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SCP-2751 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2751
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$11.5M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
11
Initial one-time capital and buildout are the dominant costs (~$11.5M), driven by construction of a large indoor communal run and specialized kennels/equipment. Recurring annual costs are approximately $1.45M/year, driven by staff wages, utilities, recurring research, reserves and contingency funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.5M
Facilities $10.0M
[#1] Construction and MEP for a ~5,000 m2 communal run plus support spaces (estimate midpoint of $8–12M).
Containment Expansion Reserve $500K
[#17] Reserve for future kennel/run expansion per expansion phase (midpoint of $250k–$1M).
Equipment $482K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #18] Modular military-grade kennel units, in-ground pool installation, initial dry-cleaning/decon equipment, CCTV/access control installation, and vehicle outfitting (sum of mid-range estimates).
Insurance Capital Reserve One Time $250K
[#23] Initial capital reserve for catastrophic liabilities (lower-end seed of $250k–$1M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $221K
[#16] Baseline genomic sequencing (~$16k), additional assays (~$30k) and an initial research program budget (~$175k) for genetics/behavioral studies.
Pr And Initial Contingency $25K
[#20] Initial PR/legal contingency and permit-related costs (~$25k).
Sop Development And Initial Training $10K
[#19] Initial SOP development and staff onboarding/refresher for no-liquid protocols (~$10k).
Spay Neuter And Initial Medical $9K
[#8] One-time baseline spay/neuter & immediate care for existing population (~$6–12k; midpoint used).
Waste Management Initial $5K
[#11] Initial PPE/waste bins and setup for sealed waste handling.
Ppe Initial $5K
[#12] Initial stock of respirators, suits and fit-testing (~$5k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $500K/yr
[#6, #7, #10, #13] Salaries for animal handlers (~3 FTE), veterinarian + vet tech, contract/full-time groomer and dedicated kennel security (4 FTE).
Insurance Recurring Reserve $250K/yr
[#23] Recurring insurance/self-insurance reserve to cover catastrophic liabilities (~$250k–$1M/yr lower-end).
Contingency Reserve $200K/yr
[#22] Annual contingency reserve for anomalous/unexpected events, escapes, rapid upgrades (~$100k–500k/yr; midpoint used).
Research And Monitoring $168K/yr
[#16, #5, #15, #19] Ongoing genetics/behavior program (~$100–150k/yr midpoint), video storage/IT and monitoring (~$500–1,500/mo), data/records overhead and refresher training.
Facilities Maintenance $145K/yr
[#1, #14] Utilities (HVAC, dehumidification, pool systems) and routine building/M&E maintenance (~$80–150k for energy plus maintenance).
Supplies And Consumables $54K/yr
[#9, #10, #4, #21, #7] Annual food (~$6–15k), grooming consumables (~$6–10k), dry-cleaning consumables/filters (~$2k/month), enrichment/bedding replacement, and routine meds/vaccinations (~$8k).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#20] Annual legal/PR reserve and handling of civilian interactions (~$50k/yr).
Surgery And Emergency Medical $35K/yr
[#8] Contingency fund for emergency surgeries, C-sections and hospitalizations (~$20–50k/yr midpoint).
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#18] Fuel, vehicle maintenance and driver for secure transport (~$15–25k/yr).
Waste Management And Biohazard Handling $18K/yr
[#11] Ongoing hazardous waste contractor fees and replacement HEPA filters/PPE (~$200–1,000/mo disposal + ~$1,000/mo PPE/filters).
Ppe And Health Surveillance $6K/yr
[#12] Recurring PPE replacements, respirator filters and occupational health checks (~$6k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: routine operations, wages, utilities, research and reserves only.
no incidents steady reproduction rate (managed) routine veterinary care
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$60K vs baseline
Localized medical emergency(s) or small containment incident requiring overtime, emergency care and PR response.
emergency surgeries small-scale PR/legal responses overtime staffing
🚨 Breeding Expansion $1.9M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant reproduction event or multiple litters requiring construction/rapid expansion of kennel capacity.
unexpected litter(s) insufficient existing housing rapid construction/outfitting
🚨 Major Breach $2.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Public exposure, major containment failure or multi-instance escape requiring large-scale response and legal action.
public exposure major security breach large-scale litigation/PR
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Animal Handler 3 [#6] Full-time trained handlers for daily care and supervised socialization (3 FTE used in wage estimates).
Research Scientist / Veterinarian 1 [#7, #16] Veterinary lead / research scientist (1 FTE) covering clinical oversight and research coordination.
Veterinary Technician 1 [#7] Vet tech to support routine medical care and procedures (1 FTE).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#13] Dedicated kennel security to provide 24/7 presence (4 FTE).
Groomer / Animal Care Specialist 1 [#10] Contract or 1 FTE groomer experienced in dry-grooming protocols (budgeted as salary/contract).
Administrative Staff 1 [#15] Part-time admin/data management for records/logs and compliance (0.2–0.5 FTE budgeted; counted as 1 headcount).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many explicit line items and ranges, allowing a mid-confidence cost model; uncertainties remain around reproduction frequency, choice between new build vs. renovation and reserve sizing, so confidence is not high.
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