SCP-2812
Unknown
~
medium confidence
SCP-2812
Expected annual
$9.2M
One-time setup
$57.8M
Annual recurring
$5.3M
Personnel
16
Estimated one-time setup and contingencies are dominated by town-level cover and demobilization contingencies (~$57.8M one-time), while recurring annual costs are driven by personnel and an insurance/reserve line ($5.347M/year). Major-cost drivers are resident compensation/cover, emergency demobilization, and ongoing staffing/insurance.
One-Time Capital Costs
Total: $57.8M
Annual Recurring Costs
Total: $5.3M/yr
Cost Scenarios
📊
Baseline
(baseline)
$5.3M/yr
Normal year with routine operations, required rotations, research, maintenance, and annual reserves; no major incidents or large one-time expenditures.
no breaches
routine rotations
scheduled research and maintenance
🚨
Minor Incident
$5.8M/yr
Localized medical event or capture attempt requiring supplemental emergency response, additional contracting for imaging/forensics, and elevated legal/liaison activity.
single severe casualty
capture operation with medical evacuations
small-scale breach into public view
🚨
Major Breach
$132.8M/yr
Significant containment failure or public exposure necessitating full remediation/demobilization and comprehensive town buyouts or extended cover operations.
widespread exposure or mass casualties
decision to demolish/neutralize site
comprehensive town buyouts / extensive legal settlements
Personnel
16 total
| Role | Count | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Security Officer / MTF Agent | 8 | [#1] Eight agents assigned to maintain no fewer than three on-site at any time while covering rotations, training, and leave. |
| Research Scientist | 4 | [#1] Four researchers to support on-site study, monitoring, and analysis with rotations. |
| Support Staff (med tech / admin / logistics) | 4 | [#1] Four support personnel covering medical tech, administration, and logistics to sustain rotations and operations. |
Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates and recommended midpoints for many items, raising confidence above low; however large uncertainties remain around perimeter extent, frequency of capture events, insurance/demolition needs, and political/legal exposure, so medium confidence is appropriate.