SCP-2680
Keter
~
medium confidence
SCP-2680
Expected annual
$30.2M
One-time setup
$82.4M
Annual recurring
$29.0M
Personnel
60
Initial containment and research buildout requires large one-time capital (primarily vaccine R&D and contingency reserve), while annual operations are driven by staff wages, ongoing R&D, enforcement of the 5 km exclusion, and MTF/response costs. Total initial outlay is tens of millions with baseline annual running costs near $29M.
One-Time Capital Costs
Total: $82.4M
Annual Recurring Costs
Total: $29.0M/yr
Cost Scenarios
📊
Baseline
(baseline)
$29.0M/yr
Normal, uneventful year of containment and planned research with routine enforcement and MTF readiness.
no breaches
scheduled R&D progress
routine enforcement activity
🚨
Minor Incident
$30.5M/yr
Localized incident (discovered bottles or small cluster of infections) requiring extra MTF deployments, targeted cleanup and legal/PR response.
localized contamination
small public exposure
short-term MTF deployment
🚨
Major Breach
$44.0M/yr
Significant containment breach or community contamination requiring mass interdiction, extended MTF operations, emergency medical responses and increased legal/compensation costs.
multi-site breach
large-scale public exposure
extended MTF & decontamination mobilization
🚨
Catastrophic Breach
$129.0M/yr
Widespread uncontrolled outbreak or forced purchase/evacuation of affected area; triggers emergency reserve deployment and major scale-up of containment and remediation.
regional outbreak
mass contamination of supply chains
requirement for large-scale buyout/evacuation
Personnel
60 total
| Role | Count | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Research Scientist / Medical Officer | 15 | BSL-4 virologists and medical staff required for containment research and clinical oversight [#6]. |
| Laboratory Technician | 10 | Technicians for BSL-4 lab operations, diagnostics and sample processing [#6]. |
| Security Officer / MTF Agent | 25 | 24/7 on-site security guards and rapid-response security personnel for perimeter and cell security; separate MTF deployments budgeted separately [#6, #7]. |
| Engineer / Maintenance | 4 | HVAC, generators, incinerator and facility maintenance staff to ensure continuous containment systems [#11, #12, #9]. |
| Administrative Staff | 6 | Program management, procurement, HR and contracts supporting the containment program [#33]. |
Confidence Notes
Line-item estimates are detailed in analyst notes (many capital and recurring figures provided), so many costs are well-specified; uncertainty remains for vaccine R&D duration/costs, long-term epidemiology, and breach probability/severity which justifies a medium confidence.