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SCP-2811 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2811
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$3.7M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
8
One-time setup costs are substantial (~$3.74M) driven primarily by a large incident-response contingency reserve and initial R&D/equipment; recurring annual costs are ~ $1.14M driven by personnel wages, legal/cover budgets, and ongoing research/IT/monitoring expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.7M
Incident Response Contingency Reserve $3.0M
[#20] Reserved contingency fund for major containment failure / large-scale incident response (conservative reserve within $1–5M range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $325K
[#11, #13, #18, #19, #21] Initial conservation assessment/treatment, SOP/training development, optional automation R&D prototype costs, cultured-tissue program development (if pursued), and setup of secure redaction/transcription workflow.
Coverup Initial Response Reserve $200K
[#17] Recommended one-time immediate response fund for information mitigation / PR/legal rapid response.
Equipment $164K
[#5, #7, #9] Purchase of high-resolution optical imaging system and related equipment, archival book cradles/handling jigs, and initial secure server/storage hardware.
Facilities $52K
[#3, #4, #14] Locker/staging alcove build-out, climate-control install for preservation, and install of access-logging/tamperproof sensors and quick-access transfer hardware.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $577K/yr
[#1, #2, #10] Ongoing salaries/benefits for containment technicians (4 FTE), incremental security staffing (2 FTE / overtime), and dedicated research staff (1–2 FTE).
Cover Story And Legal $190K/yr
[#15, #17] Legal/compliance retainer and a retained cover-up/public-relations/misinformation mitigation budget (annual reserve for moderate incidents).
Research And Monitoring $146K/yr
[#8, #11, #21, #23, #24] Imaging service contracts and outsourced microscopy, ongoing conservation reserve, secure redaction labor, archival transcription outsourcing baseline, and monitoring of named persons/locations.
Contingency Overhead $105K/yr
[#26] Administrative overhead and contingency reserve (10–20% of operational budget) for procurement, replacements, and unforeseen costs.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#16] Field verification, incident investigations, travel, local fixers and translation for follow-up of named locations/people.
Personnel Vetting And Hazard Pay $23K/yr
[#12] Ongoing psychological services, hazard pay / shift differential, and vetting budgets (per-new-hire vetting and recurrent screenings).
Automation Maintenance $18K/yr
[#18] Maintenance and support for any deployed robotic handling/automation prototypes (optional ongoing cost if automation pursued).
Animal Care Or Cultured Maintenance $10K/yr
[#19] Ongoing small-animal housing/care or cultured-tissue maintenance if biological-contact mitigation is used.
Insurance And Liability $10K/yr
[#22] Incremental liability, medical and disclosure insurance premiums related to anomalous handling operations.
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#5, #6, #25] Consumable archival inserts/replacement boxes, PPE (gloves/cleaning supplies), and small-item incidental energy/shipping costs.
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#4, #14] Incremental energy/maintenance for climate controls and archival log retention/monitoring storage costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
94.8% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with scheduled handling, routine imaging/maintenance, and no major incidents.
regular_handling_schedule routine_imaging_and_conservation no public leaks
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized lapse or small leak requiring emergency field verification, additional legal/PR response, extra conservation and outsourcing.
missed_touch_interval limited public disclosure localized text proliferation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.1M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure or wide public dissemination of generated text requiring multi-million-dollar emergency response, legal action, and prolonged mitigation.
prolonged_unattended_period large-scale_public_leak extensive sensitive PII generation
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Technician 4 [#1] Four FTEs to cover continuous 20-minute handling rotations, redundancy, training and leave.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#2] Two incremental guard FTEs (or equivalent overtime) for escorts and incident response during handling operations.
Research Scientist 2 [#10] One-to-two FTEs (modeled as 2) for linguistic/transcription analysis, redaction decisions and computational work.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and reasonable ranges, but many items have wide ranges (personnel needs, incident severity, optional automation/biological mitigations) so overall estimates retain moderate uncertainty.
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