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SCP-2693 Pending ~ medium confidence
SCP-2693
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$2.6M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
23
One-time capital costs are estimated at $2,644,000 driven by outpost construction, research startup, equipment purchases and a contingency reserve. Recurring annual costs are estimated at $1,936,000/yr dominated by staff wages, ongoing research/monitoring, insurance/legal/cover maintenance and transport readiness (helicopter/vehicle/communications).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.6M
Facilities $1.0M
[#1, #3, #22] Outpost construction (site prep, buildings, perimeter) and immediate well mitigation (grate/secondary barrier) plus one-time energy generation (generator + battery install).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $510K
[#12, #14, #25] Research startup and instrumentation, initial amnestic materials setup, and initial long-term research seed funding (imaging/analysis equipment).
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#26] One-time contingency / escalation reserve for emergency procurement, buyouts, or rapid scaling.
Equipment $368K
[#5, #6, #7, #9, #16, #17, #19] Fixed surveillance & sensors, initial tracking devices, vehicle fleet purchase, long-range drones, communications hardware, initial servers/storage hardware, and capture/transport kits.
Land Acquisition And Permits $150K
[#2] Purchase or long-term lease buyout / permitting and initial cover-related legal fees (typical-purchase assumption).
Replacement Quarantine Lab $30K
[#20] One-time buildout contingency for quarantine/quarantine testing lab in case replacement animal acquisition is required.
Public Safety Infrastructure $25K
[#4] Signage, locked access paths, informational kiosks and initial perimeter/public-safety infrastructure setup.
Training Program Development $10K
[#23] Initial training program development for capture, amnestic administration, animal handling and drills.
Cover Story Setup $6K
[#15] Initial public relations/cover-story setup (website, brochures, staged event setup).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#10, #11, #12, #13] Salaries and benefits for on-site operations staff (guards/techs), rapid-response field teams, researchers/veterinary & animal-care staff, and amnestic/containment/legal specialists.
Cover Story And Legal $190K/yr
[#2, #15, #21] Annual lease/land-lease payments (if chosen), public-relations/cover maintenance and insurance/legal defense/reserve.
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#12, #25] Ongoing research funding, experiment consumables and monitoring studies (not including salaries accounted in staff_wages).
Logistics And Transport $75K/yr
[#8, #24] Helicopter/air-support retainer and small-incident operational expense pool (travel, per-diems, lodging for field teams).
Facilities Maintenance $62K/yr
[#4, #7, #22] Ongoing site maintenance, fence/trail upkeep, vehicle fuel/maintenance and generator fuel/maintenance.
Contingency Replenishment $50K/yr
[#26] Recurring replenishment allocation for the contingency/escalation reserve as incidents draw down one-time reserves.
Amnestic Materials And Incident Response $32K/yr
[#14] Per-incident amnestic pharmaceuticals, delivery, post-treatment monitoring and record-alteration costs (setup is one-time; this is recurring per-incident budget estimate).
Supplies And Consumables $22K/yr
[#9, #18, #19] Spare batteries/repairs for drones, veterinary consumables (food, meds, sedation supplies), and capture-kit consumables/replacements.
Training Drills $20K/yr
[#23] Regular training, drills, certifications and refresher courses.
Communications And Telemetry $12K/yr
[#16] Cellular boosters, satellite data plans, encrypted comms, radio repeaters and telemetry data plans maintenance.
Surveillance And Sensor Maintenance $8K/yr
[#5] Service and maintenance contracts for cameras, motion/thermal sensors and tamper alarms.
Tracking Subscriptions $7K/yr
[#6] Satellite/GPS data subscriptions, replacement budgeting for trackers and telemetry plans.
Data Storage And Cloud $6K/yr
[#17] Cloud archiving, continuous-video storage and backup fees.
Replacement Animal Contingency $2K/yr
[#20] Small recurring budget for replacement animal acquisition contingencies and minor quarantine expenses.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, occasional recoveries and no major incidents.
routine_tracker-reported relocations regular field deployments no large-scale public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Tracker failures or an appearance in a semi-populated area requiring extended searches, extra deployments and some helicopter/air support hours.
tracker short-circuit or failure teleportation into semi-populated/remote area requiring extended search occasional helicopter/extra overtime
🚨 Major Breach $2.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Mass public exposure or multiple simultaneous appearances leading to large amnestic operations, heavy legal/PR response and contingency reserve drawdown.
mass public witnessing multiple simultaneous appearances in populated areas specimen loss or death triggering large investigation
👥 Personnel 23 total
Role Count Notes
On-site Security / Operations Staff 9 [#10] Guard, facility techs and operations coordinator to staff a 24/7 outpost rotation (8–10 FTE assumed; midpoint used).
Rapid-response Field Team 5 [#11] Trained agents to deploy across the ~50-mile radius (4–6 agents assumed; midpoint used).
Research Scientist 2 [#12, #25] Research staff to study mechanisms (1–2 scientists; midpoint used).
Veterinarian / Animal Care Technician 2 [#12, #18] Veterinary care and animal-care techs for welfare, handling and husbandry.
Amnestic Specialist / Legal Ops 5 [#13, #21] Specialists for witness containment/amnesticization and legal/cover coordination (4–6 specialists assumed; midpoint used).
📋 Confidence Notes
Numerous line items and ranges were provided so primary cost drivers are identifiable, but many values depend on site choice, policy decisions (replace/study specimen), and incident frequency; wide ranges for capital and research contingency lower precision.
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