SCP-2712 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2712
Expected annual
$2.5M
One-time setup
$2.5M
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
12
Estimated one-time setup of $2,520,000 driven by AO#7130 repair, secure servers, and test/containment buildout; ongoing annual costs of $2,381,250 driven primarily by staff wages for a dedicated research/response team, long-term restoration/reintegration care, cybersecurity, and maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.5M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#6] AO#7130 repair/rebuild (experimental apparatus capital: vacuum chambers, cryogenics, EM shielding, custom hardware).
Human Subjects Clinical Trials $400K
[#8] One-time major clinical campaign costs (trial setup, imaging, IRB approvals, hospital costs per campaign).
Facilities $300K
[#7] Test infrastructure, safety interlocks, and containment for experiments.
Equipment $250K
[#1] Secure server cluster + initial air-gapped storage (HSMs, WORM, vaulting).
Contingency Reserve $200K
[#19] Contingency fund / reserve for containment breach / emergency response readiness.
Sandboxed Viewer Development $140K
[#3] High-assurance sandboxed viewer / read interface development (formal verification, code review).
Replication Setup $60K
[#2] Multi-site replication & offsite backup infrastructure one-time setup (3–5 data centers, secure synchronization/manual transfer).
External Consultants One Time $50K
[#20] External consultants & specialized vendors one-off engagement.
Decommissioning And Destruction $40K
[#24] Decommissioning and secure destruction procedures (legal/operational costs).
Background Investigations Initial $30K
[#11] Initial background investigations / clearance setup for rostered personnel.
Legal And Cover Story Setup $30K
[#12] One-time legal/ethics/cover-story setup and family communications contingency.
Psychological Support One Time $15K
[#13] One-time family compensation / therapy and initial counseling setup.
Secure Printing Setup $5K
[#15] Secure physical printing / offline archival copies setup (Faraday-proof folders, secure printers).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#4, #5, #21] Daily Level-4+ reader labor (roster to cover 0.3 FTE) and senior research team wages (6–9 staff) plus sysadmin/database maintenance FTE.
Restoration Long Term Outcome $275K/yr
[#23] Long-term care, secure housing, medical treatment, or guardianship if subject is restored.
Research And Monitoring $125K/yr
[#8] Ongoing human-subjects long-term care / monitoring and research follow-up if reconstitution attempts occur.
Cybersecurity And Monitoring $95K/yr
[#9] Continuous cybersecurity tooling, SIEM subscriptions, threat hunting, and incident response retainer.
Hardware Replacement Reserve $90K/yr
[#18] Amortized hardware lifecycle replacement & depreciation reserve (servers, storage, experimental gear).
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#7, #16] Maintenance, calibration, environmental controls, HVAC and lab power overhead for test infrastructure and servers.
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#12] Ongoing legal, ethics, PR, and cover-story retainer costs for family communications and external inquiries.
Supplies And Consumables $55K/yr
[#17] Consumables & spare parts for lab and AO device (electronics, cryogens, vacuum supplies).
Background Investigations $40K/yr
[#11] Periodic reinvestigations and clearance maintenance for rostered personnel.
Training And Memetic Safety $35K/yr
[#14] Annual memetic-safety certification and specialized training for ~10 personnel.
Immutable Audit Logs And Forensics $32K/yr
[#10] Tamper-evident log storage, secure timestamping/attestation and periodic third-party audits.
Sandboxed Viewer Maintenance $28K/yr
[#3] Maintenance, audits, and updates to the high-assurance sandboxed viewer / read interface.
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#2] Multi-site replication & offsite storage recurring costs (secure media, custodial handling, courier procedures).
External Consultants $25K/yr
[#20] Recurring budget for consultants and specialized vendor engagements.
Psychological Support And Counseling $18K/yr
[#13] Ongoing counseling for staff and affected family members; support if restoration returns altered individual.
Documentation Compliance $15K/yr
[#22] Documentation, compliance paperwork, and secure storage for audit trails.
Secure Printing Storage $1K/yr
[#15] Storage & access controls for physical printouts and offline archives.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: ongoing operations, daily reads, routine maintenance, and monitoring.
routine_operations no_major_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $2.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small incident or anomalous behavior requiring incident response, audits, and limited restoration actions.
transient_anomalous_behavior small_data_leak limited_emergency_response
🚨 Active Restoration Campaign $3.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Full-scale restoration campaign: AO#7130 repair efforts, expanded research team deployment, prolonged clinical trials and higher operational tempo.
decision_to_run_full_AO_repair major_clinical_trials extended_research_deployment
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Level-4 Reader 3 Roster of three Level-4+ employees to ensure daily reading coverage (aggregates to ~0.3 FTE cost allocation) [#4].
Research Scientist (senior) 3 Senior researchers specializing in memetics/infosci/neural interfaces forming core restoration team [#5].
Engineer / Maintenance 2 Engineers for AO#7130 repair, experimental apparatus, and hardware [#5, #6].
Technician 2 Technicians to support experiments, instrumentation, and repairs [#5, #17].
Ethics / Legal Liaison 1 Ethics/legal liaison for clinical approvals, family communications, and cover-story coordination [#5, #12].
Sysadmin / Database Admin 1 Part-time sysadmin to maintain SCP database entries, replication, and access controls (~0.1–0.3 FTE cost represented in staff wages) [#21].
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges for nearly every line item, enabling mid-point estimates; however key uncertainties remain (AO#7130 repair complexity, clinical trial scope, and long-term outcomes), so overall confidence is medium.
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