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SCP-2815 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2815
Expected annual
$5.0M
One-time setup
$14.8M
Annual recurring
$4.9M
Personnel
34
Initial one-time setup is dominated by large contingency/decommission reserves and research/lab buildout (~$14.8M one-time); ongoing annual operations are driven by personnel, research staffing, and community payments (~$4.87M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.8M
Decommission Relocation $10.0M
[#30] Ballpark forced relocation / full decommissioning / large-scale remediation contingency (one-time, contingency-level).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#11, #12, #13] BSL-3/4 containment validation and capacity charges; initial analytical research package (genomics/metabolomics/etc.); anthropological fieldwork setup.
Equipment $822K
[#5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #15, #18, #22] Surveillance systems, drones & ground station, secure comms hardware, generators/UPS, -80°C freezers & LN2 system, refrigerated van, incinerator/autoclave, armored vehicle (purchase) and forensic kit.
Facilities $600K
[#4, #14] Safehouse purchase/retrofit and veterinary stable retrofit (structural/retrofit work).
Community Investment $500K
[#20] One-time infrastructure/community investment to build local goodwill and cover story.
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#24] Contingency fund/reserve for unexpected anomalous events or liabilities (initial reserve).
Front Organization Setup $100K
[#19] One-time legal fees, front creation and company/NGO formation costs.
Sop And Training Setup $75K
[#23] SOP development, containment upgrades and initial training for handling psychotropic/anomalous materials.
Archival Initial Mirroring $75K
[#26] Initial off-site mirrored backups and archival vault setup.
Training Setup $50K
[#3] Initial Hungarian language & Roma cultural training and consultant setup.
Ppe Initial Stock $50K
[#16] Initial stock of Level-3/4 PPE and decontamination supplies.
Undercover Cover Setup $30K
[#2] One-time creation of deep-cover identity, housing setup and related upfront costs for long-term embed.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.9M/yr
Staff Wages $3.5M/yr
[#1, #2, #12, #13, #14, #17, #21, #22, #25, #28] MTF operatives (12), long-term undercover salary, follow-up study staffing, anthropological salaries, veterinary staffing, medical staffing & psych services, replacement/attrition/recruitment pipeline, forensics staffing, field nurses/data analysts, and 6 senior long-term containment researchers.
Cover Story And Legal $640K/yr
[#19, #20, #26, #27] Ongoing front administration & local payments, informant stipends/community payments, archival/legal retainer, and PR/media suppression budget.
Research And Monitoring $320K/yr
[#3, #11, #12, #22, #23, #25] Ongoing lab costs (BSL-3/4 occupancy & processing), ongoing analytical follow-ups and consumables, cultural consultant refreshers, forensic analysis work, SOP-related consumables, and epidemiological monitoring contributions.
Logistics And Transport $292K/yr
[#6, #10, #18, #29] Drone operations/maintenance, refrigerated transport fuel & driver costs, helicopter standby retainer (extraction/rapid-response), and miscellaneous vehicle/fuel costs.
Facilities Maintenance $88K/yr
[#4, #7, #8, #15] Safehouse/retrofit maintenance & lease equivalents, comms/data line fees & hardware maintenance, generator/UPS fuel & maintenance, incinerator/autoclave operating costs.
Supplies And Consumables $72K/yr
[#5, #9, #16] Surveillance replacement/repair and consumables, LN2/energy/maintenance for cold-chain, PPE replenishment and consumables.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.9M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with regular monitoring, research, and community payouts; no major containment incidents.
steady operations routine research no breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $5.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or small breach requiring emergency response, additional analyses, repairs and temporary overtime.
localized breach equipment damage short-term extraction
🚨 Major Breach $6.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment compromise or political exposure requiring large-scale extraction, emergency research, legal action and replacement hires.
diplomatic incident large extraction extended emergency research
🚨 Forced Relocation $16.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$12.0M vs baseline
Full decommission / forced relocation or large-scale remediation of the village and its population, including diplomatic settlements and resettlement costs.
political exposure international intervention decision to relocate community
👥 Personnel 34 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#1] Rotational 24/7 monitoring teams.
Undercover Operative 1 [#2] Long-term deep-cover embed (Agent Balogh-style).
Research Scientist 6 [#28] Senior containment and scientific research staff.
Anthropologist / Field Researcher 2 [#13] Longitudinal ethnography and linguistic fieldwork.
Veterinary Officer / Animal Handler 2 [#14] Veterinary containment staff for SCP-2815-3 (horses) and handlers.
Medical Officer 1 [#17] On-call physician/medic and medevac coordination.
Psychological Staff 1 [#17] Counseling and occupational health for operatives and embeds.
Forensic Specialist 1 [#22] Forensic documentation and evidentiary analysis.
Lab Technician 3 [#11, #12] BSL lab technicians supporting sample processing and analyses.
Administrative Staff 2 [#19, #26] Front organization administration and cover maintenance.
Logistics Driver / Field Technician 2 [#10, #29] Drivers for refrigerated transport, field vehicle operators and maintenance technicians.
Data Analyst / Epidemiologist 1 [#25] Longitudinal health monitoring, data analysis and registries.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mapped directly from analyst line items; many line items were ranges or contingent on political decisions (e.g., forced relocation), producing moderate uncertainty. Operational staff and recurring payments are well-specified, but incident probabilities and one-time contingency sizing carry uncertainty.
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