SCP-2760 — SCP-2760 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2760 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-2760

Expected annual

$1.5M

One-time setup

$1.5M

Annual recurring

$1.5M

Personnel

One-time startup capital of approximately $1.54M for cell retrofits, equipment and contingency; recurring annual costs about $1.45M driven mainly by staffed salaries, high-altitude testing, security, and ongoing research/maintenance.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5M

Equipment $470K

[#2, #3, #4, #5, #12, #19] Variable-flow HVAC initial purchase, hardened surveillance & sensor suite, UPS + generator (installation), specialized transport crate and vehicle refit, initial servers/storage, long-range monitoring equipment/permits.

Facilities $400K

[#1] Containment-cell retrofit (air-tight airlocks, wind-dampening baffles, reinforced penetrations, sealed HVAC interfaces).

Contingency Reserve $200K

[#20] Insurance/obsolescence reserve and contingency fund for unexpected events (one-time reserve allocation).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K

[#6] Research equipment for material & aerodynamic analysis (initial purchases or outsourced instrumentation deposits).

Legal Falsification Reserve $125K

[#17] One-time contingency reserve for document fabrication/large-scale falsification or covert payments (reserve portion).

Decommissioning Cost $125K

[#24] One-time decommissioning/removal cost for safe removal, disposal, transport and paperwork if final disposition is chosen.

Emergency Response Kit $40K

[#16] Non-destructive capture nets, tethering gear, remote actuators; kit + initial specialized training one-time portion.

Environmental Mods $25K

[#18] Sensors and fire-suppression modifications (VOC sensors, UV exposure monitors, suppression system changes).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr

Staff Wages $840K/yr

[#8, #9, #10, #11] Salaries/benefits for research team (senior+junior), technicians/animal-handler (1.5 FTE averaged), security (6 guards, 24/7 coverage), and one systems/maintenance engineer.

High Altitude Testing $225K/yr

[#7] Repeated balloon/plane deployments, GPS/telemetry packages and recovery; estimated 10–25 tests/yr at midpoint.

Research And Monitoring $175K/yr

[#6, #23] Recurring outsourced testing and instrumentation time plus experimental program budget for structured experiments and related suppression costs.

Long Range Monitoring Contracts $55K/yr

[#19] Contracts for radar/remote monitoring and transponder/radar services to track instances if they leave site.

Cover Story And Legal $40K/yr

[#15, #17] Routine liaison/cover (aviation filings, FAA liaison, minimal PR/legal contingencies) plus routine small legal/falsification budget.

Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr

[#13] Camera replacements, filters, spare fan motors, HVAC filters, PPE and routine consumables.

Variable Flow Hvac Maintenance $18K/yr

[#2] HVAC/fan maintenance (~$5k/yr) and electrical consumption (~$10–15k/yr; midpoint used).

Surveillance Maintenance $15K/yr

[#3] Spare parts, repairs and maintenance for hardened surveillance & sensor suite.

Outreach And Coordination $15K/yr

[#22] Interdepartmental coordination time—operations, medical, biosafety reviews and reporting overhead.

Data Storage Ops $10K/yr

[#12] Ongoing cloud/storage maintenance, indexing and forensic logging costs.

Disposal And Decontamination $10K/yr

[#21] Disposal of UV-coated nylon, experiment cleanup and hazardous-material handling.

Emergency Training Refresh $8K/yr

[#16] Annual refresh training and drills for emergency-response team.

Power Fuel Maintenance $6K/yr

[#4] Annual fuel and maintenance for UPS/generator systems.

Environmental Maintenance $4K/yr

[#18] Sensors calibration and maintenance for environmental/UV/VOC monitoring.

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

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Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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Contingency Replenish $0/yr

[#20] Contingency/obsolescence reserve replenishment (kept as available reserve; no fixed annual replenishment assumed).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr

91.0% probability / year

Normal uneventful year with routine testing and operations; no major incidents or public exposures.

routine_operations scheduled_testing no_major_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline

Localized containment or equipment incident requiring repairs, limited public-denial actions, extra recovery/testing.

camera_manipulation small_escape_to_public_view localized_equipment_damage

🚨 Major Breach $2.5M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Significant breach or public airspace incident requiring large-scale recovery, MTF deployment, extended cover operations and accelerated research.

multiple_instances_escape public_airspace_incident large_scale_recovery_operations

👥 Personnel 11 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	2	[#8] Senior + junior researchers responsible for experiment design, analysis and paperwork (combined ~$270k/yr).
Technician / Animal Handler	2	[#9] 1.5 FTE averaged; represented here as 2 headcount to cover duties and shifts (~$110k/yr total).
Security Officer / MTF Agent	6	[#10] Six guards for 24/7 coverage (three shifts), L2/L3 as required (~$350k/yr).
Engineer / Maintenance	1	[#11] Full-time systems/maintenance engineer to maintain HVAC, sensors and power (~$110k/yr).

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes are detailed and allow reasonable mid-point estimates for most line items; uncertainty remains around frequency/intensity of high-altitude testing, probability of discovery/escape, and the necessary size of contingency/legal reserves.

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