SCP-2782 — SCP-2782 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2782 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-2782

Expected annual

$1.6M

One-time setup

$1.8M

Annual recurring

$1.5M

Personnel

Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $1.81M driven by site acquisition, structural work and equipment (ROV, generators, lab). Annual recurring costs are approximately $1.54M driven primarily by security payroll, research staff, emergency readiness, and transport/logistics.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M

Facilities $780K

[#4, #8, #18, #19, #23] One-time perimeter/fencing, helipad/site modifications, site acquisition/takeover, and geotechnical/structural repairs and surveys.

Equipment $457K

[#2, #5, #6, #7, #9, #13, #14, #15, #16, #17, #18, #22] Initial weapons/vests/radios, CCTV and sensors, pumps/plumbing, generator/UPS, ROV/diving gear, forensic imaging, conservation cases, PPE, tactical heavy gear, restraint equipment, small craft, and server/setup.

Contingency Reserve $300K

[#25] Recommended contingency/reserve fund for anomalous escalation, breach response or major remediation.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $120K

[#11, #12] Mobile/on-site necropsy lab setup, bench imaging and initial genomic/forensic sample testing budgeted as one-time setup.

Cover Story Initial $100K

[#20] One-time establishment of cover story, initial PR/legal setup and plausibility measures.

Community Compensation One Time $40K

[#26] One-time compensation for local stakeholders/landowners as needed.

Permits And Liaison One Time $12K

[#21] Initial permitting, liaison and setup with local authorities.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr

Staff Wages $720K/yr

[#1, #3] Security guard payroll (9 FTE equivalent) plus site manager and administrative coordinator salaries.

Research And Monitoring $312K/yr

[#5, #10] Research team salaries and monitoring system operations (camera/audio storage & analytics).

Emergency Readiness Recurring $120K/yr

[#16] Rapid response team retainers, drills, tactical readiness and animal control capabilities.

Logistics And Transport $80K/yr

[#18] Regular ferry/helipad charters, staff/equipment transfers and emergency medevac readiness.

Facilities Maintenance $75K/yr

[#4, #8, #19, #23] Perimeter/fence maintenance, routine structural inspections, property utilities and geotechnical follow-ups.

Cover Story And Legal $45K/yr

[#20, #21] Ongoing legal counsel, PR, insurance and permit renewals to maintain cover story and compliance.

Misc Operations $40K/yr

[#28] Food, lodging, sanitation, and basic amenities for remote/on-site staff rotations.

Supplies And Consumables $36K/yr

[#11, #13, #14, #15, #17, #24] Lab consumables, secure evidence storage, conservation supplies, PPE consumables, sedation drugs and waste disposal.

Guard Equipment Recurring $30K/yr

[#2] Ammo, recertifications, replacement duty gear and annual training for guards.

Dive Ops Recurring $25K/yr

[#9] Recurring dive operations, certifications and emergency underwater inspection retainers.

Backup Power Recurring $20K/yr

[#7] Fuel, routine generator testing and UPS maintenance.

Audits And Compliance $12K/yr

[#27] Annual internal audits, safety reviews and red-team containment tests.

Pumps And Environmental Controls $10K/yr

[#6] Power and maintenance for sump pumps, dehumidifiers and sealed access ports.

Data Management Recurring $10K/yr

[#22] Cloud backups, storage licensing and secure off-site data archiving for continuous audio/video and research data.

Community Compensation Recurring $6K/yr

[#26] Ongoing small stipends or community engagement payments to local stakeholders.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr

91.0% probability / year

Normal year with standard operations, no major incidents.

routine_operations scheduled_maintenance regular_research_activity

🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline

Localized containment incident or equipment failure requiring emergency response, repairs and short-term research surge.

localized_breach emergency_dive_deployment equipment_repair

🚨 Major Breach $3.5M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline

Significant anomalous escalation or containment failure requiring large-scale remediation, relocation, expanded research and legal response.

catastrophic_breach anomalous_escalation mass_research_and_relocation

👥 Personnel 15 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	9	[#1] 24/7 armed coverage requiring ~9 FTEs to cover shifts, leave and turnover (analyst estimate).
Research Scientist	3	[#10] Two to three full-time researchers plus part-time specialists covered in research budget.
Site Director / Executive Staff	1	[#3] One site manager to liaise with HQ and oversee operations.
Administrative Staff	1	[#3] One admin/logistics coordinator for scheduling, procurement and reporting.
Engineer / Maintenance	1	[#6, #8] On-site engineer/maintenance technician for pumps, environmental controls and routine structural checks.

📋 Confidence Notes

Detailed line-item estimates were provided for most categories, but substantial uncertainty remains around site acquisition scale, contingency sizing, and the probability/magnitude of anomalous escalation; hence moderate confidence.

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