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SCP-2807 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2807
Expected annual
$11.5M
One-time setup
$37.8M
Annual recurring
$11.1M
Personnel
33
Initial capital to convert and secure Site-04 is substantial (~$37.8M one-time) driven by facility refurbishment, covert land control and specialized equipment; recurring annual operations are dominated by medical/security staffing, D-class management, research, and surge consumables (~$11.1M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $37.8M
Facilities $13.7M
[#2, #3, #7, #11, #12, #13, #19] Purchase/transfer of core facility, perimeter fencing and checkpoints, conversion/refurbishment (operating theaters, wards, structural remediation), control-center build-out (structural/hardening), power infrastructure capital, climate-controlled archive vaults, and on-site incinerator capital.
Equipment $8.4M
[#8, #14, #15, #16, #20] Medical and imaging equipment (OR, ventilators, CT/MRI), containment modules for recovered artifacts, surveillance hardware (cameras, sensors, drones), armored transport/ambulance/medevac fleet capital, and biometric/entry hardware.
Land Control And Access Rights $5.0M
[#1] One-time legal fees, long-term leases/compensation and initial payments to secure a ~3 km cordon via archaeological-preserve cover.
Decommissioning Reserve $3.0M
[#26] One-time reserve for secure decommissioning, relocation of D-class, hazardous decontamination and legal closure costs.
Emergency Response Fund $2.0M
[#21] One-time emergency cache, rapid-reaction equipment procurement, and contingency resources for large containment incidents.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M
[#10] Clinical research program and laboratory build-out, including lab instruments, sample storage, and initial consumables for pathology/sequencing studies.
Cover Story And Legal Setup $1.2M
[#17] One-time costs to establish legal/PR cover (archaeological dig cover story), retain counsel, and initial payments to local officials/experts.
Contingency Environmental $1.2M
[#22] Environmental remediation / archaeological-compliance contingency reserve.
Insurance And Legal Reserve $1.2M
[#23] One-time risk reserve for lawsuits, covert payouts, and legal defense capital.
Training Program Setup $200K
[#24] Initial setup for D-class medical training and certification program.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.1M/yr
Staff Wages $3.0M/yr
[#4, #6] 24/7 security teams (15–20 guards with supervisors) and on-site licensed medical personnel (physicians, nurses, techs) salaries, benefits and training O&M.
D Class Procurement And Management $1.5M/yr
[#5] Procurement, housing, transport, feeding, coercive controls, replacement rate and administrative overhead for a permanent D-class population (e.g., ~50 on rotation).
Surge Consumables Fund $1.2M/yr
[#25] Scalable annual surge budget for increased surgical throughput, blood products, implants and rehab during experiments or incidents.
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#1, #17, #18, #23] Recurring permit renewals, liaison payments, PR/archaeological stipends, community compensation, and periodic replenishment of legal/defense reserve.
Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#10] Ongoing clinical research staff salaries, pathology/sequencing consumables, sample storage, and study costs.
Supplies And Consumables $550K/yr
[#9] Pharmaceuticals, surgical consumables, blood products, PPE and other high-turnover medical consumables (baseline).
Facilities Maintenance $535K/yr
[#3, #12, #13] Perimeter/gate/fencing maintenance, fuel/maintenance for power infrastructure, and ongoing archive/vault climate-control upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#16] Operations, fuel and maintenance for armored transport, ambulances and medevac contracts (land & air).
Emergency Response Readiness $450K/yr
[#21] Readiness drills, training, rapid-response team upkeep and replenishment of emergency caches.
Medical Equipment Maintenance $350K/yr
[#8] Annual maintenance, calibration and service contracts for imaging and critical medical devices.
Surveillance Operations $200K/yr
[#15] Operations and maintenance for cameras, sensors, drone patrol fleet and analytics.
Monitoring And Enforcement Operations $175K/yr
[#20] Administrative/operational costs for biometric systems, access enforcement, reclassification procedures and associated HR overhead.
Training And Certification $175K/yr
[#24] Recurring refresher training, certification audits and program administration for D-class medical training.
Communications And Networking $125K/yr
[#11] Bandwidth, encrypted satcom/fiber leases and comms maintenance for redundant command/control links.
Biohazard Disposal $100K/yr
[#19] Annual contracted hazardous/medical waste disposal, transport and compliance paperwork.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.1M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine operations, scheduled maintenance and no major incidents.
Routine operations Planned research activities
🚨 Minor Incident $12.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized event (medical surge, small containment event or transport accident) requiring extra supplies, overtime and limited emergency response.
Surgical throughput surge Small containment/medical incident
🚨 Major Breach $14.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or large-scale medical emergency requiring major emergency response, equipment replacement, legal action and repairs.
Large-scale breach Mass casualty event
🚨 Political Exposure $16.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Local/UNESCO/political intervention or forced disclosure requiring major mitigation payments, legal defense and accelerated remediation.
Heritage-site conflict Media or government exposure
👥 Personnel 33 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#4] 24/7 armed guard teams covering three shifts; count includes front-line guards.
Medical Officer 12 [#6] On-site physicians, surgeons, senior nurses and medical technicians required to staff continuous medical operations and supervise D-class care.
Command / Supervisory 3 [#4, #6] Site command, shift supervisors and senior medical/operations leadership included in overall staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Individual line items are drawn directly from analyst estimates and SCP text, but many entries are ranges and contingent (e.g., number of D-class, severity of incidents, number of specialized containment modules). Reasonable midpoint assumptions were used; uncertainty remains in surge frequency and political risk.
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