SCP-2783 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2783
Expected annual
$9.6M
One-time setup
$4.1M
Annual recurring
$9.6M
Personnel
21
Initial capital and setup costs are moderate (~$4.07M) driven by secure retrofit, research/lab buildout, and initial legal/PR reserves; recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages, overseas quarantine/logistics, research/mapping, and legal/cover operations (~$7.99M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.1M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.3M
[#9, #11, #14, #22] Mapping/imaging servers and software, GPR and artifact conservation lab startup, secure storage/climate-controlled vault setup, AI/OCR development for inscription translation.
Facilities $1.1M
[#1] Secure retrofit of Laboratory 37 (construction, airlock, redundant locks, Faraday shielding, sensor arrays, antechamber).
Equipment $825K
[#7, #16, #24] Man-portable exploration drones (initial fleet), emergency response van/containment kit and tactical gear, initial sensor suite for monitoring.
Litigation Pr Initial Reserve $500K
[#23] Initial contingency/reserve for litigation, crisis PR, and initial hush/compensation arrangements.
Training Development $225K
[#6] Development of extradimensional exploration training curriculum, simulation rooms, and certification exams.
Security Vetting And Access Control $100K
[#2] High-assurance access control initial setup (clearance workflows, biometric gates, audit logging, records storage).
Manpowered Vehicles $20K
[#8] Low-tech man-powered vehicles and surveying gear initial purchase (bicycles, handheld GNSS, compasses, survey kits).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.6M/yr
Staff Wages $2.4M/yr
[#3, #4, #2, #10, #18] On-site security staff (6 guards + 1 supervisor), Level-5 research team (estimated 5 FTE), one sysadmin and HR support, medic/psychological coverage, mapping analysts (6 FTE annualized).
Logistics And Transport $1.8M/yr
[#12, #17] Joint ORIA/quarantine overseas operations and secure artifact transport/armored courier/air transport logistics.
Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr
[#13, #23] Diplomatic/legal/cover-up expenses plus annual litigation/PR reserve.
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#9, #11, #18, #19, #22] Mapping/storage operations and backups, per-sample analytical lab costs, mapping processing and analyst support, funded research program, AI model compute/updates.
Personnel Overhead $730K/yr
[#21] Indirect overhead on salaried staff (benefits, pensions, facility utilities, insurance-equivalents) estimated at ~30% of direct payroll.
Research Program $650K/yr
[#19] Ongoing interdisciplinary research funding (archaeology, anthropology, memetics) and internal controlled projects.
Litigation Pr Annual Reserve $500K/yr
[#23] Annual maintained contingency for major exposures, legal defense, and covert remediation.
Artifact Transport $300K/yr
[#17] Annual budget for secure shipments, customs/staging, armored couriers and associated diplomatic logistics.
Artifact Storage Ops $138K/yr
[#14] Climate control, conservation staff time, consumables, and supplies for artifact storage and preservation.
Ethics And Audits $130K/yr
[#25] Periodic red-team reviews, ethics oversight, amnestic compliance audits, and contractor expert fees.
Supplies And Consumables $125K/yr
[#20] Consumables per expedition (food, batteries, spare PPE, spare parts).
Emergency Readiness $100K/yr
[#16] Readiness, resupply, and maintenance for rapid-response kits, portable amnestic supplies, and memetic filters.
Mapping Processing Ops $100K/yr
[#18] Compute, automated processing, and pipeline costs to process drone/GPR data and cemetery mapping.
Misc Contingency $100K/yr
[#26] Small equipment, unexpected minor repairs, travel, and incidentals.
Info Sec Ops $80K/yr
[#15] Air-gapped backups, audited transfers, secure courier services, and classified archive maintenance.
Ai Ops $55K/yr
[#22] Ongoing compute, model updates, and licensing for data-analysis AI/computer vision.
Medical And Psych Operational $50K/yr
[#10] Per-mission standby costs, medical supplies, and follow-up care for field medical/psychological support.
Security Vetting Ops $40K/yr
[#2] Ongoing operations and audits for high-assurance access control (annual vetting, biometrics maintenance, audit logging ops).
Drone Maintenance $30K/yr
[#7] Annual maintenance, spare parts, and consumables for exploration drones.
Manpowered Replacements $5K/yr
[#8] Yearly replacements and small repairs for man-powered vehicles and surveying gear.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.6M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, mapping, research, and restricted Level-5 access; no major incidents or escalations.
routine_explorations steady_mapping_and_analysis continued overseas liaison
🚨 Minor Incident $8.5M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$-1105000 vs baseline
Limited containment incident or localized exposure requiring additional amnestic treatments, emergency response deployment, and extra legal/PR action.
small_breach_or_exposure whistleblower_event localized field casualty
🚨 Major Quarantine Escalation $13.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.4M vs baseline
Overseas quarantine escalates to a militarized operation or large-scale artifact recovery campaign, greatly increasing security, logistics, and personnel costs.
militarized_quarantine large_scale_recovery_operations regional_political_escalation
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 6 guards + 1 supervisor, 24/7 perimeter and quick-reaction coverage. [#3]
Research Scientist 5 Level-5 research team for scheduled explorations and analysis (4-6 FTE assumed 5). [#4]
Data Analysts / GIS Analysts 6 Mapping and image-review analysts for graveyard curation and indexing. [#18]
Sysadmin 1 Full-time sysadmin for audit logging, databases, and infrastructure maintenance. [#2]
Administrative Staff (HR) 1 Part-time HR support for vetting and personnel records (rounded to 1 FTE for headcount). [#2]
Medical Officer / Psychologist 1 0.5-1 FTE medic + psychologist coverage for pre/post-mission checks and amnestic program (rounded to 1). [#10, #5]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide extensive line-item ranges, staffing requirements, and operational context allowing a reasoned estimate; however many items are range-based (e.g., overseas quarantine scale, per-sample lab volume, and exact research staffing), so totals carry moderate uncertainty.
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