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SCP-2752 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2752
Expected annual
$7.8M
One-time setup
$3.3M
Annual recurring
$7.7M
Personnel
10
One-time startup costs are modest (~$3.28M) driven by contingency reserves, transplant contingency and initial research/lab setup; baseline annual recurring costs are ~ $7.70M/yr, dominated by E-class housing and medical care for affected subjects and regular MTF operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.3M
Transplant Contingency $1.4M
[#19] One-time contingency reserve for potential transplants (midpoint of $250k–$2.5M depending on number of cases).
Contingency Reserve $1.2M
[#25] Recommended one-time contingency/emergency response reserve to be available for mass-exposure or large remediation events.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K
[#16, #18] Initial concentrated research startup to identify dye/trigger and protective/evidentiary laboratory upgrades (BSL-2+ autoclaves, PPE lockers).
Equipment $115K
[#6, #7, #9] Portable mail-scanning/evidence kits ($30k), archival server/hardware ($35k), incinerator/paper-destruction purchase/setup ($50k).
Facilities $75K
[#4] Setup for covert leased cover offices, cameras and lockers at NZ postal nodes; initial physical interception infrastructure.
Shell Company Setup $10K
[#23] Optional public-facing shell (domain, phone lines) initial setup cost.
Baseline Assumptions $0
[#1] Baseline operational assumption: ~100 instances handled/year; average concurrent 50 contained subjects at Site-64 (controls scale).
Aggregated Summary $0
[#27] Analyst aggregated one-time startup/upgrade estimate (not double-counted here; individual line items above sum to operational one-time total).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.7M/yr
Medical Care And Containment $4.7M/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #15, #19] Secure E-class cell operations for 50 subjects (~$2.0–4.5M/yr), weekly medical exams (~$390–780k/yr), diagnostic imaging/monitoring (~$150–400k/yr), surgeries & OR upkeep (~$75–300k/yr + $100–200k/yr OR upkeep), and dialysis reserve for severe cases (~$70–450k/yr).
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#2] Dedicated MTF Alpha-4 contingent salaries/benefits/overhead (assume ~10 FTE @ $120k + overhead).
Cover Story And Legal $342K/yr
[#5, #20, #23] Legal/MOUs/quiet payments and in-country counsel (~$100–250k/yr), forensic legal support/PR (~$75–200k/yr), and ongoing shell/company maintenance (~$10–50k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $270K/yr
[#4, #7, #22] Recurring rent/staffing for NZ interception cover offices ($150k/yr), archival hosting/maintenance and cold-storage, plus incremental Site-64 utilities/maintenance ($60–150k/yr prorated).
Logistics And Transport $245K/yr
[#3, #10] Air travel/vehicle leases/fuel and local accommodation for intercepts (~$150–250k/yr) plus secure courier/transport of items and persons (~$15–40k/yr + possible air transport costs).
Opsec And Counterintelligence $225K/yr
[#21] OPSEC personnel and CI unit to protect investigation, monitor leaks, and secure archives (~$150–300k/yr small unit).
Research And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#16, #17, #8, #18] Ongoing specialist testing/sample processing ($75k/yr), experimental campaigns/GPS tracking (~$50k/yr), scanning/indexing labor (~$60k/yr), and lab maintenance upgrades ($15k/yr).
Training And Exercises $50K/yr
[#24] Annual training budget for postal staff/MTF rehearsals, red-team exercises and simulation drills (~$25–75k/yr).
Recordkeeping And Oversight $40K/yr
[#26] Internal audit, ethics board interactions and documentation costs (~$20–60k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $24K/yr
[#6, #9, #11, #7] Field consumables & replacements ($5k/yr), incinerator fuel/maintenance or contractor fees (~$10k/yr), PPE & biosafety consumables ($3–10k/yr), cold-storage tapes ($2k/yr).
Incidence Variation Sensitivity $0/yr
[#28] Sensitivity/caveat note: costs scale strongly with incidence; this item is a descriptive note (no fixed recurring cost).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.7M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine intercepts, 50 concurrent E-class subjects and no major incidents.
steady incidence (~100 instances/year) standard surgical and monitoring rate no large-scale mail events
🚨 Minor Incident $8.2M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized surge in cases or small-scale mass-mailing causing extra deployments and several additional surgeries.
clustered mailings to a city 10–20% increase in surgical interventions short-term increased MTF deployments
🚨 Major Outbreak $10.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant spike or coordinated mass-mailing event requiring emergency national/international response and large one-time expenditures.
mass-mailing/outbreak affecting many recipients international diplomatic/legal incidents large-scale emergency medical interventions and transplants
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#2] Dedicated MTF Alpha-4 contingent (estimated 8–12 operatives; modeled as 10 FTE covered in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude and based on analyst ranges; many medical and contingency costs are variable depending on incidence and severity, so confidence is medium.
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