Monitoring $10.4M/yr
[#14, #15, #16, #25] Ongoing vaccine & therapeutic R&D annual budget (#14), diagnostic consumables and sequencing runs (#15), autopsy/pathology operating costs (#16), wastewater/environmental surveillance consumables (#25).
Staff Wages $5.0M/yr
[#6] Dedicated staffing (BSL-4 virologists/medical, technicians, security, maintenance, admin) including hazard pay.
Logistics And Transport $3.3M/yr
[#7, #9, #17] MTF field operations and deployments (#7), mobile incinerator fuel/operation (#9), secure transport fleet maintenance & drivers (#17).
Exclusion Zone Enforcement $3.0M/yr
[#8] Annual enforcement and covert patrols/checkpoints/contracts to maintain 5 km alcohol/glass ban (budgeted option rather than land buyout).
Cover Story And Legal $2.5M/yr
[#18, #19] Legal, intelligence & cover-up contracts/settlements (#18) plus public relations/misinformation upkeep (#19).
Facilities Maintenance $750K/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing HVAC energy/filters and scrubbers (#11) plus generator fuel and maintenance (#12).
Decontamination Teams $750K/yr
[#13] Rapid-response hazmat cleanup teams, equipment, consumables and on-call readiness for post-burst events.
Glass Removal Maintenance $500K/yr
[#24] Ongoing maintenance of packaging-exchange programs and subsidies to local suppliers.
Administrative Overhead $500K/yr
[#33] Program management, finance, procurement, HR and contract management overhead.
Epidemiological Surveillance $400K/yr
[#32] Long-term community health monitoring and covert screening campaigns in the local population.
Biohazard Waste Management $300K/yr
[#10] Disposal contracts, autoclave consumables and certified waste destruction services.
Mortuary And Cremation $300K/yr
[#26] Operating costs for on-site cremation/neutralization and mortuary storage under BSL-4 protocols.
Psychological Care $300K/yr
[#30] Counseling, retention incentives, hazard-pay top-ups and morale programs for high-stress staff.
Supplies And Consumables $240K/yr
[#5, #23] PPE consumables/replacements (#5) and consumables stockpile (disinfectants, filters, suit parts) (#23).
Training And Drills $200K/yr
[#20] Recurring BSL-4 and MTF drills, contractor trainers, simulated breach exercises.
Personnel Health Surveillance $150K/yr
[#21] Regular staff testing, quarantine capability, health tracking and medical monitoring.
Audit And Validation $150K/yr
[#31] Annual external audits, third-party validation and red-team breach testing.
Staff Compliance Monitoring $100K/yr
[#29] Breathalyzer testing, shift-entry inspections and compliance operations for alcohol/packaged beverage ban.
D Class Upkeep $60K/yr
[#4] Procurement, housing, medical checks and management for D-Class rotation (assumed ~2 D-Class on rotation; $30k each).
Communications Maintenance $50K/yr
[#28] Secure hosting, encrypted comms maintenance and CCTV/data logging upkeep.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $29.0M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year of containment and planned research with routine enforcement and MTF readiness.
no breaches scheduled R&D progress routine enforcement activity
🚨 Minor Incident $30.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized incident (discovered bottles or small cluster of infections) requiring extra MTF deployments, targeted cleanup and legal/PR response.
localized contamination small public exposure short-term MTF deployment
🚨 Major Breach $44.0M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or community contamination requiring mass interdiction, extended MTF operations, emergency medical responses and increased legal/compensation costs.
multi-site breach large-scale public exposure extended MTF & decontamination mobilization
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $129.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Widespread uncontrolled outbreak or forced purchase/evacuation of affected area; triggers emergency reserve deployment and major scale-up of containment and remediation.
regional outbreak mass contamination of supply chains requirement for large-scale buyout/evacuation
👥 Personnel 60 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Medical Officer 15 BSL-4 virologists and medical staff required for containment research and clinical oversight [#6].
Laboratory Technician 10 Technicians for BSL-4 lab operations, diagnostics and sample processing [#6].
Security Officer / MTF Agent 25 24/7 on-site security guards and rapid-response security personnel for perimeter and cell security; separate MTF deployments budgeted separately [#6, #7].
Engineer / Maintenance 4 HVAC, generators, incinerator and facility maintenance staff to ensure continuous containment systems [#11, #12, #9].
Administrative Staff 6 Program management, procurement, HR and contracts supporting the containment program [#33].
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item estimates are detailed in analyst notes (many capital and recurring figures provided), so many costs are well-specified; uncertainty remains for vaccine R&D duration/costs, long-term epidemiology, and breach probability/severity which justifies a medium confidence.
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