SCP-2816 — SCP-2816 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2816 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-2816

Expected annual

$293K

One-time setup

$350K

Annual recurring

$289K

Personnel

Estimated one-time capital of approximately $350,100 for secure storage, cameras, transport cases, initial research setup and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs about $289,400 driven mainly by security staffing, ongoing research, monitoring/IT, and facility overhead.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $350K

Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K

[#11] Startup funding for a small controlled-research program (2–3 researchers), lab time, specialized instruments and supplies to characterize observation criteria and anomalous behavior.

Emergency Reserve $100K

[#14] Incident response contingency fund and rapid-deploy equipment reserve (extra cameras, crates, rapid-deploy observation kits) for unexpected proliferation events.

Transport Equipment $20K

[#7] Secure transport kits and lockable cases, shock/UV protective packaging and associated purchase of secure equipment for chain-of-custody transfers.

Equipment $10K

[#2, #4, #9] Two redundant high-reliability CCTV cameras + tamper sensors per position, UPS and short-term backup hardware, and radiological survey instruments (Geiger counters, wipe-test kits); combined hardware purchase and installation.

Art Handling And Storage Setup $8K

[#8] Archival frames, acid-free backing, UV-filtered glazing and a climate-controlled storage cabinet / small cabinet installation for paintings.

Sop Development $6K

[#17] One-time development of written procedures, SOP documentation, and initial scenario drills and training materials.

Facilities $5K

[#1] Heavy-duty locker/small vault installation, biometric/card locks, tamper seals and access control hardware and installation inside Site 28.

Ppe Initial Kit $600

[#10] Initial PPE kit (gloves, cotton museum gloves, masks, coveralls) for handling and transport.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $289K/yr

Staff Wages $110K/yr

[#5] Dedicated security staffing (1–2 FTEs rotating shifts) for access control and escorted transport; loaded salary estimate.

Research And Monitoring $80K/yr

[#11] Ongoing research program costs (personnel, experiments, consumables) to study observation requirements, proliferation risk and psychological effects.

Logistics And Transport $25K/yr

[#7] Recurring vehicle leasing/operation, driver/escort costs and training to maintain secure transit capability.

Camera Tech Monitoring $18K/yr

[#6] Periodic integrity checks, technician time for camera/recorder maintenance, firmware/patching, and audits to verify continuous observation.

Cover Story And Legal $12K/yr

[#12] Legal retainer, records systems and PR/cover-story resources for potential artifact loan interactions or leak response.

It Security $12K/yr

[#16] Encryption, access controls, software licenses and small cybersecurity budget to protect video, logs and prevent tampering or leaks.

Facilities Maintenance $11K/yr

[#4, #8, #20] UPS and generator maintenance/fuel, climate-control energy and maintenance for storage cabinet, and facility overhead allocation for dedicated room/space.

Psychological Support $6K/yr

[#13] Counseling, critical-incident debriefs and mental-health services for staff exposed to disturbing imagery.

Continuous Recording And Storage $4K/yr

[#3] 24/7 encrypted recording, RAID redundant on-site storage, backups and IT admin specifically for video retention per camera position (retention policies, audits).

Training And Refresher $3K/yr

[#17] Annual refresher training, drills and updates to SOPs for discovery, transport and observation procedures.

Medical Monitoring $2K/yr

[#18] Baseline and annual follow-up health checks for staff handling brushes/paintings (radiation surveillance) and recordkeeping.

Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr

[#19] Minor archival consumables, framing supplies, replacement parts and small repairs to storage and mounts.

Ppe Consumables $2K/yr

[#10] Ongoing purchase of disposable PPE and replacement handling consumables.

Radiological Recalibration And Dosimetry $1K/yr

[#9] Annual recalibration, consumables and dosimeter exchanges for radiological monitoring equipment and staff dosimetry.

Secure Disposal Per Instance $1K/yr

[#15] Budgeted per-instance secure disposal/sequestration costs (secure incineration or transfer to deep storage); assumes ~1 instance/year as baseline.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $289K/yr

92.5% probability / year

Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, research and no proliferation incidents.

routine_operations scheduled_research no_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $309K/yr

5.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline

Small proliferation or a single unobserved instance requiring extra cameras, overtime, temporary disposal and modest legal/PR work.

single_proliferation temporary_overtime additional_equipment_deployed

🚨 Major Proliferation $589K/yr

0.5% probability / year +$300K vs baseline

Large-scale proliferation or rapid creation of multiple SCP-2816-1 instances requiring emergency reserve activation, sustained emergency observation teams and accelerated research.

mass_proliferation emergency_reserve_activation extended_response

🚨 Data Leak Political Exposure $364K/yr

2.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline

Leak or public exposure of images leading to legal action, PR campaign, expanded legal costs and possible increased containment scrutiny.

unauthorized_leak media_attention legal_action

👥 Personnel 7 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	2	[#5] Two rotating FTEs responsible for access control and escorted transport (covers staff_wages line item).
Research Scientist	2	[#11] Small research team (2 researchers) conducting characterization experiments covered by research_and_monitoring recurring and initial setup.
Technician / Maintenance	1	[#6] Camera and recording integrity technician (part-time FTE / contractor) covered by camera_tech_monitoring.
IT / Sysadmin	1	[#3, #16] Responsible for encrypted storage, backups and cybersecurity tasks covered by continuous_recording_and_storage and it_security budgets.
Administrative Staff	1	[#12, #17] Administrative support for records, chain-of-custody logs, training coordination and legal interface; costs absorbed within cover_story_and_legal and training budgets.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are drawn directly from analyst ranges; per-item costs and staff counts required judgment calls (assumed midpoints, assumed 1 monitored painting position and modest instance turnover). Uncertainty remains around proliferation frequency and per-instance disposal rates, so confidence is medium.

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