SCP-2806 — SCP-2806 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2806 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-2806

Expected annual

$1.7M

One-time setup

$2.2M

Annual recurring

$1.6M

Personnel

Up-front one-time setup costs are approximately $2.17M (testing chamber, secure storage retrofit, instruments, and a contingency reserve); recurring baseline annual costs are approximately $1.55M driven primarily by security staffing, legal/cover-up reserves, and recurring medical/research programs.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M

Contingency Reserve $1.2M

[#21] Contingency and emergency response fund (one-time reserve) from #21.

Facilities $420K

[#1, #2, #13] Secure storage retrofit (#1) and controlled-environment installation (#2) and testing-chamber build-out (#13) one-time installation costs.

Equipment $250K

[#3, #10, #12, #15] Surveillance and intrusion install (#3), biohazard sterilization equipment (#10), specialized surgical/microscopy instruments (#12), and IT/inventory setup (#15) one-time purchases.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $188K

[#11] Initial pathology/histology/chemical analysis investigative campaign (one-time) mapped to #11.

Training Program Initial $60K

[#20] Initial staff training & certification program setup (one-time) from #20.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6M/yr

Staff Wages $375K/yr

[#4] Security staffing for storage wing (6 guards, 24/7) salaries/benefits/training; note maps to #4.

Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr

[#16] Annual legal/cover-up pool and PR/witness management allocation (#16).

Surgical Removal Costs $162K/yr

[#6] Surgical removal (neurosurgery/OR/anesthesia/ICU) per-patient; baseline assumes one surgery/year; maps to #6.

Amnestic Program $153K/yr

[#9] Amnestic production/stockpile/program overhead (~$150k/yr) plus per-administration cost assumed for baseline incidents; maps to #9.

Research And Monitoring $151K/yr

[#11, #12, #13] Ongoing pathology/chemical analysis (#11), instrument servicing (#12), and per-test consumables (testing chamber #13).

Medical Rehabilitation $112K/yr

[#7] Short- and long-term medical care & rehabilitation first-year cost per severe case; baseline assumes one severe case/year; maps to #7.

Psychological Program $60K/yr

[#17] Psychological support and counseling program annual caseload cost; maps to #17.

Logistics And Transport $42K/yr

[#18] Secure transport logistics annual allocation and climate-controlled inter-site transfers (#18).

Ethics Committee Operations $40K/yr

[#14] Ethics Committee and administrative overhead for approvals and specialist consultants (annual); maps to #14.

Supplies And Consumables $35K/yr

[#10, #19] Biohazard consumables/training (#10) and annual waste-disposal/incineration program (#19).

Legal Coverup Per Incident $28K/yr

[#16] Typical per-incident legal/cover-up costs (record alteration, settlements, travel); baseline assumes one incident/year; maps to #16.

Inventory It Maintenance $25K/yr

[#15] Inventory management IT maintenance and staff-share annual cost (ongoing); maps to #15.

Staff Training Refresher $25K/yr

[#20] Annual refresher training & recertification for medical teams/MTF/handlers; maps to #20.

Mtf Retrieval Operations $16K/yr

[#5] MTF retrieval operations per-incident cost (baseline assumes ~1 retrieval/year); maps to #5.

Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr

[#2, #3] Controlled-environment operation/energy (#2) and surveillance system maintenance (#3).

Replacement Prosthetics $6K/yr

[#8] Non-anomalous replacement prosthetic provided per-case; baseline assumes one replacement/year; maps to #8.

Psychological Per Subject $6K/yr

[#17] Initial per-subject psychological support cost; baseline assumes one subject/year; maps to #17.

Biohazard Per Sanitization $1K/yr

[#10] Per-sanitization labor/consumables baseline for integrated-instance cleaning; maps to #10.

Waste Disposal Per Event $1K/yr

[#19] Per-disposal event hazardous waste incineration/disposal cost; baseline assumes one event/year; maps to #19.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6M/yr

81.0% probability / year

Uneventful year with only routine operations, maintenance, research, staffing, and a single low-frequency incident absorbed within baseline incident assumptions.

routine_operations single_low-frequency_incident_absorbed

🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$335K vs baseline

One civilian case discovered/handled requiring MTF retrieval, surgical removal, amnestics, replacement prosthetic, rehab, and modest legal cover-up.

single_civilian_integration standard_retrieval_and_surgery legal_coverup_and_amnestics

🚨 Major Incident $3.4M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$1.9M vs baseline

Cluster of multiple discoveries (several civilians/hosts) requiring multiple MTF deployments, multiple surgeries/rehab, elevated legal/PR response and urban operations.

cluster_recoveries urban_resistance multiple_surgeries_and_rehab

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $5.1M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline

Large-scale exposure requiring mass retrievals, emergency public cover-up/settlements, mass medical care, and activation of contingency/emergency funds.

mass_exposure multiple_hosts_integrated public_media_exposure

👥 Personnel 6 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	6	[#4] 24/7 storage-wing guards and monitoring (2 guards/shift, 3 shifts) as specified in #4; staff_wages line item reflects their salaries/benefits.

📋 Confidence Notes

Midpoint estimates were used for ranges; baseline incident frequency assumed (roughly one handled incident/year). Major uncertainties are incident rate, severity of integrations (medical/neurological outcomes), and potential existence of fully operational variants which could greatly increase retrieval frequency and scale-up costs.

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